Confirmed with Link: [TOR/OTT] Matt Murray (25% retention), a 3rd in 2023 and a 7th in 2024 for Future Considerations.

  • Xenforo Cloud will be upgrading us to version 2.3.5 on March 3rd at 12 AM GMT. This version has increased stability and fixes several bugs. We expect downtime for the duration of the update. The admin team will continue to work on existing issues, templates and upgrade all necessary available addons to minimize impact of this new version. Click Here for Updates
Status
Not open for further replies.
The thing missing in your argument, that we actually put ourselves in a position where we were so desperate to fill the net we had to compete with other teams for his services. Our bargaining position was very weak and Ottawa knew it.

That was kinda part of my point. I’m not sure why anyone would be pointing to Ottawa’s bargaining position and ignoring that ours was weak as well. Theirs moreso as evidenced by the fact we still gave up nothing for him, but we simply didn’t have Ottawa over a barrel as some suggest the retention/assets should reflect.
 
Montreal threw some extra weak shots on net, but it was pretty even overall.

Actually, it more-so shows how bad it is to draw conclusions based entirely on the shot counter.

In regulation time, we had more xGF, and just for you, more shots. We showed up, and we didn't rely on Jack. And then Jack blew it in OT when we were completely wrecking them.

If by weak shots you mean breakaways and getting robbed on a 2/1 sure yeah weak shots

Pretty obvious you don't actually watch the games

Additionally your favorite in your stat that It have attempted to jam down people's throats ( but only one year of it because Murray is ass the other years)

GSAx

He was the 4th best goalie the entire playoffs. Not to mention his save% was better then any one that Murray put up in his career

So obviously the leafs got great Goaltending in the playoffs by every metric and you're just making shit up

Not sure why you keep trying to spin this. Not having confidence in specifically your goalie's ability to make the big save =/= lacking confidence in general.

Better save % then Murray has ever put up by both Anderson and Jack we're getting more then adequate goal tending on a regular occurance in the playoffs
 
I have more faith in Murray bouncing back then I do Campbell taking the oil anywhere so....
I think Jack is going to be lights out at the beginning until some form of injury sidelines him for a short time. After he comes back he will struggle to find his form and then the pressure to live up to his contract will crater him mentally. He will feel he is letting everyone down etc...

I would rather take a chance on Murray with all his warts than do a deja vu with Jack again TBH. At least with Murray you know he CAN win the big games because he has done it before. Will his body hold up? I don't know...but it's not like Jack was a Martin Brodeur back there for us with his ability to play a lot.
 
If by weak shots you mean breakaways and getting robbed on a 2/1 sure yeah weak shots
Both teams had some good chances, but that shot disparity primarily represents the disparity in non-threatening shots, not some dominating performance.
Pretty obvious you don't actually watch the games
I've seen every single minute of every single game in the Matthews era.
GSAx He was the 4th best goalie the entire playoffs.
He was 5th actually. Overall, Campbell put up decent goaltending that playoffs (against a below average offensive-conversion team), but he unfortunately had some horrible moments at some critical times like that game 6 OT. And unfortunately, his opponent was #2 on that list, and had some of his best moments of the playoffs in those same critical moments Campbell struggled with.
 
Yes he made couple of good save but still allowed 2 weak goal on that game...

Perry goal was weak. Overplayed the shot, unable to control or redirect the rebound on the corner, get caught our of his net... = weak goal

Kk goal = weak goal

So yes he made great save but all his good work erase by 2 weak goal

Thats the difference between a great game, an average or okay game and a bad game...

Game #5 was a weak game
Game #6 was an average game
Game 7 was a weak game


You just cant only having weak or average game on key game during playoff and hope to win... That what a goalie like Mike Smith giving up to Edmonton and everyone was telling he was not good enought and Edmonton was in trouble with him in net but... Campbell doing praticly the same exact thing in front a much better defensive team but campbell is good...
People in Edmonton who cried about Mike Smith are going to hate Jack. Smith was the type of goalie who could make an impossible save and 2 min later let in a shot that had no business going in. That is basically Jack. They just tied themselves to him for 5yrs and it's quite honestly going to be fun to watch. They thought they were getting another Hyman....they did not.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: thusk
Not sure why you keep trying to spin this. Not having confidence in specifically your goalie's ability to make the big save =/= lacking confidence in general.
We all know why you don’t answer question. It's your admission, and that’s why we ask them.

