absolutely not an arguable factor at the time he was traded. joe thornton was literally considered arguably the best player in the league when he was traded for.
there is no possible argument whatsoever to say that trade was one in which we "settled"
to this day thornton is one of the best players ever traded. you cannot argue, ever, that he constitutes us settling, even without taking into account what we paid.
when you take into account that we fleeced boston for him ... yeah. this cannot, in any way, be argued.
At the time, the trade was certainly not settling. Thornton was obviously the best regular season player available, and it’s not realistic to expect DW to have known that he would bring with him 13 years of playoff performances far below par. Generally, a player who is that talented and that dominant will figure out their playoff woes and begin to perform at their regular season level in the playoffs, given that that player does not decline.
However, with the power of hindsight, perhaps there were better regular season+playoff players available. That’s what I am getting at and that’s what I believe ON4 is getting at. I don’t think anybody knew at the time of the trade that Thornton would end up not being good enough. In theory, the best possible move would have been to trade for him, sign him long term, and then trade him when his value was sky high after 1 or 2 seasons.
the sharks not winning a Cup with Thornton yet has no bearing on whether the trade was "settling" or not. we got a guaranteed first-ballot HOF superstar in his prime. that is not settling, was not settling, and will never be settling. you talk about the butterfly effect, there are FAR more random chance events standing in the way of success in the mental exercise where we don't get thornton. that does not make a valid intellectual case.
you make that trade 10,000 times out of 10,000, and you live with the results. for my money, we've gotten good results. thornton has essentially singlehandedly turned the sharks into a contender going on 13 years. that is massive value for one player.
Comparing 8 successful Stanley Cup campaigns to any number of failed campaigns, including these very players' failed campaigns, is just a little disingenuous, no? Obviously players in successful campaigns will have great numbers. Thornton has good stats in series he wins, surprise.
And these numbers have huge context to them, from offensive depth to defensive performance. How have teams gameplanned to beat the Sharks? By shutting down Thornton and taking their chances with everyone else. How have the Sharks fallen to these teams? It's never about shutting down these centers, Toews, Hossa and a guy named Keith do the defensive heavy lifting while Kane provides the scoring prowess. The Kings we lost Vlasic and Kopitar scored half his points in the games he was out, while we lost our offense because Thornton was redeployed defensively to help. We actually did shut down Sid, but then we had to deal with Malkin and the monster third line with Kessel.
It's no coincidence that the year we finally got the same kind of superlative performance out of Couture's line that we made the finals. Teams paid for concentrating on Thornton and that team probably would have beat any other team in the finals.
I would not agree that we have had good results from the Thornton trade. We made the Conference Finals and won 2 games before Thornton; we only surpassed that feat once with Thornton and Thornton has now been here for practically half of the existence of our franchise. It’s not as if we were some bottom feeder on the verge of relocation that needed to start making the playoffs year after year in order to not be relocated.
Ultimately, we have won 0 Stanley Cups with Thornton, and are probably near the league’s bottom-5 in terms of teams with a chance at a Stanley Cup in the future. If you consider success to be a binary scale of Stanley Cup or bust, then the results of the Joe Thornton trade are an absolute failure. People will attack me for looking at success that way, but can you really blame me? Am I really an
idiot for feeling like second place sucks? Do you guys
like losing in the playoffs every single year, as Joe Thornton losing his playoff matchup heavily dictates yet another year of playoff woes for us?
It’s not even remotely disingenious to make that comparison. I wouldn’t call it genius, either, because it’s very simple and makes perfect sense. The initial argument was that signing John Tavares in UFA and crowning him the franchise player/#1C would have been settling. Then, it was mentioned that Dan Boyle was settling, and that perhaps Joe Thornton was settling too. My argument was that, in the playoffs, Joe Thornton’s performances have been on par with a player that you settle for; not a franchise player/#1C. These will I compared his playoff performances to the playoff performances in Stanley Cup runs from the kind of franchise player/#1Cs that you do win with. The difference is absolutely massive, and it shows there is a clear difference between Joe Thornton in the playoffs and the kind of franchise player/#1C that you
do win with. Thornton has
never produced at the same level as the Stanley Cup franchise player/#1Cs produce at, on average, in the years that the Stanley Cup is won.
