Very true, Adam Fox was also a late bloomer of a player, and also not a generational dman like you claimed Kiviharju was.I mean, Adam Fox is doing pretty well while being small without amazing skating.
You're focusing so much on his skating not improving since he was 13, when at 14 he missed an entire season with knee injury. Such things tend to affect skating, but might not do so permanently. And even if the skating is mediocre at 18, it might not be so at 22. Not to mention, I disagree on his skating being weak. Straightline skating might be, but there's so much more to skating than that.
Pretty obviously he needs to have a strong Liiga season, isn't that a given? But what, exactly, is a strong Liiga season to you? Heiskanen, for example, scored 10 points in his Liiga season and was picked 3rd overall.
To this point, Kiviharju has performed far better than Heiskanen at every level. For example, at u18s at the same age Heiskanen had 1 point, Kiviharju 7 in 5 games. Kiviharju's scoring at every level has been significantly better as well. If it's not next season? Well, then it's time to re-evaluate. That's how it goes.
I agree that his agility and edgework is strong, but his speed is below average. Putting up a Heiskanen like season should be the expectation, but he was also way stronger defensively, while Kiviharju is better offensively.
Its just funny to me he was the sure fire #1 pick just a year or two ago and now hes fallen behind the top 2. Who knows where he will be next year. Could be #1, could be #15.