Five years is a long time.
 
We all know why you don’t answer question. It's your admission, and that’s why we ask them.
There is no question to answer.

A statement was made about how the team likely didn't have much confidence in their goalie's ability to make a big save (especially if they decided to completely abandon defensive structure like was being suggested), after Campbell completely blew the game 6 OT against Montreal that the Leafs were dominating. You have tried to twist this into a negative statement about the team's confidence in general, and then you asked a question about how long this thing that's not a thing and you completely made up has been happening.

Not having confidence in specifically your goalie's ability to make the big save =/= lacking confidence in general. Our confidence is not the issue. Finding a goalie that can make the big save in critical moments has been the issue.
 
I think Jack will perform well in Edmonton and that we'll regret passing on him for Murray, who I fully expect to crash and burn here.

That's my expectation but anything can happen with goalies so we'll see.

But if it does work out that way and it costs the Leafs over the next 2 years, I think Dubas should have to fall on his sword over it.
 
Inherited Goalies from 105 point team 2017-18 : Frederik Andersen, Curtis McElhinney, Joseph Woll (drafted)

Goalies brought in since:

Garret Sparks
Michael Hutchinson
Jack Campbell
Kasimir Kaskisuo
David Rittich
Petr Mrazek
Erik Kallgren
Dylan Ferguson to a PTO

Current plan: Matt Murray, and Ilya Samsonov

Confindence based on previous decisions made thinking it made the team Cup Competitive : Low
 
Inherited Goalies from 105 point team 2017-18 : Frederik Andersen, Curtis McElhinney, Joseph Woll (drafted)

Goalies brought in since:

Garret Sparks
Michael Hutchinson
Jack Campbell
Kasimir Kaskisuo
David Rittich
Petr Mrazek
Erik Kallgren
Dylan Ferguson to a PTO

Current plan: Matt Murray, and Ilya Samsonov

Confindence based on previous decisions made thinking it made the team Cup Competitive : Low

Pat Quinn and Belfour
Pat Quinn and Joseph
Pat Burns and Potvin
 
Pat Quinn and Belfour
Pat Quinn and Joseph
Pat Burns and Potvin
As a Leafs fans those were the last 3 times there was confidence in net, and that the Leafs goalie wasn't the weakest link, despite being the most important position to playoff success.

Mike Palmateer in the 1970's with Darryl, Lanny, Borje and Turnbull and then Johnny Bower and Terry Sawchuk in the 1960's.

Leafs having the longest NHL Cup drought is likely connected their goalies of choice since Johnny Bower. Its amazing in 50+ years you can name on one hand the Leafs goalies that would give you confidence that they could backstop a team to victory.

They had Bernie Parent but they trade him to Philly so they could win 2 Cups in the 1970s and they traded away the pick that became Roberto Luongo and of course a greenhorn GM trading Rask to keep Pogge, were all big misses.

'Good teams are built from the goalie out, through strong defense .... "
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: fahad203
As a Leafs fans those were the last 3 times there was confidence in net, and that the Leafs goalie wasn't the weakest link, despite being the most important position to playoff success.

Once again, spot on, can't win without good goaltending.

Darcy Kuemper 2022 playoffs - .902 sv%
 
Once again, spot on, can't win without good goaltending.

Darcy Kuemper 2022 playoffs - .902 sv%

Darcy Kuemper was 5th overall in 2021-22 reg season with a .921 sv%, and the 10th best GA/G @ 2.54 & 4th in wins with 37. [2021-22 NHL Player Goaltending Stats | ESPN]

and was 5th overall in Goals saved above expected GSAx at +21.0 [ NHL Goalie Statistics]

He got hurt in the playoffs and missed games and played at less than 100% but he still beat the Conn Smythe reigning and 2 x Cup winning goalie Vasilevskiy in the final.

