Should the Avs draft Connelly or not?
I'm not an authority figure or anything like it to determine that. Nor do we really have an idea how this draft will tilt. The board could fall ways where he's the very clear BPA who has risk associated with him. Or it could fall where there are players who are close to as good without the risk... or at least a different type of risk.
IMO he's a top 5 talent in this draft who will likely go somewhere between 14-40. His skill set on the ice is not perfect (I have IQ concerns as he forces things a lot), but he looks like a 1st line talent with 80-90 point potential. I see shades of Mike Modano in his game with some Kyle Connor. He skates incredibly well, has fantastic hands, great vision, and can play a very modern, against the grain attacking style where he's an equal threat shooting or passing. Celebrini is the only forward who has a clearcut better offensive game. Connelly is in that next group down where they all have some positives and negatives. Off the ice, even assuming he's a perfect citizen from this point forward (which I personally think is a stretch), he's going to be a PR mess. It will take a team that is either really skilled in that area (like the Caps), simply doesn't care (Canes), or does the ostrich (Avs).
The Avs are a team well connected to Tri City/Noreen. They're doing their homework and background extensively. If they pass on him, the most likely case is they feel the character risk is too high. An exception to that would be if somebody Jiricek fell to them where he's as talented with simply an injury concern.
I think odds are high we will never know though as I think he's going to Nashville.