1) Yes, we disagree on the impact.
2) Fair value is what the market will bear. That just is what it is.
3) Okay, fair enough. We disagree here too.
And if you legitimately believe that this team is a true contender for the cup and losing Callahan will change that, then that's the one scenario that makes a scintilla of sense to me (although, I'd likely still trade Callahan for the long-term benefit of the team). So, this leaves me with just one last question: in regards to #3 above, you mean to tell me that you think the Rangers are as good or better than all of:
Anaheim
St. Louis
Chicago
Pittsburgh
San Jose
Colorado
Boston
Tampa Bay
Correct? Because unless you tell me that you believe that they're up at the very top of that list, then I once again maintain that your stance makes no sense.
You don't remember '93-'94. I do. Trust me when I say THAT was a contender. And I remember a whole bunch of other seasons where the team wasn't quite good enough and didn't make the right long-term move. It's precisely why I am adamant that they trade Callahan.
The best team's aren't necessarily the ones that win the cup. I've said time and time again that there is a list of intangibles that need to occur for any cup team: Getting hot at the right time, a better team getting cold at the wrong time, players stepping up for whatever reason, timely scoring, momentum swings at ideal moments, resilience, etc. All of those things need to happen for any team.
As for the teams you listed:
Anaheim - Yes, I think we can beat them. No I don't think they'll make the cup. Boudreau isn't the best playoffs coach, his system is beatable. Caps were the powerhouse Ana is now in their peak years. They couldn't overcome that hump.
St. Louis - Yes, I think we can beat them. Their defense would hypothetically give us massive problems but their goaltending is unproven in pressure. I think it'll be their downfall, wherever they end up losing in the playoffs. They also lack a powerful offense. They'll play a lot of close games and rely on that spotty goaltending.
Chicago - Yes, I think we can beat them. It will have to take us hitting a hot patch and them hitting a cold one. Not out of the picture, but not likely either. They are a better team than us.
Pittsburgh - Yes, I think we can beat them. Spotty defense. Headcase goalie. If you shut down their first line they struggle for offense too.
San Jose - Yes, I think we can beat them. Perennial choke artists. Thornton hasn't led one of their teams to the cup. I don't think they can get to the cup.
Colorado - Yes, I think we can beat them. They're the easiest team that you listed to beat. If taken lightly, they can beat us... but that's only if we don't show up and play our game.
Boston - Yes, I think we can beat them. I list the same probabilities and chances of us beating them as Chicago. They are the better team, certain intangibles need to go right for us to beat them.
Tampa Bay - It's either we play TB or Boston. The 2 will have to play each other. If they get banged up, I can see us beating them too. They match up poorly for us though.
The point is, we don't have to be the best team to win the cup. We have to hit our stride, get key breaks, and be resilient. Those are the keys to the playoffs. Being the best team doesn't guarantee the cup.