Proposal: Trade Rumours/Proposals PART XXXXIX

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swiftwin

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Jul 26, 2005
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What I don't understand is what happens to players like Simmons who go on waivers and don't end up in the AHL.
We did the same with Zack Smith in 2018. He ended up staying on the Sens and played the whole season.
 

Bjindaho

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Jun 12, 2006
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Can't say I've seen too much of his play but he's a former 1st round pick so we wouldn't be picking him up just because he's related to a player on the team
He's also 23 and on a team more likely to play Brooks Orpik than a 23 year-old with any risk to his game
 

playasRus

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Mar 21, 2009
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We should make a strong run at Jonathan Toews + Connor Murphy in January/February.

Fill our 3rd line LW and RD holes in one swoop.
They're going to want a King's ransom though. If we were hesitating at the package for Chychrun, think at least another 1st more.

2023 1st
2024 1st
Greig
JBD
Zaitsev

This is still likely not enough considering we'd want protections on the picks and someone's going to out bid it.
 

DaveMatthew

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Apr 13, 2005
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They're going to want a King's ransom though. If we were hesitating at the package for Chychrun, think at least another 1st more.

2023 1st
2024 1st
Greig
JBD
Zaitsev

This is still likely not enough considering we'd want protections on the picks.

Toews has a full NMC, and the organization has made it clear that he'll let him dictate where he goes. More of a respect thing. The price will be less than what Giroux went for last year, since he's a lesser player at this point.

Murphy, it's tough to gauge his value, but he also has a NTC.

Chychrun alone has more value than Toews + Murphy, IMO.
 
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playasRus

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Toews has a full NMC, and the organization has made it clear that he'll let him dictate where he goes. More of a respect thing. The price will be less than what Giroux went for last year, since he's a lesser player at this point.

Murphy, it's tough to gauge his value, but he also has a NTC.

Chychrun alone has more value than Toews + Murphy, IMO.
If true, I wouldn't think twice about pulling the trigger if I were PD.

2023 1st (top 10 protected)
2024 2nd
Jarventie
Kleven
Zaitsev

for

Toews
Murphy

Murphy gives us that RD stay at home but still mobile and not play killing top 4 RD. Less IR prone than Chychrun on top of being a natural defense first and right handed D.
Toews gives us extra veteran leadership but isn't just icing.
 

Hale The Villain

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Toews will use his full NMC to go to a top contender.

Could see him and Kane going to the Rangers @ 75% retention (from 50% from Chicago and 50% from a third team).

They only make 2.9M each this year so getting a third team to retain salary after Chicago retains 50% shouldn't be that difficult.

Highly doubt he'd waive to come here unless we are near the top of the standings at the deadline.
 

DaveMatthew

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Toews will use his full NMC to go to a top contender.

Could see him and Kane going to the Rangers @ 75% retention (from 50% from Chicago and 50% from a third team).

They only make 2.9M each this year so getting a third team to retain salary after Chicago retains 50% shouldn't be that difficult.

Highly doubt he'd waive to come here unless we are near the top of the standings at the deadline.

We'd need to be in the mix for him to waive for us, no doubt. But if we are and we could do it without involving a 3rd team, that'd be an advantage over every other team who was interested.

I could see Toews being open to playing in a Canadian market, if we're doing well.

I don't think Kane and Toews would go together. Even at 75% retention, it'd be tough for top teams to take them both on, considering how strapped the contenders are.
 

Hale The Villain

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We'd need to be in the mix for him to waive for us, no doubt. But if we are and we could do it without involving a 3rd team, that'd be an advantage over every other team who was interested.

I could see Toews being open to playing in a Canadian market, if we're doing well.

I don't think Kane and Toews would go together. Even at 75% retention, it'd be tough for top teams to take them both on, considering how strapped the contenders are.

At 75% retention they'd cost 2.625M each. It'd be tight but do-able if cap is heading back to Chicago.

Rangers might be able to fit both in if they include Chytil, Reaves and Blais (5.55M in cap) in the deal.

