So I thought
this comment was really interesting.
Sheldon Keefe says Fraser Minten will get another opportunity in the Leafs preseason finale on Saturday. “The thing with Fraser — he really hasn’t taken a step back at any time. “
I've had a somewhat unique opportunity to observe some of this, over the past decade.
tldr up front: I think what Keefe said has great meaning, and is quite accurate - including the "big picture" sense
Here goes:
There was an awesome "spring" program (effectively year round hockey) here in Vancouver. Well, many awesome ones actually. This particular one was put on by a great guy out here in Vancouver, which allowed our kids to have an excellent environment to compete in at a young age.
It was an eclectic club, and would often invite other kids from Kodiaks, Bears, Vipers etc, to make up teams. The older ohfour and ohfive kids would be supplemented with a lot of ohsixes to field multiple teams, and they would often succeed against older teams because of those leaders – am thinking Fraser, Lukas,
Connor (not Bedard, another Connor). We would often see Hiroki, and sometimes Macklin and Dryden would be invited out. All of these kids have either been drafted in the NHL, or will be next May. I could name another handful of kids from the program that have NCAA commitments. Great program, my kid benefitted in a unique way from it.
But hockey is a late development sport. Easy to dominate at age 10 if one has size and weight advantage, if one has been on skates year round since age 2. Except it wasn’t easy to dominate in this spring league, because lots of the kids were big, and all of them had been on skates since age 2. I can still remember AC’ing some U7’s at the NAHC and the HC was line matching and had them playing systems that he would adjust as soon as he identified the other team’s weaknesses. Fraser’s younger brother was on that team.
Anyway, at the time, Lukas and Connor (not Bedard, other Connor) were the game-breakers, and Lukas was a year younger. In intra squad games, the kids would be like “It’s not fair, they have Lukas” or “they have Connor”. Fraser was strong, but those two and Kai and Damon were a step above.
Anyway, Connor and Lukas were drafted into the WHL in the first round, while Fraser went in iirc the 4th round. But by the time they were playing together, Fraser was easily matching Connor’s production, and getting a bigger role. I wish the best for Connor, but I was not surprised when he got drafted in the 7th round, the year after Fraser went in the 2nd (Fraser being three months older, straddling the draft cutoff). Connor’s trajectory has been trending that way, still an amazing feat to be drafted at all, and I hope that somehow he makes it.
Add to that Fraser’s time in West Van centering Bedard - which I think forced him to elevate his game at a crucial time in his development - and he seems to be very well set up to succeed, barring injury.
Sadly, Junior is not really what he needs this year, while the NHL seems to be just too big of a jump. With AHL not an option, Euro leagues not really an option, it’s too bad he isn’t playing NCAA. Anyway, I hope it all works out for him.
eta: re Lukas, in his case obviously it was his dad that had the greatest impact on his development, not this particular program - although I believe that he, like all of them, benefited from a great competitive spring environment