This is why Washington dumped their goalies including Leafs new goalie Samsonov, in order to go all in on Kuemper because of his underlying #'s.

If Leafs went all in on Kuemper a UFA, there could be a strong case for taking that chance despite less then steller playoff #'s, particularly because NYR, CAR, TB, FLorida, and now Washington all have top 5 goalies based on stats.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: mclaren55
Inherited Goalies from 105 point team 2017-18 : Frederik Andersen, Curtis McElhinney, Joseph Woll (drafted)

Goalies brought in since:

Garret Sparks
Michael Hutchinson
Jack Campbell
Kasimir Kaskisuo
David Rittich
Petr Mrazek
Erik Kallgren
Dylan Ferguson to a PTO

Current plan: Matt Murray, and Ilya Samsonov

Confindence based on previous decisions made thinking it made the team Cup Competitive : Low
That list says to me that current Leaf management has no idea about goaltending and basically treats it like an afterthought
 
If Expected Goals Saved above expected is your measure then these are true Contenders in Net.

Washington went out and dumped Samsonov and now has #5th best Darcy Kuemper. So the beasts of the east in net are all at the top of this list so its not surprising they were also the final 4 in the Eastern Conference.

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]NHL Goaltending Leaders Goals Saved above Expected - 2021-22[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]Games[/TD]
[TD]Goals[/TD]
[TD]Expected[/TD]
[TD]Goals Saved[/TD]
[TD]Goals Saved[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Rank[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]Name[/TD]
[TD]Played[/TD]
[TD]Against[/TD]
[TD]Goals[/TD]
[TD]Above[/TD]
[TD]Above Expected[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]Against[/TD]
[TD]Expected[/TD]
[TD]Per 60[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
1​
[/TD]

[TD]New York Rangers[/TD]
[TD]Igor Shesterkin[/TD]

[TD]
53​
[/TD]

[TD]
106​
[/TD]

[TD]140.10[/TD]
[TD]34.10[/TD]
[TD]0.666[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
2​
[/TD]

[TD]Tampa Bay Lightning[/TD]
[TD]Andrei Vasilevskiy[/TD]

[TD]
63​
[/TD]

[TD]
156​
[/TD]

[TD]184.41[/TD]
[TD]28.40[/TD]
[TD]0.453[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
3​
[/TD]

[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD]Frederik Andersen[/TD]

[TD]
52​
[/TD]

[TD]
111​
[/TD]

[TD]138.82[/TD]
[TD]27.80[/TD]
[TD]0.543[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
4​
[/TD]

[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD]Sergei Bobrovsky[/TD]

[TD]
54​
[/TD]

[TD]
137​
[/TD]

[TD]160.39[/TD]
[TD]23.40[/TD]
[TD]0.456[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
5​
[/TD]

[TD]Colorado Avalanche ( now Washington)[/TD]
[TD]Darcy Kuemper[/TD]

[TD]
57​
[/TD]

[TD]
138​
[/TD]

[TD]158.97[/TD]
[TD]21.00[/TD]
[TD]0.387[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
6​
[/TD]

[TD]Nashville Predators[/TD]
[TD]Juuse Saros[/TD]

[TD]
67​
[/TD]

[TD]
173​
[/TD]

[TD]193.69[/TD]
[TD]20.70[/TD]
[TD]0.316[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
7​
[/TD]

[TD]Los Angeles Kings[/TD]
[TD]Jonathan Quick[/TD]

[TD]
46​
[/TD]

[TD]
116​
[/TD]

[TD]133.80[/TD]
[TD]17.80[/TD]
[TD]0.398[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
8​
[/TD]

[TD]Winnipeg Jets[/TD]
[TD]Connor Hellebuyck[/TD]

[TD]
66​
[/TD]

[TD]
193​
[/TD]

