There's a lot of smoke and mirrors going on here. TNSE is being praised for finally dropping their Anthony Soprano "nice team you got here, it'd be terrible if anything happened to 'em" campaign they've been running without an ounce of shame for the past two years. For anyone born before 1996, its pretty bizarre to see Gary Bettman of all people flying up to Winnipeg to air-lift fans off the same cliff that His Majesty and Our Savior Mark Chipman was threatening to throw all of us and our families off of as recently as last week. Disgraceful.
Per Forbes (which is not great, but the best ballpark we have until Chippy opens his books), the Jets gate revenues were $51M USD in 2022-23 compared to their estimated total revenue (including revenue sharing) of $162M. Which means our gate revenue is about 1/3rd of total revenue. So if we sold out every seat to every game, we could expect to add about $7.3M CDN in seat revenue. Lets round it up to $10M CDN to account for concessions - which is only $7.3M USD/yr. Barely moves the needle. What is the problem here?
Hockey fans, more than most (and Winnipeggers more than any) have been brought up to believe that empty seats = imminent bankruptcy, and in the 1967 - 2005 period, that was mostly true. But the economics of pro sports has changed dramatically. We now have a salary cap and revenue sharing. Massive corporate sponsorships and national TV deals. Gaming revenues. Licensing. Playoffs. Outdoor games. Draft and All Star Weekends. The Oakland A's lost 102 games last year, their attendance rate was 15% and they still made a profit of $60M USD. Hockey is not quite there, but its a lot closer than it ever has been.
Every team in the NHL receives $30.9M USD from national TV contracts ($335M US from Rogers, $400M Disney, $225M TNT). Then add another $10.4M USD per team for national sponsorships, $0.7M in national gaming revenue and $0.5M in licensing. So the Jets get $42.5.M in corporate revenue, not including revenue sharing. Nobody knows the exact numbers, but the bottom 22 teams get revenue sharing from a pool of 6% of total HRR which is 372M USD, which is $16.9M USD average. For fun, lets say the Jets get half of that at $8.4M USD. So just from national shared revenue, your Winnipeg Jets make approx. $50.9M USD each year.
Then we have our local TV contract. If we just assume its the same as Ottawa's - which its not because that one was signed 5 years earlier than the Jets - that $24M USD/yr. Then...Chippy gets to cash cheques from the mayor for $4.7M USD in entertainment taxes and $4M USD from Wab for VLTs. That's $83.6M USD in annual revenues before selling a single seat, a $12 bud light or a jumbo jet dog.
The Jets total salaries for 2024 are $88.3M USD. So without selling tickets, we are losing money. But wait - there is a 17% escrow, which goes directly to owners to pay back player debt from the pandemic. So actual salaries for 2024 are $73.3M or $10.3M less than total non-gate revenue.
But we are finally getting to where the "problem" lies. Owners agreed to pay player salaries through the pandemic but that money was always coming back to them through escrow. It was a loan. The economics of hockey are such that it should be nearly impossible to lose money when the owners get to keep 50% of total revenues and the have-nots like Winnipeg get a larger share of corporate revenues. So the owners lost a lot of money in the pandemic but 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026 is the owners time to make it all their covid losses back. In Winnipeg's case though, our time to make hay is happening exactly when the sun is not shining. So its extremely bad timing and unlucky for Chipman in this regard. Which is unusual for the guy who bought the team for two hundred bucks down and ham sandwich, backed by the richest owner in NHL history when the CDN dollar was above par and then went on to cash expansion fees cheques for $37M USD, which represents about 1/3 of the present US value of what he paid for the Jets at a time when owner share of revenues was only 42% vs the current take at 50%. But I digress...
The longer-term issue is corporate support. If only 15% of our tickets are sold to corporations (compared to 50% for other CDN teams), we are not only relying more on the average Joe, we need average Joe to buy the most expensive seats and we are missing out on significant and lucrative other revenue streams like local sponsorships.
Local sponsorships made up over 17% of total NHL revenues last year at 1.1B USD. Thats an average of $34M USD per team. Suffice to say, we aren't making that. We probably aren't even making 40% of that. The problem in Winnipeg is not that we have 2,000 empty seats. Its much more
who is going to games and more importantly,
who is not going to games/supporting the team.