Buffalo Bills Season's End: The Off-Seasons Starts Now

[Djp]

Are the dolphins one of the best teams? We’ll find out the next two weeks.

I agree though, counting on the division is tough. It is hard to beat a good team twice in a row.

There are scenarios where they could play the follow week.

 

[Djp]

Whenever a coach is fired the team plays out of their minds. Chargers were amped for that game and Bills somehow came out with a W. It’s the NFL, any team can win on any given Sunday. You have to find a way to win the close ones, and we did last night.

Combine that with getting seriously spanked the week before

 

[Mike McDermott]

My (admittedly never going to happen) hope for next weekend is that we are embarrassing New England so bad at half that Kraft goes down to the locker room at halftime and fires Belichick.

I expect they will have some things works up defensively, but as long as we limit mistakes, which is largely what hurt us yesterday, we should win by 2 scores.

 

[stealth1]

My (admittedly never going to happen) hope for next weekend is that we are embarrassing New England so bad at half that Kraft goes down to the locker room at halftime and fires Belichick.

I expect they will have some things works up defensively, but as long as we limit mistakes, which is largely what hurt us yesterday, we should win by 2 scores.

I think they win next week but not so sure they win convincingly. The offense hasn't scored more than 24 points in 9 of 15 games this season. This is not the same team as seasons past.

 

[Dubi Doo]

Ugly win. Do better or lose the division. Glad to get the win regardless even if I spent the entire game ranting.

 

[NotABadPeriod]

So it looks like:

For us to get in at 10-7, we need the following to happen. We can't win the division at 10-7.

1. The 7 loss teams (Broncos, Bengals) to become 8 loss teams. We lose a tiebreaker with both the Bengals and Broncos

AND

2. One of Indy/Texans/Jacksonvlle to lose two games

OR

3. Cleveland to lose out.


Either way, NONE of it matters if we don't get to 10-7. We get to 11-6 we are in regardless.

It looks like there are some scenarios with a 3 way tie we for the last spot we could get in the top two (Over Houston it looks like)

Edit: Looks like in a 3 way tie with us and two of Jacksonville/Indy/Texans and the Bills, they would take ONE of the AFC south teams and us. That's actually kind of f***ed up lol.

NFL Tie-breaking Procedures | NFL Football Operations

The NFL's procedures for breaking ties for postseason playoffs.

operations.nfl.com

Corrections:

We CAN win this division at 10-7...if our loss is to NE and Miami loses BOTH to the the Cowboys and Ravens. This puts Miami also at 10-7 but we have the tiebreaker (H2H sweep).

Also, 3-way ties don't help the Bills, because each time a team is placed in a spot the entire process restarts for the next spot. So one of Houston/Indy gets eliminated in the comparison for the 6 spot, but once they place the South team in at 6 the other comes back into play for 7 spot and they'd beat the Bills then.

 

[sabremike]

$10 football: Commies vs Airplanes.

I paid too much.

 

[misterchainsaw]

So it looks like:

For us to get in at 10-7, we need the following to happen. We can't win the division at 10-7.

1. The 7 loss teams (Broncos, Bengals) to become 8 loss teams. We lose a tiebreaker with both the Bengals and Broncos

AND

2. One of Indy/Texans/Jacksonvlle to lose two games

OR

3. Cleveland to lose out.


Either way, NONE of it matters if we don't get to 10-7. We get to 11-6 we are in regardless.

It looks like there are some scenarios with a 3 way tie we for the last spot we could get in the top two (Over Houston it looks like)

Edit: Looks like in a 3 way tie with us and two of Jacksonville/Indy/Texans and the Bills, they would take ONE of the AFC south teams and us. That's actually kind of f***ed up lol.

NFL Tie-breaking Procedures | NFL Football Operations

The NFL's procedures for breaking ties for postseason playoffs.

operations.nfl.com

NotABadPeriod already corrected the 3-way tie thing, but there's also the Steelers with 7 losses right now who'd beat us in a tiebreaker

The easiest way to look at it is that there's 7 teams other than us contesting for the wild card: CLE, PIT, CIN, IND, HOU , JAX, DEN.