[TD]209.65[/TD]
[TD]16.70[/TD]
[TD]0.257[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
9​
[/TD]

[TD]St. Louis Blues (Now Detroit)[/TD]
[TD]Ville Husso[/TD]

[TD]
40​
[/TD]

[TD]
100​
[/TD]

[TD]113.54[/TD]
[TD]13.50[/TD]
[TD]0.346[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
10​
[/TD]

[TD]New York Islanders[/TD]
[TD]Ilya Sorokin[/TD]

[TD]
52​
[/TD]

[TD]
123​
[/TD]

[TD]135.77[/TD]
[TD]12.80[/TD]
[TD]0.250[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
11​
[/TD]

[TD]Pittsburgh Penguins[/TD]
[TD]Tristan Jarry[/TD]

[TD]
58​
[/TD]

[TD]
138​
[/TD]

[TD]150.76[/TD]
[TD]12.80[/TD]
[TD]0.225[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
12​
[/TD]

[TD]Calgary Flames[/TD]
[TD]Jacob Markstrom[/TD]

[TD]
63​
[/TD]

[TD]
137​
[/TD]

[TD]147.84[/TD]
[TD]10.80[/TD]
[TD]0.175[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Murray the previous year in 2020-21 in 27 games was almost unplayable at -15.9 GSAx and -.0679 GSAx per 60 and ranked 95th.

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]
95​
[/TD]

[TD]Ottawa Senators[/TD]
[TD]Matt Murray[/TD]

[TD]
27​
[/TD]

[TD]
79​
[/TD]

[TD]63.09[/TD]
[TD](15.90)[/TD]
[TD](0.679)[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

For reference Jack Campbell was 7th @ +8.4

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]
7​
[/TD]

[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD]Jack Campbell[/TD]

[TD]
22​
[/TD]

[TD]
46​
[/TD]

[TD]54.40[/TD]
[TD]8.40[/TD]
[TD]0.392[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Notice how he gives the 21-22 stats in the above table...but when comparing Murray and Campbell, he needs to go back to the 20-21 randomly, because Murray was actually significantly better than Campbell by this metric in the most recent season. Really a masterclass in constantly having the most negative messaging possible regardless of any logical consistency.
 
That list says to me that current Leaf management has no idea about goaltending and basically treats it like an afterthought

Which one of these guys is suppose to be the upgrade to Jack Campbell and Leafs new starter?

Matt Murray last years stats.


1660654465631.png


A goalie that only played in 20 games due to injury winning only 5.. but who was 61st in GAA and 53rd in sv%. is not a logical choice as a upgrade in net.

This is not Leafs backup goalie this is likely Leafs expected starter at cap cost expected to carry the main load. The problem here is Leafs other goalie acquired is even worse statistically..

Ilya Samsonov last year stats

1660654849302.png


He played in 40 games but he ended up 60th in GAA and 75th in sv% .

Jack Campbell stats ..


1660655138207.png


Jack won 31 games for the Leafs was 28th in GAA and 26th in sv%.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Stamkos4life
Which one of these guys is suppose to be the upgrade to Jack Campbell and Leafs new starter?

Matt Murray last years stats.


View attachment 577317

A goalie that only played in 20 games due to injury winning only 5.. but who was 61st in GAA and 53rd in sv%. is not a logical choice as a upgrade in net.

This is not Leafs backup goalie this is likely Leafs expected starter at cap cost expected to carry the main load. The problem here is Leafs other goalie acquired is even worse statistically..

Ilya Samsonov last year stats

View attachment 577319

He played in 40 games but he ended up 60th in GAA and 75th in sv% .

Jack Campbell stats ..


View attachment 577321

Jack won 31 games for the Leafs was 28th in GAA and 26th in sv%.

Wait, where did Goals Saved Above Expected go? You literally just made a post yesterday using that metric to rank goalies.

and was 5th overall in Goals saved above expected GSAx at +21.0 [ NHL Goalie Statistics]

He got hurt in the playoffs and missed games and played at less than 100% but he still beat the Conn Smythe reigning and 2 x Cup winning goalie Vasilevskiy in the final.

