With the progress Duclair and Buchnevich have made, it's not outlandish to suggest that they might do better than many 1st and 2nd round picks from the 2013 draft.
Duclair plays in the Q. The Rangers have had previous players out of the Q such as Christian Dube who was the best CHL player in 1995-96 and never made it to the NHL. He beat out Inginla for that award. Every player is different. The Rangers were thrilled to grab Dube in the 2nd round. We can't believe this player was available. We had him rated as a 1st rounder. Smith refused to include him a deal for Shanahan.
http://www.eliteprospects.com/player.php?player=10819
Hartford GM Jim Rutherford approached Smith and offered Shanahan in exchange for Alexei Kovalev, Dan Cloutier, Christian Dube and Jeff Brown. The Rangers rejected the offer; they were not, Smith insisted at the time, going to surrender such valuable young talent for Shanahan, no matter his track record. Indeed, the GM fairly ridiculed Rutherford’s request.
In retrospect, given that we now know that neither center Dube nor defenseman Brown will play for the Rangers, the rejection was nothing less than a colossal mistake. Adding Shanahan to a team that was able to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals might well have given the Rangers their second Cup in four years. It would have given the team a forward in his prime around whom to build.
http://nypost.com/1999/01/24/shanahan-still-haunts-rangers-failure-to-deal-led-to-downfall/
"For a club like ours, the most important decision becomes does he advance our cause on the ice just by having him there?" said Smith, who pointed to young centers like Niklas Sundstrom, Christian Dube and Chris Ferraro, as well as the veteran Sergei Nemchinov, as players that Gretzky would likely take ice time away from.
http://www.nytimes.com/1996/07/11/sports/hockey-gretzky-and-rangers-in-no-rush.html
Shanahan was 27 in 1996. Smith tried to acquire him from Keenan in St.Louis for Kovalev and Beukeboom or Matteau. Keenan trades him to Hartford for Pronger. Smith has a chance to acquire him again. One of the deals included Adam Graves because Rutherford knew Graves from Windsor. Smith turned it down. Graves was a diminished player because of his back.
Buchnevich slid because of the KHL factor. There is usually a soap opera involved getting players out of the KHL. The KHL team pressures the player to stay. The NHL team wants him to sign. That's why teams don't want that headache. Its hard enough to run a team without dealing with another league.