I would be curious to see these "analytics.."
I'm trying to keep an open mind..sounds plausible. I mean I'm not Bryz's biggest fan and he did make too many excuses. I guess I have trouble just pinning something on one factor even if it is a considerable one and seems legit on it's face...
I cannot find it... looked for a good while but cannot remember what thread it was in.
It was at the time kind of saying how temperamental SV% is, and how one goal every few games can affect it massively over the season.
It basically projected how many extra saves Bryz needed to make per year to 'satisfy' our fanbase in terms of his stats, and if he had got those stats would we have made the playoffs. (I think I set our 'satisfied' SV% at .916-9.18.)
I cannot even remember what I actually did, but it compared SV% to GA per year and GF per year (team, not GAA) to show the difference between 0.1% in SV% and how many goals per year that equates to, and then looked at the average +/- in goal difference and how it equates to points, (I remember I did this over a few different seasons across the NHL to get a 'proper' average) and how much bigger a SV% would have been needed to make the playoffs, and therefore kind of the 'average' number of extra saves Bryz would have needed to make for us to get in the playoffs.
At least that is 'kind of' what it was, maybe more or less convoluted, I just can't remember!
At the time it was not really for or against Bryz, just showed how what could be considered 'fine' margins can change so much, and how an extra goal allowed every 5-7 games (it was about that) affect SV% and how that affects points for the team.
It did not relate to why his SV% was low, just where we would be if it was what we expected. But it did show if Bryz had his 'expected' SV% we would have been in the playoffs. (I think!)