Panarin - Zibanejad - Kane
Kreider - Trocheck - Kakko
Lafreniere - Toews - Kravtsov
Vesey - Goodrow - Gauthier

Insane offense if they could pull it off.

And with top tier defense and goaltending, Rangers would easily be the deepest team in the league and the favourite for the cup.
 

DaveMatthew

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Apr 13, 2005
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At 75% retention they'd cost 2.625M each. It'd be tight but do-able if cap is heading back to Chicago.

Rangers might be able to fit both in if they include Chytil, Reaves and Blais (5.55M in cap) in the deal.

Panarin - Zibanejad - Kane
Kreider - Trocheck - Kakko
Lafreniere - Toews - Kravtsov
Vesey - Goodrow - Gauthier

Insane offense if they could pull it off.

And with top tier defense and goaltending, Rangers would easily be the deepest team in the league and the favourite for the cup.

They could, but I'm skeptical they'd give up a guy like Chytil. He's a pretty big part of their future, and they're a team that plans on contending for the next 5 years, not just this season. Plus, they'd not only have to send assets to Chicago (Chytil + multiple picks + cap dumps Reaves and Blais), they'd also have to give up assets to a 3rd team for the additional retention.

They'd be better off just going after Kane and keeping Chytil.

I think Toews will have a much more limited market.

Kane said this the other day:

Kane planned to watch DeBrincat in the Senators home opener Tuesday night against the Boston Bruins. Coincidentally, Strome and the Capitals’ next game is Thursday in Ottawa, which means a reunion of Erie Otters linemates. “It’ll be fun to watch them and hoping for the best for both those guys,” Kane said. “Seems like they’ve gotten off to good starts.”

Maybe Toews joined him and saw the atmosphere in the arena...
 

Hale The Villain

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They could, but I'm skeptical they'd give up a guy like Chytil. He's a pretty big part of their future, and they're a team that plans on contending for the next 5 years, not just this season. Plus, they'd not only have to send assets to Chicago (Chytil + multiple picks + cap dumps Reaves and Blais), they'd also have to give up assets to a 3rd team for the additional retention.

They'd be better off just going after Kane and keeping Chytil.

I think Toews will have a much more limited market.

Kane said this the other day:



Maybe Toews joined him and saw the atmosphere in the arena...

I don't know how much of a future Chytil has in NY. He is blocked at center by Zibanejad and Trocheck and by Panarin, Kreider and Lafreniere at LW.

Money is going to get tight as soon as next season and I could see him being a cap casualty, depending on how much he wants.

They don't have much in the pipeline when it comes to young centers, but they are paying Goodrow 3.6M to center their 4th line so it may make sense for him to play a bigger role and occupy the 3C hole next season.

Also Blais isn't a cap dump. He's a solid bottom 6er on a reasonable salary that a lot of teams would trade an asset to acquire.
 

Micklebot

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It is great news for the players. Bad news for small market teams.
I suspect a lot of the growth is from the new TV deals and ad revenue, which I'm guess leans more towards centrally generated.

Centrally generated revenue benefits small market team's because as the ratio shifts more towards central revenue, the less of an impact ticket sales has relatively speaking.
 

Loach

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They could, but I'm skeptical they'd give up a guy like Chytil. He's a pretty big part of their future, and they're a team that plans on contending for the next 5 years, not just this season. Plus, they'd not only have to send assets to Chicago (Chytil + multiple picks + cap dumps Reaves and Blais), they'd also have to give up assets to a 3rd team for the additional retention.

They'd be better off just going after Kane and keeping Chytil.

I think Toews will have a much more limited market.

Kane said this the other day:



Maybe Toews joined him and saw the atmosphere in the arena...
Get in there and get Reeves!
 

DaveMatthew

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I don't know how much of a future Chytil has in NY. He is blocked at center by Zibanejad and Trocheck and by Panarin, Kreider and Lafreniere at LW.

