As much as I love the interest in the Sens and keeping them here in Ottawa (obviously)....there is no way in hell this franchise is worth 1.2 billion. Even one billion is extremely high.
The numbers being thrown around are unfathomable. Even if they were to boost ticket prices to Montreal/Toronto levels, how the hell does the team manage to make a profit when you're a billion in the hole (and possibly existing debt on top of that?) from day one? Not to mention scraping together at least another $600 million for a new arena and then probably $100-200 million more for the entertainment district or condos or whatever will be attached to it.
I don't understand these numbers at all. Even with a nice tv deal and moderate revenue sharing...I don't see how this all shakes out to be a good deal for any buyer at this point. Only way someone is buying a pro sports team these days has to be vanity. There's no way these valuation figures can keep going up like this much longer.
Nowhere has the expression that "X is worth whatever somebody is willing to pay for it" more appropriate than a sports franchise.
But nobody who is buying is going to be $1B in the hole. The NHL requires a % equity upon purchase (60?) in order to avoid the unattainable revenue numbers you're talking about. Still very daunting for your average billionaire though, so you're right.
And the real estate play is a different investment altogether that is almost guaranteed to be profitable (under normal market conditions anyway), but yes, requires a whole new chunk of change.
For most billionaire buyers a sports franchise is a pet project with a massive long term return upon resale, it's less about generating year over year profit. This is why the greek is by far our best option from a wealth standpoint alone. He can run it at a break even or take chances chasing a cup knowing that when he cashes out in 15 years, recent history suggests its just about the best investment he could possibly make. The fact that he / they are young is a massive factor as well. There will be no medium term jitters which can cause someone to be squeamish about their investment, he'll be in it for the long game and thus more amenable to weathering the ebbs and flows.
All that said I agree that the apparent market price is absurd.