Tracking the Playoffs Thread

[FreeBoomer61]

Here is how I see this playing out:

DAL: plays at SJS, and I'm sure that will be extremely difficult to beat the Sharks on their home ice, then they play us and finish off the regular season against DET. HOPEFULLY, they lose at SJS and to us, then beat DET. Essentially (in my mind), they've been all but eliminated.

DET: They play all at home until they play at DAL to close out the season. Like I said above, I'm praying they lose in regulation at DAL. Now out of their 3 remaining games at home, the likeliest game they drop out of those is against LA. So if they go 2-2, that leaves them maxing out at 52 points, and at 2-1-1, 53 points. Hopefully, at best, they get to 52 - which I see as likely, and very possible.

Now that leaves us. If the top two scenarios work out like I have typed above, then the Jackets will only need one win in their final two (but rooting for both W's against DAL and NSH!) to beat out DET if they reach 52 points. That extra W would be HUGE, putting us at 55 total points.

If we were to win out against DAL and NSH, Detroit will have to collect 7 of 8 points in their final 4 to tie (and beat) the Jackets.

Just win baby, and hope Detroit loses.

 

[NotWendell]

Damn, this is fun! Sure beats arguing over who to pick in the draft.

 

[Mayor Bee]

Here is the deal now.

A San Jose regulation win against Dallas would be huge. That would mean with 100% certainty that we would control our destiny (regarding Dallas) even if we lost to Dallas in regulation. A win against Nashville would seal it and no goofy tiebreakers could spoil us.

The Wings are a different story though. Tommorrow will be huge for them as well.

Columbus can control its playoff destiny outright with a Detroit regulation loss against Phoenix tomorrow. The destiny in regards to Dallas (and Phoenix) is currently in the hands of Columbus.

 

[hsfgsteele]

Crazy to think that at the start of march we had a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs, now its 45.8%. Hopefully the yotes get their last regulation win of the season tomorrow.

 

[CBJWerenski8]

If DET loses two regulation games, and DAL loses one regulation game, we control everything.

 

[Robert]

Here is how I see this playing out:

DAL: plays at SJS, and I'm sure that will be extremely difficult to beat the Sharks on their home ice, then they play us and finish off the regular season against DET. HOPEFULLY, they lose at SJS and to us, then beat DET. Essentially (in my mind), they've been all but eliminated.

DET: They play all at home until they play at DAL to close out the season. Like I said above, I'm praying they lose in regulation at DAL. Now out of their 3 remaining games at home, the likeliest game they drop out of those is against LA. So if they go 2-2, that leaves them maxing out at 52 points, and at 2-1-1, 53 points. Hopefully, at best, they get to 52 - which I see as likely, and very possible.

Now that leaves us. If the top two scenarios work out like I have typed above, then the Jackets will only need one win in their final two (but rooting for both W's against DAL and NSH!) to beat out DET if they reach 52 points. That extra W would be HUGE, putting us at 55 total points.

If we were to win out against DAL and NSH, Detroit will have to collect 7 of 8 points in their final 4 to tie (and beat) the Jackets.

Just win baby, and hope Detroit loses.

That's it, if we win out and Detroit only takes 6 points or less in their last 4 games we are in...


The KEY is, we must win our last two games... period.

 

[Cash for Nash]

Here is how I see this playing out:

DAL: plays at SJS, and I'm sure that will be extremely difficult to beat the Sharks on their home ice, then they play us and finish off the regular season against DET. HOPEFULLY, they lose at SJS and to us, then beat DET. Essentially (in my mind), they've been all but eliminated.

DET: They play all at home until they play at DAL to close out the season. Like I said above, I'm praying they lose in regulation at DAL. Now out of their 3 remaining games at home, the likeliest game they drop out of those is against LA. So if they go 2-2, that leaves them maxing out at 52 points, and at 2-1-1, 53 points. Hopefully, at best, they get to 52 - which I see as likely, and very possible.

Now that leaves us. If the top two scenarios work out like I have typed above, then the Jackets will only need one win in their final two (but rooting for both W's against DAL and NSH!) to beat out DET if they reach 52 points. That extra W would be HUGE, putting us at 55 total points.

