Mark Messier vs. Ray Bourque
So I kinda peaked four months early on this one, because I didn't expect these two players to be available at the same time. At any rate, to recap where we left off in August, ol' quoipourquoi took on the value of All-Star selections at Center, Left Wing, and Defense (and talked some general **** about Defensemen).
For the voting group and future readers, here's a few excerpts from that discussion followed by some new content:
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THN (1998)
12. Messier
14. Bourque
ESPN (2004)
11. Messier
12. Bourque
THN-60 Since 67 (2007)
4. Messier
8. Bourque
The Score (2017)
5. Messier
17. Bourque
USA Today (2017)
8. Messier
16. Bourque
Don’t get me wrong; all of these lists since their careers are, as a whole, pretty awful and inconsistent. But there’s not going to be anyone who has seen Mark Messier and not Ray Bourque or vice-versa because it’s the same career overlap. And yet, there may be a complete absence of a media list with the reverse order - that is to say, Bourque over Messier.
If the gap between the two is that big, how did it escape basically every collective assigned with the same task except this forum? Pretty similar Hart distribution. Probably no way to present a playoff argument for Bourque. The chief difference in Bourque’s favor seems to be that there are fewer Bourque-level defensemen historically than there are Messier-level forwards. Which probably would be huge had they not played at the exact same time over which Messier was received marginally better.
It’s just asking for a lot of people to have been completely wrong in their assessment in the moment, immediate aftermath, and the decades-after reflections. I’ve seen it characterized as 1997ish Messier-mania, but... it hasn’t ended in establishment circles. They gave him an award. Throughout NHL 100, they brought him alongside Gretzky, Orr, and Lemieux now that Howe has passed. How many times has he presented the Hart Trophy? He’s that guy.
If he was competing for awards against Bourque’s competition for accolades (1982 Doug Wilson, 1987 Mark Howe, 1988 Scott Stevens, 1990 Al MacInnis, 1992 Brian Leetch, 1996 Chris Chelios, and 1997 Brian Leetch) would he have any less than the equivalent to what amounts to five Norris Trophies?
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So let's dive into the individual seasons of my theory that
Mark Messier = Value of 5-7 Norris Trophies if he competed against the same field against which Ray Bourque competed for his positional awards.
1989-90 (Al MacInnis): A lock
Probably the easiest season of the comparison - one where Mark Messier took the first of two 1st Team selections at Center. Had he been competing against Bourque's field of competition led by Al MacInnis, Messier would have clearly come out on top.
1991-92 (Brian Leetch): A virtual lock
The near-unanimous Hart season in Messier's second of two 1st Team selections at Center. I'd say it's a virtual lock because while the Hart was won with a 67 to 2 vote over everybody, the All-Star selection over Lemieux, Gretzky, and Roenick was 38 to 20, 3, and 4 respectively; so there was definitely an element of
"most valuable" vs.
best. However, Ray Bourque's top competition for the Norris was Mark Messier's own teammate, so I can't see Messier not being rated higher if put to a vote.
1995-96 (Chris Chelios): Incredibly likely
Mark Messier had some legit Hart buzz going into the final stretch of 1995-96, ultimately finishing 2nd in Hart voting to Mario Lemieux, and 3rd in All-Star voting to the other Hart nominee, Eric Lindros.
Sports Illustrated - February 1996 said:
Messier has lugged around the rejuvenated Rangers all season, winning face-offs, checking, killing penalties and scoring like never before. At week's end he had 36 goals in 52 games.
...
Messier appeared on the verge of passing the torch as the NHL's best leader to Philadelphia captain Eric Lindros last spring, but before the 22-year-old Lindros dares to claim it, he must recover from second-degree burns this season. In the three Flyers-Rangers matches so far in '95-96, Messier had nine points, Lindros two. Says Messier: "I've told guys our record now doesn't mean anything. It's how we deal with a crisis--and we'll have one at some point--that makes champions."
