W Beckett Sennecke - Oshawa Generals, OHL (2024, 3rd, ANA)

[LeProspector]

He’s my favourite prospect in the NHL. He made me a ton of money yesterday.

 

[Cancuks]

I'm getting Kotkaniemi/Hayton vibes with this pick. Late risers who shoot up the draft board often don't pan out or meet expectations. Always should draft the BPA not try to look like the smartest guy in the room.

 

[LeProspector]

Anaheim loves going for their guys even if it’s off the board a little bit. Many people had McTavish at 9th in 2021, Mintyukov was ranked in the twenties in 2022

 

[Frank Drebin]

I'm getting Kotkaniemi/Hayton vibes with this pick. Late risers who shoot up the draft board often don't pan out or meet expectations. Always should draft the BPA not try to look like the smartest guy in the room.

Arizona and Montreal trying to be the smartest teams in the room is a really bad look with their draft history

Anaheim has at least shown they know what they’re doing

 

[Trojans86]

This kid is still growing. He could end up at 6’4 or even 6’5. He has excellent tools and hockey iq. Definitely one to follow the next few years.

 

[Andrei79]

All of Anaheim, Columbus and Montreal seem to have held Sennecke in very high regard, but somehow people call him a reach because amateur scouting publications didn't have him as high as the people actually doing this for a job. I'm not saying this as an appeal to authority, but rather that if you're choosing an authority to appeal to, why choose the mediocre one ?

 

[57special]

He's the most handsome kid of the draft for sure. And he's going to live in California. And his sis looks like a Hollywood star...

His mother literally was a TV star.

 

[FiveTacos]

Arizona and Montreal trying to be the smartest teams in the room is a really bad look with their draft history

Anaheim has at least shown they know what they’re doing

I keep saying, consensus is by definition average. But if consensus is only right about BPA 75% of the time (and that's probably generous), you should be ignoring consensus every 4 years. Remember, consensus means the good scout's opinions get wiped out by the bad ones, and you end up with an opinion that's pretty much just a median scout. To me, that's not something to aspire to.

Thus the above average drafting teams will in fact differ from consensus fairly often. Of course, the bad drafting teams will as well, just that they deviate when the consensus actually has it right.

But given Anaheim's recent history, which group are they likely to be in?

They seem to like very particular types of traits, and maybe it's a bit different than other teams, but it does seem to lead to promising NHL prospects. They also were supposedly down to two guys they felt had separated themselves, which means they would never have traded back more than a single spot anyway.

 

[HanSolo]

HF scouts laughed everytime the Ducks "reached" for the big late riser

Lindholm, McTavish, Carlsson and now Sennecke

Has worked out every time so far. We'll see about Sennecke but his upside is immense.

Carlsson wasn't a big late riser.

 

[AngelDuck]

A very interesting player. It’s a reach IMO, but there’s massive upside obviously. So much room for growth.

Anyone have a player comparable for him?

 

[Five Alarm Fire]

A very interesting player. It’s a reach IMO, but there’s massive upside obviously. So much room for growth.

Anyone have a player comparable for him?

Tage Thompson maybe?

 

[AngelDuck]

Tage Thompson maybe?

That’s a good one! I was thinking like Filip Forsberg

 

[Seb]

A very interesting player. It’s a reach IMO, but there’s massive upside obviously. So much room for growth.

Anyone have a player comparable for him?

To me he looks like Rick Nash.

 

[FiveTacos]

A better skating Corey Perry. Lanky, hands, late season / playoff surge.

 

[jfhabs]

I'm getting Kotkaniemi/Hayton vibes with this pick. Late risers who shoot up the draft board often don't pan out or meet expectations. Always should draft the BPA not try to look like the smartest guy in the room.

Could also say Scheifele could be a good late riser, but he worked.

 

[GirardSpinorama]

Ryjo was also a late riser, it worked OK.

 

[Future]

His potential is the highest in this draft outside of Macklin. Can’t think of a good comparable because he’s an absolute unicorn.

Going to need some time to develop but out of everyone I saw this year, at his peak, he was the most exciting and dominant.

 

[ameselare]

His mother literally was a TV star.

This makes me laugh because I commented to my friend last night that his mom looks like she has Jo Malone hand soap in her guest bathrooms (fancy rich white lady soap, often found in nicely decorated homes). I had no idea she's an interior designer with a show that aired on the W Network and HGTV.

 

[Static]

He does look like Perry, but a better skater and without the incredible agitating qualities.

 

[FiveTacos]

He does look like Perry, but a better skater and without the incredible agitating qualities.

Is that a euphemism for "punchable face?"

 

[TheNumber4]

Why does he look like he’s melting into the ice?

 

[Garbageyuk]

All of Anaheim, Columbus and Montreal seem to have held Sennecke in very high regard, but somehow people call him a reach because amateur scouting publications didn't have him as high as the people actually doing this for a job. I'm not saying this as an appeal to authority, but rather that if you're choosing an authority to appeal to, why choose the mediocre one ?

He was 11th on McKenzie’s final draft rankings. He was a reach any way you slice it.

 

[Mattb124]

Only 4 posts for one of the biggest risers in the draft? In a draft that is not short of players with high upsides, this guy might have one of the highest. Crazy talent, just needs his body to catch up to his imagination. I think he'll be a top 10 pick. There is too much there to like, even though his point totals are dwarfed by the likes of Catton, Parekh, and Demidov. Hell, Parascak scored 50% more points than him.

Can you send me some stock picks?

 

[Garbageyuk]

His potential is the highest in this draft outside of Macklin. Can’t think of a good comparable because he’s an absolute unicorn.

Going to need some time to develop but out of everyone I saw this year, at his peak, he was the most exciting and dominant.

Benoit Pouliot is the best comparable, imo. And I don’t even mean that as an insult. BP could have been a lot more than he was, but he had some very unfortunate things happen in terms of injuries and his personal life. Even dealing with all that, he become a pretty good middle-sixer for a few years, with legitimate 2nd line type production in a few of them (albeit in partial seasons due to injury).

 

[HanSolo]

He was 11th on McKenzie’s final draft rankings. He was a reach any way you slice it.

I mean let's be real. He aggregates ten NHL scout's rankings out of how many for how many different teams? It's one of the best rankings we have but it's not dispositive. And the line on this draft was there was very little consensus past first overall.

It's entirely possible that full draft teams were higher on the kid than the ones who provided Bob with data.