All this talk about lines that work, or don't work together, is interesting, but I thought I'd look into the actual numbers of last years lines, and look to see what actually happened. In some cases, the lines didn't get huge minutes, but I think you can draw some conclusions based on these numbers.
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
Line[/TD]
[TD]
Type[/TD]
[TD]
Minutes[/TD]
[TD]Games[/TD]
[TD]
xGoals %[/TD]
[TD]
xGoals For[/TD]
[TD]
xGoals Against[/TD]
[TD]
xGoals For[/TD]
[TD]
xGoals Against[/TD]
[TD]xNet Goals[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD]Per 60 Minutes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD][TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Per 60 Minutes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD][TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Per 60 Minutes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Marner-Matthews-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]48.4[/TD]
[TD]34[/TD]
[TD]69.80%[/TD]
[TD]4.4[/TD]
[TD]1.9[/TD]
[TD]5.45[/TD]
[TD]2.36[/TD]
[TD]
3.09
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Bunting-Tavares-Marner[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]40.9[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]66.10%[/TD]
[TD]3.9[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]5.73[/TD]
[TD]2.94[/TD]
[TD]
2.79
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Bunting-Matthews-Marner[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]554.7[/TD]
[TD]51[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]35.8[/TD]
[TD]19.3[/TD]
[TD]3.87[/TD]
[TD]2.09[/TD]
[TD]
1.78
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Mikheyev[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]192.7[/TD]
[TD]35[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]10.4[/TD]
[TD]5.6[/TD]
[TD]3.24[/TD]
[TD]1.74[/TD]
[TD]
1.5
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Kerfoot-Tavares-Mikheyev[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]99.3[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]62.50%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3.02[/TD]
[TD]1.81[/TD]
[TD]
1.21
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Bunting-Matthews-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]127.7[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]58.50%[/TD]
[TD]8.3[/TD]
[TD]5.9[/TD]
[TD]3.9[/TD]
[TD]2.77[/TD]
[TD]
1.13
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Robertson-Tavares-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]32.2[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]58.30%[/TD]
[TD]2.1[/TD]
[TD]1.5[/TD]
[TD]3.91[/TD]
[TD]2.79[/TD]
[TD]
1.12
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Kase[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]145.9[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]56.90%[/TD]
[TD]6.6[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2.71[/TD]
[TD]2.06[/TD]
[TD]
0.65
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Engvall-Kerfoot-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]34.1[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]54.10%[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1.7[/TD]
[TD]3.52[/TD]
[TD]2.99[/TD]
[TD]
0.53
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Kerfoot-Tavares-Marner[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]86.3[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]53.10%[/TD]
[TD]4.3[/TD]
[TD]3.8[/TD]
[TD]2.99[/TD]
[TD]2.64[/TD]
[TD]
0.35
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Kerfoot-Tavares-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]399.9[/TD]
[TD]53[/TD]
[TD]52.80%[/TD]
[TD]19.6[/TD]
[TD]17.5[/TD]
[TD]2.94[/TD]
[TD]2.63[/TD]
[TD]
0.31
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]91.6[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]52.10%[/TD]
[TD]3.7[/TD]
[TD]3.4[/TD]
[TD]2.42[/TD]
[TD]2.23[/TD]
[TD]
0.19
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Nylander-Tavares-Kase[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]34[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]1.4[/TD]
[TD]1.4[/TD]
[TD]2.47[/TD]
[TD]2.47[/TD]
[TD]
0
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Kerfoot[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]36.2[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]45.50%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1.2[/TD]
[TD]1.66[/TD]
[TD]1.99[/TD]
[TD]
-0.33
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Bunting-Tavares-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]36.2[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]46.70%[/TD]
[TD]1.4[/TD]
[TD]1.6[/TD]
[TD]2.32[/TD]
[TD]2.66[/TD]
[TD]
-0.34
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]Nylander-Tavares-Mikheyev[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]33.7[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]45.70%[/TD]
[TD]2.1[/TD]
[TD]2.5[/TD]
[TD]3.74[/TD]
[TD]4.46[/TD]
[TD]
-0.72
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
You can pick and choose what you want out of this, but clearly Nylander, Matthews and Marner together works great. Limited minutes, but I think we can agree it isn't how we would setup lines long term.
Bunting and Marner seems to be great, whether it's Tavares or Matthews centering them. Matthews had the benefit of the most time... for that purpose, we will leave that line together. The top line stays.
Now we look at Tavares, outside of Bunting and Marner.
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[TD]
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]
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[TD]Kerfoot-Tavares-Mikheyev[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]99.3[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]62.50%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3.02[/TD]
[TD]1.81[/TD]
[TD]
1.21
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Robertson-Tavares-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]32.2[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]58.30%[/TD]
[TD]2.1[/TD]
[TD]1.5[/TD]
[TD]3.91[/TD]
[TD]2.79[/TD]
[TD]
1.12
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Kerfoot-Tavares-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]399.9[/TD]
[TD]53[/TD]
[TD]52.80%[/TD]
[TD]19.6[/TD]
[TD]17.5[/TD]
[TD]2.94[/TD]
[TD]2.63[/TD]
[TD]
0.31
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nylander-Tavares-Kase[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]34[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]1.4[/TD]
[TD]1.4[/TD]
[TD]2.47[/TD]
[TD]2.47[/TD]
[TD]
0
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nylander-Tavares-Mikheyev[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]33.7[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]45.70%[/TD]
[TD]2.1[/TD]
[TD]2.5[/TD]
[TD]3.74[/TD]
[TD]4.46[/TD]
[TD]
-0.72
[/TD]
[/TR]
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[TD][/TD]
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[/TD]
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[/TD]
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[TD]A couple of notes. Nylander playing LW, for Tavares doesn't work. Kerfoot, Tavares and Nylander isn't very good. Robertson, Tavares and Nylander was quite good. Kerfoot, Tavares, Mik worked well too, but given what we see with the Engvall/Kampf combo, that isn't ideal. We should try Robertson/Tavares/Nylander for a more extended look
Apologies for formatting.. I'm not sure what happened. You'll need to scroll right some.
Engvall/Kampf work well together. With Kerfoot, not so much. With Nylander barely... One of the newer guys should get a shot with them.
Conclusion
Bunting/Matthews/Marner
Robertson/Tavares/Nylander
Engvall/Kampf/xxx
Kerfoot doesn't fit very well in our lineup.
If we used last years numbers, and assumed Engvall/Kampf/Kase for the xxx, our X Net goals/60 would be 3.55 on the positive.. I mean, we'd go undefeated. LOL[/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
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[TR]
[TD]
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Mikheyev[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE][/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]192.7[/TD]
[TD]35[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]10.4[/TD]
[TD]5.6[/TD]
[TD]3.24[/TD]
[TD]1.74[/TD]
[TD]
1.5
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Kase[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]145.9[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]56.90%[/TD]
[TD]6.6[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2.71[/TD]
[TD]2.06[/TD]
[TD]
0.65
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Nylander[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]91.6[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]52.10%[/TD]
[TD]3.7[/TD]
[TD]3.4[/TD]
[TD]2.42[/TD]
[TD]2.23[/TD]
[TD]
0.19
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Engvall-Kampf-Kerfoot[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]36.2[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]45.50%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1.2[/TD]
[TD]1.66[/TD]
[TD]1.99[/TD]
[TD]
-0.33
[/TD]
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[/TD]
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