Peat
Registered User
- Jun 14, 2016
- 30,508
- 26,035
Yeah I'm not disagreeing with it being a valuable stat. Like the data says you definitely want guys to end up in that top right quadrant. Caleb Williams hovering around 20% I think you could characterize as a yellow flag, Daniels 24.5% would be a red flag. Shedeur Sanders is probably going to be another guy well over 20% to get picked in the 1st round if not the top 10.
The only point I was trying to make is that is that it's just a piece of the evaluation and that there are some successful QB's that aren't under the 20% threshold. I'm okay with ignoring one red flag, but when you see like 3 more in other areas then I begin to question the profile.
Right now, I can't think of a more reliable red flag out of stats that still keep a guy in first round contention and as such, it's enough for me on its own unless there's something special on the other side.
It'll be interesting to see how Daniels, Sanders, and Quinn Ewers all go. It's possible the history to date is a small sample size and they're about to bust the narrative. Conversely, if they all fail, got to think it's going to become a no go area in the NFL pretty soon.