AlphaLackey
Registered User
I have read over and over on these boards that faceoffs do not matter. Looks like they might once in awhile. Not the only issue but certainly didn't help things.
Of those 60 face offs, how many resulted in a goal for the team that won it before the other team got possession?
Just to illustrate: if you could guarantee and I mean *guarantee* that San Jose was going to score if they won the face off, that D zone face off was only going to give them a 25% chance to win the game. So multiply that by the percentage of o zone faceoffs 6-on-5 with 11 seconds left thy result in a goal, and you’ll see just how small the average impact of a single face off is, even o-zone, even 6 on 5, even if there’s 11 seconds left.
But we’ll remember these ones and be bitter about them because they stick in our mind. Remember that five minute major in the playoffs in the SJ / VGK series? The “the ref screwed us” crowd don’t get that this major gave SJ like a 1% chance to win that game. No, I’m not exaggerating.
So yeah. Faceoffs do “matter” in the same kind of way that buying a 6/49 ticket does matter if you want to win the lottery. And when your lottery ticket wins you a prize, it seems like naturally it was a “big deal” to buy a ticket.