We need 4 of those teams to hit 8 losses, BUT if the AFC South teams are all on that list than we'll actually need 5 of those teams to hit 8 losses.

Another way to look at that is the 3rd AFC South team to hit 8 losses won't count against the total of 4 we need.

 

[Der Jaeger]

Top 20 receivers in receptions (plus) from this season and where they got drafted:

Hill 5
Nacua 5
AJ Brown 2
Lamb 1-17
Allen 3
St. Brown 4
Chase 1-5
DJ Moore 1-24
Aiyuk 1-25
Evans 1-7
Diggs 5
Pittman 2
Olave 1-11
Pickens 2
Collins 3
Cooper 1-4
Adams 2
Waddle 1-6
D. Smith 1-6
Metcalf 2

Outside the top 20 but legit #1 type receivers

Jefferson 1-22
Samuel 2
Kupp 3

23 receivers:
10 taken in the 1st round

Of those 10, 5 taken in the top 5.

So, if you’re looking for your breadwinner #1 receiver, half the time it’ll come in the first round. But it doesn’t need to be an all in, we have to get a receiver in the first round.

I put a post together a few weeks ago show that the hit rate for the 1st round with receivers is 50%. For a team with needs like the Bills, and the depth of receivers in this draft, there’s no need to spend a 1st on receiver as if it’s a must.

Diggs is fine, Kincaid is coming, and the Bills need a field stretcher with Davis leaving. Unless an elite talent drops into the 20s, there will be players available at more pressing positions.

 

[ValJamesDuex]

$10 football: Commies vs Airplanes.

lets keep politics out of sports please

 

[Reddawg]

Cleveland looks fantastic with Flacco running the offense…that’s a team no one should be looking to face in the 1st round.

 

[Der Jaeger]

lets keep politics out of sports please

That was a joke, for sure.

Are we rooting for the Browns or Texans?

 

[misterchainsaw]

That was a joke, for sure.

Are we rooting for the Browns or Texans?

Conceding the one spot to Cleveland and rooting for both Houston/Indy to lose today seems like the better play

 

[My Cozen Dylan]

That was a joke, for sure.

Are we rooting for the Browns or Texans?

Browns

 

[sabremike]

lets keep politics out of sports please

What do you have against airplanes?

That was a joke, for sure.

Are we rooting for the Browns or Texans?

I just tapped out and left. My God that was the shittiest half of "pro" football I have ever sat through.

 

[Husko]

Good stuff on the out of town scoreboard so far

 

[ValJamesDuex]

What do you have against airplanes?

same thing I have against Nazi's

 

[ValJamesDuex]

Gabe Davis, Ed Oliver keep Buffalo Bills’ playoff hopes alive vs. Chargers (Encouraged/worried)

The Bills escaped Los Angeles with a 24-22 victory.

www.newyorkupstate.com

The reason why traffic is so good in WNY this week

 

[Dirty Dog]

Well if the colts and Texans both lose, and it looks like they will, bills will have sole possession of the 6th seed as the rest of the wildcard competition for the last two spots will have 7 losses

 

[misterchainsaw]

There's a path for the Bills to clinch a playoff birth next week now. Not super likely, although it could get easier with Denver/Jacksonville possible to lose still this week.

 

[NotABadPeriod]

What do you have against airplanes?


I just tapped out and left. My God that was the shittiest half of "pro" football I have ever sat through.

Dude, the Jets could actually blow this...and you're missing a chance to rag on the Jets for blowing a 20 point lead...

 

[Dubi Doo]

Good stuff on the out of town scoreboard so far

Is it a perfect week results wise if the Dolphins lose?

 

[NotABadPeriod]

Is it a perfect week results wise if the Dolphins lose?

We've got 3 more results to root for.

Cowboys over Dolphins
Bucs over Jaguars
Patriots over Broncos

 

[buffa dud]

Outstanding day around the league for the Bills's playoff chances. My word.

Did Amari Cooper just have the best day for a WR ever?

 

[SabresFan26]

Didn’t we want the browns to lose? Other than that good.