However this wasn't exactly a light year for Bourque's Norris competition, seeing Chris Chelios take the trophy in a 72-point campaign. The Blackhawks did take somewhat of a step back as this was the first time since 1989-90 that they didn't lead the Western Conference in GA (finishing 39 GA back of Detroit), but practically none of the blowback went on Chelios. Even still, given that
Messier finished 1st (10) or 2nd (15) on 46% of the Hart ballots in Lemieux's 161-point season, I don't see the voters not siding with him over the field of defensemen.
1986-87 (Mark Howe): Incredibly likely
For clarification, this is not the signature Mark Howe season (that was in 1985-86) but rather the season where Howe played in 69 games with split attention with Ron Hextall. Messier, in what could be considered his
wait-I-thought-you-already-had-a-breakout-season-what's-this season, finished 3rd in points as well as
3rd in points-per-game to Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux - who naturally finished with the 1st and 2nd Team selections at Center.
1987-88 (Scott Stevens): Incredibly likely
For his next trick, Messier finished top-5 in scoring again in Mario Lemieux's 168-point Art Ross season, but this time, placed 3rd in even-strength scoring behind just Gretzky and Lemieux -
recording 70 even-strength points in 77 games to Lemieux's 74 even-strength points in 77 games.
Sports Illustrated - May 1988 said:
...one of the NHL's five best players...
This season Messier has established himself as one of the top playmakers in the league. He finished the regular season with 37 goals and a career-high 74 assists.
Now I make it a policy not to say anything bad about Scott Stevens (and I certainly wouldn't say his name three times while looking into a mirror), but I don't think he would edge out Messier here. I wouldn't give it the ol' Mark Messier guarantee though, because in Wayne Gretzky's absence, you'd like to see Messier pick up the spare Hart votes that instead went to 75-GP Grant Fuhr.
1996-97 (Brian Leetch): Likely
The second of Messier's late career goal-scoring-resurgence seasons, which saw him finish
marginally ahead of 2nd Team All-Star Center Wayne Gretzky in points-per-game production (71 games vs. 82 games - so it wasn't a substantial absence by any means). But rather than Mario Lemieux and Messier's teammate Wayne Gretzky, Bourque's top competition was Messier's other teammate, Brian Leetch, who while winning pretty decisively over Sandis Ozolinsh was somewhat taking a backseat to the Messier/Gretzky tandem.
The New York Times - March 1997 said:
Messier and Gretzky have so far figured in an astonishing 70 percent of the Rangers' goals, and it's rare for the team to score when one or the other of them isn't on the ice. When the Rangers went into a tailspin at the end of February, losing eight straight, concern mounted that the old guys might be too weary and enfeebled (Messier has been suffering from back spasms lately).
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Messier, in the meantime, seems not to have aged so much as annealed. Over the years he has shed such youthful unnecessaries as his body fat, his Bentley, his loud wardrobe, his late-night prowling, even his hair. In the process he has uncovered the essential Messier.
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In January when the Isles' Zigmund Palffy escaped being penalized after high-sticking Darren Langdon in the eye (and inflicting a 12-stitch shiner), Messier, enraged, went on a mission, leveling Islanders right and left, flattening them into the boards and then scooping the puck out from a corner and passing it to Leetch, who drove to the net for a goal. An eye for an eye.
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He's the starting center, the team leader and spokesman, and everyone on the Rangers, from the general manager to the locker-room attendants, takes his cue from No. 11.
While Messier's 11-games spread across forced timeouts and back issues resulted in him conceding the 2nd Team All-Star selection to Wayne Gretzky, if put head-to-head against Brian Leetch instead, I would bet on Messier.
1981-82 (Doug Wilson): Coin Flip
The first Messier breakout, where as a Left Wing, Messier's 50-goal season (
3rd in even-strength goal-scoring behind Wayne Gretzky and Mike Bossy) secured a 1st Team All-Star selection with 25/63 1st-place votes while Doug Wilson edged out 65-GP Bourque with 29/63 1st-place votes. The first of three-consecutive All-Star selections on Left Wing, this pre-peak Messier probably could have coasted to several more had he never been switched to a more difficult position to acquire these accolades (which is kind of the point of this exercise).
...so am I crazy? Would four-time 1st Team All-Star Mark Messier, if held against the same competition against which five-time Norris winner Ray Bourque competed for his positional accolades, have been selected the top player in 5-7 seasons?