If we were to win out against DAL and NSH, Detroit will have to collect 7 of 8 points in their final 4 to tie (and beat) the Jackets.

Just win baby, and hope Detroit loses.

I think you're right on with Dallas

But beware of projecting the Wings at 2-2. This is a team that has made the playoffs for two straight decades and is playing at home for 3 straight against 1 bad team (Nashville) one so-so team (PHX) and an LA team that will have played the night before. And by the time they get to Dallas the stars could possibly be eliminated and not have as much to play for . There is a reason us and the Wings have virtually the same percentage (even now) of making the playoffs.

It's gonna be close. I just hope one way or another we don't get cliped by this stupid tiebreaker when we finally beat their ass in a season series.

 

[plong123]

TODAY'S ROOTING INTERESTS MON APR 22​

PHOENIX over Detroit 7:30pm NBCSN (We're only a game behind Detroit now in ROW tiebreaker. Just remember, if Detroit wins, we want it to be in a shootout)

WINNIPEG over Buffalo 7pm (NYR are on a tear. The 'Peg needs a monster finish to pull this off)

SCENARIOS​

If CBJ win out (4 more points): DAL is eliminated, Detroit still needs to drop 2 points. Bonus Fun scenario: If all remaining CBJ wins are regulation, and Detroit only wins one more in Reg/OT, we would be tied in ROW and then would hold the second tiebreaker over them. Basically, rooting for all DET games to go to shootout right now is not a bad thing, as long as the lose ONE of them.

If CBJ lose: Too many permutations. Crystal ball will become clearer before Thursday's game @ DAL.

WILD CARD (see what I did there?): Minnesota. If they lose all willy-nilly down the stretch, both CBJ and DET could possibly make playoffs.

In all honesty, WE JUST NEED WINS AND IT WILL WORK ITSELF OUT. BELIEVE TRAIN 2013

 

[Mayor Bee]

TODAY'S ROOTING INTERESTS MON APR 22​

PHOENIX over Detroit 7:30pm NBCSN (We're only a game behind Detroit now in ROW tiebreaker. Just remember, if Detroit wins, we want it to be in a shootout)

WINNIPEG over Buffalo 7pm (NYR are on a tear. The 'Peg needs a monster finish to pull this off)

SCENARIOS​

If CBJ win out (4 more points): DAL is eliminated, Detroit still needs to drop 2 points. Bonus Fun scenario: If all remaining CBJ wins are regulation, and Detroit only wins one more in Reg/OT, we would be tied in ROW and then would hold the second tiebreaker over them. Basically, rooting for all DET games to go to shootout right now is not a bad thing, as long as the lose ONE of them.

If CBJ lose: Too many permutations. Crystal ball will become clearer before Thursday's game @ DAL.

WILD CARD (see what I did there?): Minnesota. If they lose all willy-nilly down the stretch, both CBJ and DET could possibly make playoffs.

In all honesty, WE JUST NEED WINS AND IT WILL WORK ITSELF OUT. BELIEVE TRAIN 2013

This is the time of the year that I just hope for teams to start clinching things so I can relax on the magic numbers thread on the main board. This year, everything gets more and more complicated with every passing day.

 

[Flames Fanatic]

Best of luck guys. Flames are doing our best to help out by beating Minny and Detroit for you. Who needs Mackinnon when you can have Monahan anyways!

 

[Teeder9]

One more win and you're in. I know math says differently, but hope says one more win

 

[jjyay]

One more win and you're in. I know math says differently, but hope says one more win

It's possible. There are a couple ways Jackets could clinch with a win on Thursday (easier path starts with Phoenix beating Detroit in regulation tomorrow night).

 

[joshjoshjosh]

 

[grindline]

I genuinely believe we get 4 points and that will be enough. An ot win against Dallas and a regulation won against Nashville means joy. I also see an increasing likelihood that Minnesota miss out.

 

[CBJ Tiffin]

Best of luck guys. Flames are doing our best to help out by beating Minny and Detroit for you. Who needs Mackinnon when you can have Monahan anyways!

Much appreciated! Nice job!

