Dude your just plain wrong about the numbers. Its nominal short term and long term doesnt matter. They can kick the can until it becomes a problem and then lock the players out.
There is zero reason to coat themselves hundreds of million to billions for no reason.
Guaranteeing a contract doesnt add expense, it just limits your options on how you spend it.
good lord. Its not hard.
The NFL has the highest risk of injury for players in any of the four major sports - that makes guaranteed NFL deals extremely high risk for not only being dead money within the cap, but extra money out of the owners pockets to safeguard agt players having a career ending injury.
That dead money is going to add up quickly without being able to restructure deals and create the funny money back end deals.
Where is your cap flexibility coming from without restructures and bonuses?
Are the owners also going to just casually agree to get rid of the fully funded rule also? Sure why not…
You are also trying to claim the owners won’t lose billions long term to players who sustain career ending injuries which will have to be outside the cap structure?
The insurance expenses covering all those deals would be stupid high. Insurance costs to cover these types of of guaranteed contracts has tripled in the last 15 years, but I’m sure the costs will just go down from here on out and not keep skyrocketing…
Then what happens when a player who you didn’t designate to be insured, goes down with a career ending injury?
Guess who is on the hook for that guaranteed deal now.
And for about the tenth time, the owners have work stoppage provisions built into their network deals that help build their war chests real time during a lockout while the players get shit.
It’s not difficult to understand why the owners will never assume the risk of guaranteed contracts and it’s always been a non starter every time the NFLPA come to the negotiating table.