That argument my friend assumes all picks are equal and that drafting Leafs Auston Matthews with the 1st overall = Leafs drafting Nathan Mayes in 2024 with the #225th pick (last overall) = 2 selections made. From a scouts POV and prospect level 2 very different things. 1st round and a 7th rounder are equal as PICKS but certainly not equal in VALUE.
You would have to take the value of of the draft selection spot ie spot #50 (2nd) and # 100 (4th) = 150 / 2 average draft class position = 75.. But if another team had 2 X 1st round picks in top 32 say picks 6 and 22 overall their average draft selection would be 28 / 2 = 14. Very different return on value and very different level of prospects a Scout is putting into a teams prospect pool.
Averaging doesn't work either ..
ex .. Team #1 = 1 X 2nd & 3 X 6th rounders + 3 X 7th rounders = 7 picks total & Team #2: 3 X 1sts & 2 X 2nds + 4th + 5th = 7 picks
Both teams average 7 picks but in 1 example a team making 5 picks in perhaps top 100 BEST players available is much much different then a team making 1 in top 150 and then 6 picks later also equal 7.
Also each draft class is individual because some are stronger graduating classes and some are weaker ones and you can't combine to average picks across classes as equal. A scout has to approach his work from 1 draft year to the next in a calendar year so averaging workload over many years also doesn't work.
ex.
View attachment 894086
vs.
View attachment 894087
You're implying via Math and averaging because the Leafs made 12 picks in 2020 (including 3 X 6th round & 3 X 7th all > 150 best players available that over that course of those last 4 years Leafs have made on average combined with the 11 draft picks (over 3 years combined 2021-2023 ) = 23 picks / 4 years = 5 - 6 picks a year. While the math is correct that is not telling an accurate story of scouts work load per year nor anywhere close to the level of talent a team is adding to its prospect pool.
Even though each team is given 7 picks per draft year by the NHL to start one in each round, that because Dubas made 12 picks in 2020 that excuses all the damage he did to classes 2021-2023 because on average he is fine. He was fired in 2023 and he had already traded 2023 - 2026 (4 years of future 2nds alone) he emptied rounds 1-4 in 2025. Not sure why you want to defend these actions.
Kyle Dubas went full Alex Anthopolous style mortgaging of the future for that 2023 run to the second round.
To give a sense of how long term the impact to that run was, the current Jake McCabe contract will have run its course, giving the Leafs 3 playoff runs and 2 full seasons of service time before the Blackhawks even use that first rounder.
People will say, that’s the price it takes to contend. Sure it is. But with the foundation so utterly incapable of delivering it just looks like a total failure of assessing the ability of the core, misplaced faith and a huge waste of assets for nothing.
Rangers have 6 ECF finals appearances and a trip to the finals since 2012. How’s that for a timeframe.
Knowing now that Wes Clark intended to run down his contract in Toronto and had no intention of staying here, it's extremely puzzling as to why the Leafs let him remain on as Director of Player Personel and managing their draft table.
If you know he's gone, why not move it along and bring in your own guy?
That feels like a very under-discussed blunder in a list of blunders by Shanahan and co.
They never tore it down and rebuilt it... it's amazing how many lies people will tell about other teams to try to make their "favourite" team look bad.
3 years seems like a small timeframe to form patterns.
I guess Toronto and Boston have the same playoff success in that case.
Possibly my favorite burner account exposed story:maybe , could also be KD's wife or one of his other family members
yup , that was a good one , it cost the idiot his careerPossibly my favorite burner account exposed story:
Internet connects Twitter dots to Bryan Colangelo’s wife
Internet sleuths believe they are one step closer to exposing the identity behind several Twitter burner accounts tied to 76ers president and general manager Bryan Colangelo, alleging his wife may …nypost.com
Hours after the organization announced they would launch an internal investigation into allegations brought to light in The Ringer’s report, published Tuesday, a 76ers fan account, “Did the Sixers win?,” connected the dots to Colangelo’s wife, Barbara Bottini, noting the last two digits of her phone number were linked to three of the burners in question. Additional Twitter detectives followed suit, piling on the evidence.
“When you type Bryan Colangelo’s wife’s # into the Twitter reset form,” a Philadelphia-based user posted.
“For more evidence of her number ending in 91, see the following screenshot from @2003mubb who noted the recover number on Barbara’s email,” tweeted another Philadelphia-area sports blogger
I assume he left because of a promotion and not because he didn’t want to be here. But how come Shanahan didn’t match their offer?Because why should you force someone to be where they don’t want to be? If he doesn’t want to work for the organization you let him go and bring someone who wants to work for the leafs and give their all to the role, simple.
This should be in Penguins thread .he's their problem now.
That argument my friend assumes all picks are equal and that drafting Leafs Auston Matthews with the 1st overall = Leafs drafting Nathan Mayes in 2024 with the #225th pick (last overall) = 2 selections made. From a scouts POV and prospect level 2 very different things. 1st round and a 7th rounder are equal as PICKS but certainly not equal in VALUE.
You would have to take the value of of the draft selection spot ie spot #50 (2nd) and # 100 (4th) = 150 / 2 average draft class position = 75.. But if another team had 2 X 1st round picks in top 32 say picks 6 and 22 overall their average draft selection would be 28 / 2 = 14. Very different return on value and very different level of prospects a Scout is putting into a teams prospect pool.
Averaging doesn't work either ..
ex .. Team #1 = 1 X 2nd & 3 X 6th rounders + 3 X 7th rounders = 7 picks total & Team #2: 3 X 1sts & 2 X 2nds + 4th + 5th = 7 picks
Both teams average 7 picks but in 1 example a team making 5 picks in perhaps top 100 BEST players available is much much different then a team making 1 in top 150 and then 6 picks later also equal 7.
Also each draft class is individual because some are stronger graduating classes and some are weaker ones and you can't combine to average picks across classes as equal. A scout has to approach his work from 1 draft year to the next in a calendar year so averaging workload over many years also doesn't work.
ex.
View attachment 894086
vs.
View attachment 894087
You're implying via Math and averaging because the Leafs made 12 picks in 2020 (including 3 X 6th round & 3 X 7th all > 150 best players available that over that course of those last 4 years Leafs have made on average combined with the 11 draft picks (over 3 years combined 2021-2023 ) = 23 picks / 4 years = 5 - 6 picks a year. While the math is correct that is not telling an accurate story of scouts work load per year nor anywhere close to the level of talent a team is adding to its prospect pool.
Even though each team is given 7 picks per draft year by the NHL to start one in each round, that because Dubas made 12 picks in 2020 that excuses all the damage he did to classes 2021-2023 because on average he is fine. He was fired in 2023 and he had already traded 2023 - 2026 (4 years of future 2nds alone) he emptied rounds 1-4 in 2025. Not sure why you want to defend these actions.
Has he been replaced yet?
Kyle Dubas went full Alex Anthopolous style mortgaging of the future for that 2023 run to the second round.
To give a sense of how long term the impact to that run was, the current Jake McCabe contract will have run its course, giving the Leafs 3 playoff runs and 2 full seasons of service time before the Blackhawks even use that first rounder.
People will say, that’s the price it takes to contend. Sure it is. But with the foundation so utterly incapable of delivering it just looks like a total failure of assessing the ability of the core, misplaced faith and a huge waste of assets for nothing.
Re: McCabe not only do the Hawks have Leafs 1st in 2025 they also have Leafs 2nd in 2026 for that same trade.
Dubas needed to empty entire draft classed years into the future to fuel his failure only to lose in round #1 each year.
2025 entry draft .. Before Treliving trade back 2 X in the Ben Danford selection to get Florida's 2nd in 2025.
Leafs 1st rounder headed to Chicago to pay off McCabe trade from 2 years ago.
Leafs 2nd rounder headed to Arizona/Utah to dump his poor UFA signing of Nick Ritchie.. ( Is this guy even still playing hockey?)
Leafs 3rd rounder headed to Seattle to pay off the Sam Lafferty trade.
Leafs 4th rounder traded to Minny to retain cap on Noel Acciari traded to TO in the ROR deal.
This isn't even right.Leafs 1st rounder headed to Chicago to pay off McCabe trade from 2 years ago.
Leafs 2nd rounder headed to Arizona/Utah to dump his poor UFA signing of Nick Ritchie.. ( Is this guy even still playing hockey?)
Leafs 3rd rounder headed to Seattle to pay off the Sam Lafferty trade.
Leafs 4th rounder traded to Minny to retain cap on Noel Acciari traded to TO in the ROR deal.
I assume he left because of a promotion and not because he didn’t want to be here. But how come Shanahan didn’t match their offer?
Ironically, I like the Penguins first pick better than ours this year.We will see how it turns out.
Cowan looks great
Trading back for Minten looks bad
Danford seems to fill a need, but again. It seems like could have went back more.
All of this is guessing until we see how it turns out.
He was a Greyhounds scout before Dubas gave him the job with the Leafs. Makes sense·Leafs scout Chris Roque is joining Wes Clark with the pens apparently.
Victor Carneiro will soon follow as well.He was a Greyhounds scout before Dubas gave him the job with the Leafs. Makes sense·
That wouldn't suprise anyone as he was hired directly from the Greyhounds as well.Victor Carneiro will soon follow as well.