Do not kid yourselves - 5-15 to start the season is incoming.
Gary B. is no dummy. He has massaged the NHL schedule for decades.
Bottom teams play an easier schedule at the outset. It is meant to ensure a near 0.500 for all teams. And so keep everyone in it. There have been many posts, on here, the last 3 years on this.
If you go back and do a real in depth look at bottom team schedules, you will see that they do in fact play one another disproportionately high in the first 1/3 of the season.
so a 5 - 15 start would mean a team is either unbelievable bad, or has experienced near cataclysmic misfortune in the time leading up to the start of the season. The Sens are not this bad, Travis Green is a far more competent coach.
A 9-11 is possible. That would be in keeping with the last 3 seasons.
9 -11, is still a salvageable season. All it would require is a 11-9 stretch to erase it. Factor in 3-4 OTL points and you are at 43/44 points after 40 games and still in it.