Money is going to get tight as soon as next season and I could see him being a cap casualty, depending on how much he wants.

They don't have much in the pipeline when it comes to young centers, but they are paying Goodrow 3.6M to center their 4th line so it may make sense for him to play a bigger role and occupy the 3C hole next season.

Also Blais isn't a cap dump. He's a solid bottom 6er on a reasonable salary that a lot of teams would trade an asset to acquire.

Not Chicago or any team involved in retention (i.e. Arizona). I suppose New York could send him to another contender, but my guess is they see him as someone they'd prefer to keep (Drury just traded Buchnevich for him + a 2nd a year ago)

Either way, I don't think swapping out Chytil and Blais for Toews makes NY much better, and it'd likely require a pick on top of it (plus the premium assets you'd be sending out for Kane, like Othmann and a 1st).

I expect them to be all-in on Kane, though (along with Pittsburgh, Carolina and St.Louis).

*Also, the Rangers have shifted Lafreniere to RW, smartly, considering they have Panarin and Kreider on the left. He's in their top 6 now, playing with Panarin and Trocheck. Goodrow plays RW on the 3rd line, with Blais and Chytil.
 
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GCK

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I suspect a lot of the growth is from the new TV deals and ad revenue, which I'm guess leans more towards centrally generated.

Centrally generated revenue benefits small market team's because as the ratio shifts more towards central revenue, the less of an impact ticket sales has relatively speaking.
Our local broadcast contract is very good as well even with C$ taking a beating we are pulling in over 25M USD on that TSN deal.
 

Hale The Villain

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Not Chicago or any team involved in retention (i.e. Arizona). I suppose New York could send him to another contender, but my guess is they see him as someone they'd prefer to keep (Drury just traded Buchnevich for him + a 2nd a year ago)

Either way, I don't think swapping out Chytil and Blais for Toews makes NY much better, and it'd likely require a pick on top of it (plus the premium assets you'd be sending out for Kane, like Othmann and a 1st).

I expect them to be all-in on Kane, though (along with Pittsburgh, Carolina and St.Louis).

*Also, the Rangers have shifted Lafreniere to RW, smartly, considering they have Panarin and Kreider on the left. He's in their top 6 now, playing with Panarin and Trocheck. Goodrow plays RW on the 3rd line, with Blais and Chytil.

I think Kane, Kakko, Kravtsov and, as you pointed out, Lafreniere at RW makes Blais expendable.

Unless Toews returns to his form pre-illness/injury I don't think he'll cost that much to acquire, especially since he can basically control where he goes. I'd expect a Hall-type return for him (2nd + something else like a B prospect or young depth player).
 
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DaveMatthew

Bring in Peter
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I think Kane, Kakko, Kravtsov and, as you pointed out, Lafreniere at RW makes Blais expendable.

Unless Toews returns to his form pre-illness/injury I don't think he'll cost that much to acquire, especially since he can basically control where he goes. I'd expect a Hall-type return for him (2nd + something else like a B prospect or young depth player).

Agreed. But his cap hit makes it tricky. Most contenders would need to send an additional asset to a 3rd team for extra salary retention, and remove salary from their active roster to fit him in. All that for a 3rd line player.

We wouldn't need to do either. If he'd be willing to come here, we could probably do 2nd + Jarventie (or equivalent prospect) for Toews with 25% retention and call it a day.

The ability to do that would give us an advantage. Other teams like the Rangers (especially if they also want Kane), Calgary, Colorado, etc, would need to be a lot more creative.

That's why I think the options for Toews will be limited, if he does want to move. He'll be able to go to a Colorado or Tampa this summer if he's willing to take a low salary, but it probably won't be possible at the deadline. And hey, that might be what he decides to do. Play the year out in Chicago and see what his options are as a UFA.
 
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Hale The Villain

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Agreed. But his cap hit makes it tricky. Most contenders would need to send an additional asset to a 3rd team for extra salary retention, and remove salary from their active roster to fit him in. All that for a 3rd line player.

We wouldn't need to do either. If he'd be willing to come here, we could probably do 2nd + Jarventie (or equivalent prospect) for Toews with 25% retention, and call it a day.

The ability to do that would give us an advantage. Other teams like the Rangers (especially if they also want Kane), Calgary, Colorado, etc, would need to be a lot more creative.

That's why I think the options for Toews will be limited, if he does want to move.

Toews' low salary shouldn't make retention much of an issue.

I'm not a cap expert by any means so my numbers are probably off, but if Chicago retained 50% of his 2.9M salary today he'll be owed 1.45M the rest of the year, and a team retaining an additional 50% would only be paying 0.7225M.

And of course the trade wouldn't happen until the season is 50-75% over so it would be even cheaper for the 3rd team to retain salary.

Agreed about cap needing to still come back from the acquiring team. A lot of teams put themselves in an inflexible position to make additional acquisitions at the deadline just to fit under the cap. Might make acquiring a rental a little cheaper should we be in a good position around the deadline.
 

DaveMatthew

Bring in Peter
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Toews' low salary shouldn't make retention much of an issue.

I'm not a cap expert by any means so my numbers are probably off, but if Chicago retained 50% of his 2.9M salary today he'll be owed 1.45M the rest of the year, and a team retaining an additional 50% would only be paying 0.7225M.

And of course the trade wouldn't happen until the season is 50-75% over so it would be even cheaper for the 3rd team to retain salary.

The problem isn't his salary, it's his cap hit. The contenders are all up against the cap. Salary owed doesn't matter much to them. Toronto, for example, could not add Toews, even with 75% retention, without making other significant roster moves. Neither could Tampa, Vegas, Florida, Edmonton, Pittsburgh, etc.

I think those teams would be willing to get very creative and make those sacrifices for a guy like Patrick Kane, who's still a top 15 player.

But for Toews, who scored 12 goals and 37 points last year? I doubt it. The Rangers, for example, are not giving up Chytil and Blais to add Toews. No chance. Nor do I think Chicago would be all that interested in that return. They'd probably prefer picks/prospects and no money coming back.

We're in the opposite situation. We can absorb a big cap hit, if it's just for one season. A low real salary makes it even better.
 
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JD1

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Sep 12, 2005
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A cap of 86.5M means revenues of 4.8B

86.5M/1.15x32x2 =4.8B

I imagine that revenue number is 2021/22 as this year it will be back over 5B easily.

US Broadcasts 635M
Rogers 320M (USD estimate)

No idea what the additional central revenues would be.
How much gambling revenue is coming in? That's an equalizer for sure
 

Micklebot

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Our local broadcast contract is very good as well even with C$ taking a beating we are pulling in over 25M USD on that TSN deal.

It certainly was very good relative to other teams at the time we signed it. I'm not sure where it currently ranks though, as more new deals get signed, it likely slides down a bit.
 

DrEasy

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Don’t want Simmonds.

He’s too slow and he won’t sit in the press box for the entire season.

This is a “take our over the hill washed up guy to help out the Leafs” rumour.

They signed Aston-Reese to a PTO just so that they didn’t have to play Simmonds.

Don’t we already have one close to expired vet in Brassard anyway?
The only way I would get him is if Zaitsev goes the other way.
Then bench Simmonds for most games except for when we're playing the Leafs. Send him out there to beat up on all their brats.
 

GCK

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It certainly was very good relative to other teams at the time we signed it. I'm not sure where it currently ranks though, as more new deals get signed, it likely slides down a bit.
Tough to find those numbers.
 

Bjindaho

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Jun 12, 2006
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The only way I would get him is if Zaitsev goes the other way.
Then bench Simmonds for most games except for when we're playing the Leafs. Send him out there to beat up on all their brats.
Toronto can't make that trade. They have less than 700K in cap space and Simmonds only makes 900K.

They have 3 options: play him, trade him for a player on a similar dollar contract who might fit their team better, or trade him and pay the other team to absorb 900K and a contract.
 
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