Thornton’s playoff performances have been roughly comparable to the regular season+playoff performances of guys like Ryan Johansen, Kyle Turris, Brayden Schenn, and Ryan O’Reilly. By no coincidence,
these are the kind of guys you do settle for. These guys become available in the trade market to teams who have their core mostly filled out, outside of a franchise #1C, and those team’s GMs pounce on those players. Come this time of year next year, I will be talking about how St. Louis and Nashville lost because those guys were not good enough to be the franchise players and #1 centers on a Stanley Cup winning team, and the statistics will almost certainly back my argument. This will occur because
those are the kinds of guys you settle for. Toews, Kopitar, Bergeron, Crosby, Kuznetsov; these guys are the cream of the crop. These are the guys that you don’t settle for. The argument I made is that in the regular season, Thornton is absolutely the cream of the crop; he is superior to all 5 of those centers except for Crosby. But, in the playoffs, he is notably inferior to those 5, and is comparable to the ROR, Brayden Schenn, Kyle Turris, Ryan Johansen crowd. There is one of those players available on the trade market every year for a mediocre combination of futures. Without misquoting
@OrrNumber4 here, my understanding is that the initial question is whether John Tavares fits into the Kopitar, Bergeron, Kuznetsov, Crosby, Toews, regular season Thornton category, or the ROR, B. Schenn, Turris, Johansen, playoff Thornton crowd. In my opinion, Tavares is on the lower end of the Toews, Kopitar, Bergeron, Crosby, Kuznetsov crowd, but is aging, has played a lot of hockey and has already declined a bit, and will soon be on his way to the ROR, B. Schenn, Turris, Johansen crowd.
Guys like Toews and Kopitar do the heavy lifting
and produce at a significantly better pace than Thornton. We have never deployed Thornton particularly defensively. We have tried playing him with 66.67% OZ starts against, literally, Dave f***ing Bolland. That is the kind of deployment that Kopitar, Toews, and Bergeron
never get, and it is generally the kind of matchup that an opposing coach will have nightmares about, and will do everything that they can to prevent. But in the case of that series, Quenneville never strayed away from it because Bolland literally won that matchup, which is downright hilarious.
Couture scored 43% more than Thornton in the playoffs that year. His performance was borderline historic for a post lockout player; only Crosby, Malkin, Kuznetsov, and Briere have done that. If you’re suggesting that Thornton never made it to the SCF because his 2nd line center never scored 30 points and 43% more than him, and that he didn’t win in the SCF because the Penguins were too good, (
Ignoring the fact that outside of 5V5 play with Joe Thornton on the ice, the Sharks literally outscored the Penguins in that series!!!) then it is obvious you do not want to hold him accountable for anything. We have had monstrous performances from secondary players before.
Between 2009-2010 and 2016-2017, Thornton has 70 playoff points. In that same time frame, Couture has 69 and Pavelski has 72. This guy is getting out-scored in the playoffs by a guy whose career he supposedly made in Pavelski, and is only one point ahead of a center who is, quite literally, the type of guy you settle for as your franchise player/#1C in Couture. (Couture’s playoff numbers outside of his rookie year completely demolish Thornton’s BTW)
What more can you ask of these guys? Are these complimentary players supposed to be scoring significantly more than the Hall of Fame superstar #1C? They’re already ahead of him in playoff scoring!
I just think it’s crazy how much Thornton didn’t have, and how much more teammate support that he needed to win. Yet when you shift things over to a team like LAK, whose 2nd best forwards were Jeff Carter and Justin Williams, suddenly they were just lucky to beat us. Every excuse in the book gets made for Joe Thornton because every fact in the book says he has not been up to par as a Stanley Cup #1C.