BarbaraAlphanse
Guest
Because he's had one third of a season of high end offensive production. Until now, he's basically been a .5 PPG player who really didn't bring much to the table other than the points, and great ability in the shootout. If he continues this level of play through the end of the year, we're looking at a 60 point player who can kill penalties, and has some sand paper in his game. This one season will drastically alter his value and will thus drive up the money on a new deal.
Committing to a player after 3/4's of a good season is a very tricky proposition. Especially one who is a group II and will be eligible to be a UFA at the end of next season. It's easy for you as a fan to say "He's not going to regress" but much harder for a NHL team to make that assumption with millions of dollars at stake and a salary cap to worry about.
I'm not saying we should trade him. I want to keep him. However, I'm not naive enough to think that you can just keep him at any cost to the team. It's a risk no matter how you want to spin it.
I'm not saying he won't regress. Typically, a player that doesn't rely on speed and isn't physical enough to induce wear and tear on his body will not regress as fast as someone who needs either/both characteristics to be successful. Zucc's success is derived on vision on the ice and the precision of his passes. This is how he was playing in the Olympics 4 years ago.
The potential is there and he's shown the ability to pay dividends for this club when given the chance. Since November he's scored something like 7 goals and had like 15-16 assists. He had a slow start, but so did everyone on our team. Since then, he's been the most consistent forward we have, along with Kreider.
You look for consistency. Clearly a risk with giving ANY player a big contract is that they won't perform. It was a risk with McD. It'll be a risk with Staal next year, and with Girardi this year, and thus forth. But given Zucc's track record, I don't think that he's the player that will regress after the contract (from our list of players that are eligible for new contracts). He's never really been given a chance to succeed. Torts system was offensive creativity averse... Zucc's success as a player is based on creativity. Is it a wonder he's playing up to Olympic standards now that AV is the coach?
3 year deal at 3/3.25 per? Desharnais as the comparable he had 4/14 or an AAV of 3.5 a year. That's not crippling to any team.