This is why Washington dumped their goalies including Leafs new goalie Samsonov, in order to go all in on Kuemper because of his underlying #'s.

If Leafs went all in on Kuemper a UFA, there could be a strong case for taking that chance despite less then steller playoff #'s, particularly because NYR, CAR, TB, FLorida, and now Washington all have top 5 goalies based on stats.

You just claimed NYR, CAR, TB, Florida and Washington have the top 5 goalies. The stat you were using to justify that claim was last years Goals Saved Above Expected.

Matt Murray was +3.2 in GSAx last year. Above average.

Jack Campbell was at -2.3 in GSAx last year. Quite bad.

So to answer your question, Matt Murray is the upgrade on Jack Campbell I guess.
 
If Leafs went all in on Kuemper a UFA, there could be a strong case for taking that chance despite less then steller playoff #'s, particularly because NYR, CAR, TB, FLorida, and now Washington all have top 5 goalies based on stats.
If Leafs went all-in on Kuemper as UFA, we'd be hearing about how stupid it was to get a guy with an eye injury, who was the 2nd worst goalie in the playoffs, who was a negative the year before, who is 32 and signed until he's 37, who has only played more than 31 games in a season twice in his entire career. We'd be hearing about how we could have gotten a younger, cheaper two-time cup winner with less risky term, and got paid in draft picks to do it, but Dubas decided to sabotage the future for the present, and take a risk that Kuemper was going to repeat his career numbers that he put up behind a cup winner.

NYR, Carolina, Tampa, Florida, and Washington have the goalies with the best stats last year, but that doesn't make them the 5 best goalies in the league, or mean that they're going to put up those results next year. You don't seem to get how much goaltending results fluctuate. Literally 3 of those top 5 were in the negatives the year prior.
Matt Murray last years stats.

View attachment 577317

A goalie that only played in 20 games due to injury winning only 5.. but who was 61st in GAA and 53rd in sv%. is not a logical choice as a upgrade in net.

This is not Leafs backup goalie this is likely Leafs expected starter at cap cost expected to carry the main load. The problem here is Leafs other goalie acquired is even worse statistically..

Ilya Samsonov last year stats

View attachment 577319

He played in 40 games but he ended up 60th in GAA and 75th in sv% .

Jack Campbell stats ..

View attachment 577321

Jack won 31 games for the Leafs was 28th in GAA and 26th in sv%.
Why did you use GSAx before and then ignore GSAx in this post? Did it have anything to do with the fact that Murray had the best GSAx of the 3 last year?
 
Darcy Kuemper was 5th overall in 2021-22 reg season with a .921 sv%, and the 10th best GA/G @ 2.54 & 4th in wins with 37. [2021-22 NHL Player Goaltending Stats | ESPN]

and was 5th overall in Goals saved above expected GSAx at +21.0 [ NHL Goalie Statistics]

He got hurt in the playoffs and missed games and played at less than 100% but he still beat the Conn Smythe reigning and 2 x Cup winning goalie Vasilevskiy in the final.

This is why Washington dumped their goalies including Leafs new goalie Samsonov, in order to go all in on Kuemper because of his underlying #'s.

If Leafs went all in on Kuemper a UFA, there could be a strong case for taking that chance despite less then steller playoff #'s, particularly because NYR, CAR, TB, FLorida, and now Washington all have top 5 goalies based on stats.
hahahahahhahahahaahahahaha

regular season stats are all that matter to you now...

At least your arguments are entertaining.

The Avs won the cup with terrible goaltending, your whole idea of needing goaltending to win took a big blow this year.
 
hahahahahhahahahaahahahaha

regular season stats are all that matter to you now...

At least your arguments are entertaining.

The Avs won the cup with terrible goaltending, your whole idea of needing goaltending to win took a big blow this year.

Yet every dubas fanboy is trying to pin the loss on Jack
 
  • Like
Reactions: Stamkos4life
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad