Speculation: Sabres Roster Speculation - Pre-season 2023 Edition

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Perhaps it could make sense.

It was mentioned earlier in here somewhere, but us and LAK make fantastic trading partners.
Yes, they have a ton of RDs, but I like all of their RDs.
 
Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie
 
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I always see blah blah blah get a center that's good on faceoffs. The truth of the matter is that 90% of faceoffs are won by the wingers. Very seldom do you see a clean win. Get the wingers to be more invested in battling for the puck and you'll see an uptick in faceoff %

Adams said as much to Jeremy White
 
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Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie
I like the moves. I'd probably flip Krebs and Savoie but I tend to think the lines will be shaken up more than others.
 
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Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie
Not a fan of the Greenway-Krebs-Mittelstadt line, none of these guys will shoot the puck
 
I always see blah blah blah get a center that's good on faceoffs. The truth of the matter is that 90% of faceoffs are won by the wingers. Very seldom do you see a clean win. Get the wingers to be more invested in battling for the puck and you'll see an uptick in faceoff %

Adams said as much to Jeremy White


Adams also admitted that he knew the young players would struggle with faceoffs so it was just kind of a 'well it is what is is'. And yes, they can improve their team faceoff numbers without changing personnel. However, I think bringing in a veteran who can help the young guys with skills in the dot as well, you can make real strides in the team faceoff %.
 
Joe DiBiase’s season review for mitts is spot on for me. I think The best Mitts is a Tuch lite player. He’d be a core piece on any team not stacked to the rafters with offensive talent. If joes guess that his next contract is in the 5mil range I do it with no regrets. I think if Casey bets on himself he’s 7.5-8 million dollar free agent for someone that needs a second line center. I hope he decides to sign for 5 and sticks around.
 
Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie
Definitely like the Roy trade, and I'd even give up both 2023 2nds to make it happen.

I really think that Savoie is likely to make the team, and if so starts out at RW in place of Olofsson. Now this is where I'm going out on a limb. If Greenway-Mitts-Savoie becomes a thing, KA better lock up Mitts early on an extension because I think with Cozens and Quinn playing together for a 2nd season, opponents will be stuck trying to defend between three scoring lines. I'm hugely confident in a Mitts-Savoie pairing (Greenway as a forechecking machine for them) going into Roy-Vanek-Pominville territory by mid-season.

Krebs has done well in his role and he still has room to improve, but not at the same time/level as Mitts right now. Keeping Girgs/Okposo or acquiring suitable replacements will stabilize the bottom-six.
 
Joe DiBiase’s season review for mitts is spot on for me. I think The best Mitts is a Tuch lite player. He’d be a core piece on any team not stacked to the rafters with offensive talent. If joes guess that his next contract is in the 5mil range I do it with no regrets. I think if Casey bets on himself he’s 7.5-8 million dollar free agent for someone that needs a second line center. I hope he decides to sign for 5 and sticks around.

I did a semi deep dive trying to find the right comps for mittelstadt over in the Mittelstadt thread

I think its something we can wait until next summer to decide on. However, given how they have talked, they likely will try to extend him this summer

To me, a "fair" market value would be:

between 5% (4.2M) -6.25% (5.1M) of the cap ceiling, with it inching up higher as you get closer to 7 years.

I DON'T think you go 7 years. In fact, I think your ideal is 4 years. That puts him under contract until he's 29, essentially right to the other side of the aging curve. And if he has done well, he will get a great opportunity to explore the market.

Mittelstadt on a 4 year, 18-20M deal? I could get on board with that.

Mittelstadt on a 7 year, 45M deal? No no no.
 
Adams also admitted that he knew the young players would struggle with faceoffs so it was just kind of a 'well it is what is is'. And yes, they can improve their team faceoff numbers without changing personnel. However, I think bringing in a veteran who can help the young guys with skills in the dot as well, you can make real strides in the team faceoff %.

I'm frankly very interested in what Peca could teach the kids if he had the opportunity
 
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I like the moves. I'd probably flip Krebs and Savoie but I tend to think the lines will be shaken up more than others.
See below
Not a fan of the Greenway-Krebs-Mittelstadt line, none of these guys will shoot the puck
Weird response. I can’t see Greenway not shooting.
Definitely like the Roy trade, and I'd even give up both 2023 2nds to make it happen.

I really think that Savoie is likely to make the team, and if so starts out at RW in place of Olofsson. Now this is where I'm going out on a limb. If Greenway-Mitts-Savoie becomes a thing, KA better lock up Mitts early on an extension because I think with Cozens and Quinn playing together for a 2nd season, opponents will be stuck trying to defend between three scoring lines. I'm hugely confident in a Mitts-Savoie pairing (Greenway as a forechecking machine for them) going into Roy-Vanek-Pominville territory by mid-season.

Krebs has done well in his role and he still has room to improve, but not at the same time/level as Mitts right now. Keeping Girgs/Okposo or acquiring suitable replacements will stabilize the bottom-six.
Mittelstadt’s best lines have always been with 1 power forward and one playmakers, all the way back to WJC U20s.

I like giving Savoie the same experience that Krebs had. It’s a good way to bring a rookie into the league. Krebs was insulated and simplified his game. He also learned to play a more hard nosed brand of hockey. That will only benefit Savoie.
 
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Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones
Giving up what I'd call a 2nd and a 3rd for 2 spare parts (and bad ones at that) is a big no from me.
 
Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie
