W Ilya Protas - Windsor Spitfires, OHL (2024, 75th, WSH)

I was shocked when both Protas brothers went THAT late in draft, talking about country bias in scouting. Great young team and great prospects, Capitals are so fking set, that i may become a fan!
 
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I was shocked when both Protas brothers went THAT late in draft, talking about country bias in scouting. Great young team and great prospects, Capitals are so fking set, that i may become a fan!
I know folks love "bias" as an indemnifying term to cover their own ass haha but it wasn't a "country bias". I was with a large faction of scouts that wanted to see more of him early in his North American days. He simply didn't play. And when he did, he was last guy on and first guy off. It was a running joke for a bit about his ice time and shift length. But he was on watchlists for sure and we couldn't get enough...naturally, he earned more and more opportunity as his DY went on.

I have no comment on him this year because I haven't seen him play for one second in the OHL...
 
From my understanding, seeing as Protas was drafted out of the USHL, he would be AHL eligible next year despite playing juniors in his 18 year old season.

Question is, could he start in the AHL, then get sent to back to the OHL if he starts struggling after say 20-30+ games? Could he play 9 games in the AHL instead of the NHL and get sent back to juniors without burning a year of his ELC?
 
From my understanding, seeing as Protas was drafted out of the USHL, he would be AHL eligible next year despite playing juniors in his 18 year old season.

Question is, could he start in the AHL, then get sent to back to the OHL if he starts struggling after say 20-30+ games? Could he play 9 games in the AHL instead of the NHL and get sent back to juniors without burning a year of his ELC?
If a teenager plays in the AHL and plays 9 or fewer NHL games, his ELC will still slide same as if he went back to junior.
 
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He has standout junior scoring skills. Pro hockey, and especially the NHL, is an entirely different level. I think when Nick Lardis is beating scoring records of Gretzky, Lindros, Gilmour, Tavares then you have to maybe recalculate what scoring in the OHL means this year.
Thank you for pointing this out. You must be the first person in the history of the world to realize that pro hockey, especially the NHL, is in fact a different level of hockey than junior hockey. Bravo.

Protas is going to be dominant and better than his brother. I’ll quit this forum if not.
 
From my understanding, seeing as Protas was drafted out of the USHL, he would be AHL eligible next year despite playing juniors in his 18 year old season.

Question is, could he start in the AHL, then get sent to back to the OHL if he starts struggling after say 20-30+ games? Could he play 9 games in the AHL instead of the NHL and get sent back to juniors without burning a year of his ELC?
The Sharks did this with Kasper Halttunen this year. He got a six-game evaluation with the Barracuda, got hurt, and then the Sharks sent him back to London after he got healthy. But more than nine games probably triggers his ELC to start.

Protas should absolutely go to the AHL next year.
 
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Okay, so we can go to Sam Dickinson or Zayne Parekh or Michael Misa or Igor Chernyshov. Or Porter Martone. Or Matt Schaefer. Or Chase Reid. All these guys are putting up some of the best stats ever for whatever specific category in regards to DY and position and goals/PPG in OHL history. To me it's too many of them, and there's an underlying trend issue with the league that can't be ignored.

I don't think we'll be looking back on things in 10 years and being like "oh wow, that 2024-25 OHL season had so many of the future stars of the NHL."

We'll probably look back and be like "there were a normal amount of good OHL players, but scoring was crazy and not all of it translated."

Personally, I don't think it's crazy to be skeptical of the lower drafted guys that had major warts coming into the year that have all of a sudden found some great scoring form. The guys I would bet on are probably the guys not drafted that will leave the league as soon as they're drafted (or not long after), but even they I think you have to ask about if they're just piling points up against inferior competition and if it will all translate to the NHL.
Wow !! Why don't you just admit that you were wrong on your talent analysis of Ilya Protas ?! Why is it so hard geezz... Even scouts are wrong all the time, it's fine, just let it go... Your life partner or friends must have a hard time dealing with if you can never admit your mistakes... it shows maturity and a big step in the good direction to build long term relationships...
 
He has standout junior scoring skills. Pro hockey, and especially the NHL, is an entirely different level. I think when Nick Lardis is beating scoring records of Gretzky, Lindros, Gilmour, Tavares then you have to maybe recalculate what scoring in the OHL means this year.
I haven't seen a single poster saying that Ilya Protas is on track to become a superstar like Gretzky, Lindros, Gilmour, Tavares, or overanalyzing the junior scoring stats.
Expecting a 18-yo player 2nd in OHL scoring behind a likely top 5 pick to end up a full-time NHL player isn't really a big deal worth such a debate :laugh:
 
Wow !! Why don't you just admit that you were wrong on your talent analysis of Ilya Protas ?! Why is it so hard geezz... Even scouts are wrong all the time, it's fine, just let it go... Your life partner or friends must have a hard time dealing with if you can never admit your mistakes... it shows maturity and a big step in the good direction to build long term relationships...
Take your life advice for yourself. I don’t need someonwho has never seen a hockey player play before telling me I’m wrong and offering up life advice because they looked at the player’s EP page.

Of course you will never apologize for your uncalled for assertions if in four years he’s struggling to stick in the NHL. You’ll just disappear and try to take no responsibility for that you’re getting preachy towards those who have a different opinion than you.

You can lay out your opinion on Protas. I’ll lay out mine, and time will tell who’s correct. Don’t make it more than that.
 
Pavel, reminder that your take isn't that he won't become an NHLer, your take is that he was a bad pick in the THIRD ROUND.

That's already a horrible take, as of today. He has already exceeded what most third round picks become.
I know people on this website seem to be obsessed with junior scoring and box scores because it’s easier for them to contextualize, but ultimately what matters is how you do in the NHL and pro hockey and not Junior.