 

[Jive Pawnbroker]

I remember an interview that Anisimov gave after the Jackets beat Colorado back in early March to go to 6-12-4 and start all of this madness we've enjoyed over the past eight weeks. After the game he said that they picked up two "huge" points in that win. At the time I laughed it off and thought nothing of it.

What have I learned today? Anisimov is a hell of a lot smarter than I am. I'm sorry for dissing your comment, Arty - those two points may get the CBJ into the playoffs.

 

[Double-Shift Lasse]

Crazy to think that at the start of march we had a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs, now its 45.8%. Hopefully the yotes get their last regulation win of the season tomorrow.

Which goes back to something I posted over the weekend, about how weird it is to read people talking about having to win out as thought it's a thing that could happen.

This is the time of the year that I just hope for teams to start clinching things so I can relax on the magic numbers thread on the main board. This year, everything gets more and more complicated with every passing day.

I was thinking this this morning (although not in the same mathematical fashion) - in particualr that Detroit and Dallas each getting one point in their last games makes things muddier.

 

[Xoggz22]

We control our destiny against Dallas. Win out and they won't be a problem, by virtue of us playing them.

It's Detroit that has to lose a game. And they're the ones I'm worried about.

It's remote but we can't sleep on Phoenix just yet either. Their game with Detroit is very big and we don't want 3 pt games for the teams chasing us. Phoenix still has 54 pt potential (granted if CBJ wins their last two it's moot).

 

[Samkow]

It's remote but we can't sleep on Phoenix just yet either. Their game with Detroit is very big and we don't want 3 pt games for the teams chasing us. Phoenix still has 54 pt potential (granted if CBJ wins their last two it's moot).

I'm mostly worried about tiebreakers. We control our destiny against Phoenix and Dallas. Not so against Detroit and Minnesota

If we don't win both of the games, we can probably kiss the playoff's goodbye. I have faith that we are capable of winning them both, although I do wonder how a random 4 day break in the schedule is going to affect the teams momentum.

 

[Double-Shift Lasse]

More rooting for LAK in the coming days. Make me sick. Preds are going to have a say, too.

I don't know if it's possible, but I think the best to hope for is that a CBJ win vs. Nashville puts them in regardless of who wins the DAL-DET game, which will be played concurrently.

 

[Fro]

More rooting for LAK in the coming days. Make me sick. Preds are going to have a say, too.

I don't know if it's possible, but I think the best to hope for is that a CBJ win vs. Nashville puts them in regardless of who wins the DAL-DET game, which will be played concurrently.

come to the darkside...

 

[Iron Balls McGinty]

I know this is a long shot but unless I am mistaken, if Detroit loses 2 of their next 3 in regulation and Dallas loses to SJ on Tuesday, a win against Dallas on Thursday should clinch 8th. Detroit would still be 3 points down with 1 to go and Dallas would be behind them in the standings.

I think that is the only scenario where I don't see this coming down to the last day of the season to decide.

 

[blahblah]

I don't know if it's possible, but I think the best to hope for is that a CBJ win vs. Nashville puts them in regardless of who wins the DAL-DET game, which will be played concurrently.

Sure it is possible.

If we get 2 points on Thursday, that is a possible 5 points up. It is possible that we could go into Saturday already being in. However the game could also still be meaningful on getting the 7th seed.

If Dallas loses then beats us in OT or SO on Thursday, we are two points up on them with 1 game to go.

It is probably possible to go into Saturday with 4 teams in it for two spots, all playing concurrently.

What I find funny is that not one nationally televised game in either country on Saturday, has any meaning beyond maybe a slight seeding adjustment, other than, maybe, NJ/Rangers.

NBCSC should change their Thursday game, even if it isn't possible. There are two more meaningful games on.

 

[pete goegan]

It is probably possible to go into Saturday with 4 teams in it for two spots, all playing concurrently.

Yikes! Thanks for the nightmares.

 

[Double-Shift Lasse]

Yikes! Thanks for the nightmares.

Agreed but what an atmosphere at Nationwide if that's the case. An already amped-up crowd would be hanging on every update of the out-of-town scoreboard. That said, I'll be at Saturday's game and would prefer one of those possible-if-unlikely "already clinched" scenarios. For my health, anyway...