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OT: Severe Weather Discussion III

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Mr Misunderstood

Mr Misunderstood

Loser Point User
Apr 11, 2016
10,207
11,215
Charlotte, NC
Tres Peleches said:
What time? It could be an icy mess in CLT on Sunday
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And Charlotte doesn't handle a wintry mix well. Take off at 7pm

Bones45 said:
Oh shit -- isnt that the route that Sully was flying when he hit a bird and landed in the Hudson?
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f***in geese (Bailey)

MJF said:
Start driving down there today.
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I'm coming BACK to CLT. Charlotte - La Guardia - Portland, Maine tomorrow and Portland - LaGuardia - Charlotte on Sunday.
Might be screwed...
 
MJF

MJF

Hope is not a strategy
Sep 6, 2003
27,357
20,190
NYC
Mr Misunderstood said:
And Charlotte doesn't handle a wintry mix well. Take off at 7pm



f***in geese (Bailey)



I'm coming BACK to CLT. Charlotte - La Guardia - Portland, Maine tomorrow and Portland - LaGuardia - Charlotte on Sunday.
Might be screwed...
Click to expand...
Ufff. You might be.
 
Tres Peleches

Tres Peleches

Johnny Turncoat
Jul 13, 2011
8,458
6,825
Mr Misunderstood said:
And Charlotte doesn't handle a wintry mix well. Take off at 7pm


f***in geese (Bailey)



I'm coming BACK to CLT. Charlotte - La Guardia - Portland, Maine tomorrow and Portland - LaGuardia - Charlotte on Sunday.
Might be screwed...
Click to expand...

Yeah. I think the precip will be over in CLT by the time you’d actually land in CLT, but up and down the east coast is gonna be messy so I imagine travel delays galore for all involved
 
TeamKidd

TeamKidd

Registered User
Aug 9, 2004
6,028
2,305
Tres Peleches said:
Yeah. It will be a strong storm regardless… but this storm is going to be a thread the needle type for the coast if you want snow. No high anchored north of the region means tough sledding
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Yeah that is true, no big high, but there will be plenty of cold siphoning from the offshore low blowing up Nova Scotia, models typically have issues pushing out the cold air too fast and underestimating the cold air damming...even with the models nudging the storm eastward with the 12z runs, a snow to rain solution is the most likely right now.

i'm still rooting for snow tho, isn't that how science works? throw out all the models that you dont like? lol
 
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Tres Peleches

Tres Peleches

Johnny Turncoat
Jul 13, 2011
8,458
6,825
TeamKidd said:
Yeah that is true, no big high, but there will be plenty of cold siphoning from the offshore low blowing up Nova Scotia, models typically have issues pushing out the cold air too fast and underestimating the cold air damming...even with the models nudging the storm eastward with the 12z runs, a snow to rain solution is the most likely right now.

i'm still rooting for snow tho, isn't that how science works? throw out all the models that you dont like? lol
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it is the way the science works haha.

I don’t think the low tracks off the coast though, that’s the problem. I think it runs from the Mid-Atlantic into eastern PA

you need it off the coast for any hope of anything more than snow on the front end it is that the ULL responsible speeds up so it can get off the coast before the confluence to our north exits stage right. I don’t see that happening though
 
The Real JT

The Real JT

Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss. :(
Jul 2, 2018
8,150
7,762
Connecticut
A9463483-F4FF-4D3B-A43F-C0F65D4CEF4C.jpeg
TeamKidd said:
….
i'm still rooting for snow tho, isn't that how science works? throw out all the models that you dont like? lol
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Sort of like being optimistic about this season when the latest models project us as having a 2.6% chance of making the playoffs?
 

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TeamKidd

TeamKidd

Registered User
Aug 9, 2004
6,028
2,305
Tres Peleches said:
it is the way the science works haha.

I don’t think the low tracks off the coast though, that’s the problem. I think it runs from the Mid-Atlantic into eastern PA

you need it off the coast for any hope of anything more than snow on the front end it is that the ULL responsible speeds up so it can get off the coast before the confluence to our north exits stage right. I don’t see that happening though
Click to expand...

Ok Ok I relent. It's gonna rain. models remarkably consistent, pretty amazing actually. MLK Rain Day!
 
CupHolders

CupHolders

Really Fries My Bananas!
Aug 8, 2006
7,564
5,903
TeamKidd said:
Just a heads up, possible significant storm for this weekend. Exact track to be determined, but the possibility exists for a high impact event saturday-ish.
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Saturday! So you're telling me I have to shovel and I don't get a day off?! Let's push this up to Friday please. Otherwise I have to start the...

"Does @TeamKidd Hate @CupHolders" poll thread

:sarcasm:
 
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Nosebleed40

Nosebleed40

Registered User
May 2, 2013
608
255
Good stuff. I see locals picking up on the potential, which usually means absolutely nothing. But, to see it here has my interest!
 
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