Jordan Dumais also went third round, he obliterated the Q for two years after getting picked, people talked about him as a steal, and now he’s had a tough time this season (injuries and some off ice problems thrown in there, to be fair). None of his junior stats matter a jot at this point. His proponents who railed against how wrong the consensus was are awfully quiet now. No CBJ fan will take solace “well, at least he dominated the Q those two years.”

So maybe stop your victory lap until we see Protas at a higher level of hockey. I did question if he was rightly picked in the third round. I say it’s aging okay because we have no data on him at a higher level than junior since last season. I don’t think that’s invalidated because a guy who put up big junior totals last year is doing so again. There are fundamental flaws in his skillset that will keep him from being an NHL regular, in my opinion. It doesn’t make you worthy of any specific draft slot due to your junior accomplishments. You either have the projection to the NHL or you don’t and that’s what you base draft slots on. Making this about junior production is flawed.
 
I know people on this website seem to be obsessed with junior scoring and box scores because it’s easier for them to contextualize, but ultimately what matters is how you do in the NHL and pro hockey and not Junior.

Jordan Dumais also went third round, he obliterated the Q for two years after getting picked, people talked about him as a steal, and now he’s had a tough time this season (injuries and some off ice problems thrown in there, to be fair). None of his junior stats matter a jot at this point. His proponents who railed against how wrong the consensus was are awfully quiet now. No CBJ fan will take solace “well, at least he dominated the Q those two years.”

So maybe stop your victory lap until we see Protas at a higher level of hockey. I did question if he was rightly picked in the third round. I say it’s aging okay because we have no data on him at a higher level than junior since last season. I don’t think that’s invalidated because a guy who put up big junior totals last year is doing so again. There are fundamental flaws in his skillset that will keep him from being an NHL regular, in my opinion. It doesn’t make you worthy of any specific draft slot due to your junior accomplishments. You either have the projection to the NHL or you don’t and that’s what you base draft slots on. Making this about junior production is flawed.
Or there's a happy medium.

If you make a list of players that were 2.0 PPG CHL players in their D+1, I bet he's in some pretty solid company. There's no guarantee any prospect transitions well in the NHL, but at this point you have to admit he's done enough to be worth being drafting higher than the 3rd round.
 
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Or there's a happy medium.

If you make a list of players that were 2.0 PPG CHL players in their D+1, I bet he's in some pretty solid company. There's no guarantee any prospect transitions well in the NHL, but at this point you have to admit he's done enough to be worth being drafting higher than the 3rd round.
Junior scoring, especially OHL, to me is starting to matter less and less. Guys are breaking records every year. The OHL has some of the most ridiculous scoring seasons this season. Are they all gonna fall into the “well, make a list of those that hit this level of scoring and almost no one failed”?

Either the OHL houses a disproportionate current share of the NHL’s future stars and we don’t know it or league scoring has gotten watered down and isn’t as valuable anymore.

That’s not to say Protas is the one who will be the failure. We don’t know, but some of them are highly likely to fail, so this argument to me is a flawed one.
 
People talk about prospects that trend well all the time. A bit odd to now demand all discussion cease because "well we don't know if it will translate to the NHL". Protas is trending well. Very well. He's 6'5 and putting up 2 PPG. Age wise, he's very close to Porter Martone who will go high in this draft.
Or even a Roger McQueen
 
People talk about prospects that trend well all the time. A bit odd to now demand all discussion cease because "well we don't know if it will translate to the NHL". Protas is trending well. Very well. He's 6'5 and putting up 2 PPG. Age wise, he's very close to Porter Martone who will go high in this draft.
That’s always going to be how Pavel argues. Guys in CHL don’t score well? They’re just future drive through workers of course and that’s all the CHL has. Score too much? Then the scoring doesn’t matter and we have no way of knowing if a prospect will actually pan out. Damned if they do or don’t.
 
It's interesting that the Capitals may not have ended up with either Protas brother had they not taken Brett Leason with their 2nd round pick in 2019. They traded up to draft his teammate (Aliaksei) from Prince Albert (WHL) and of course ended up drafting Ilya in 2024. Leason was waived (ANA) but they ended up with both of the Protas brothers.
Teams don't draft players because they happen to be teammates.
 
That’s always going to be how Pavel argues. Guys in CHL don’t score well? They’re just future drive through workers of course and that’s all the CHL has. Score too much? Then the scoring doesn’t matter and we have no way of knowing if a prospect will actually pan out. Damned if they do or don’t.
Nice straw man. Something I never said.
 
Junior scoring, especially OHL, to me is starting to matter less and less. Guys are breaking records every year. The OHL has some of the most ridiculous scoring seasons this season. Are they all gonna fall into the “well, make a list of those that hit this level of scoring and almost no one failed”?

Either the OHL houses a disproportionate current share of the NHL’s future stars and we don’t know it or league scoring has gotten watered down and isn’t as valuable anymore.

That’s not to say Protas is the one who will be the failure. We don’t know, but some of them are highly likely to fail, so this argument to me is a flawed one.
I agree that the league may be getting watered down and the scoring is pretty ridiculous. But even if you want to account for that and use some weighted scoring system, or a more simple method like comparing other D+1 prospects were top 5 scoring in the OHL, he'd be in decent company.
 
Pavel will keep moving the goal posts and if Protas makes the NHL he will never respond to any posts about Protas. A tale as old as time.
 
Huh? Dumais is the example? Protas is literally almost a foot taller than him.

Kid's also 20 years old, doing decently well in the AHL, and can still absolutely be a good NHL player. Weird example to use.
 

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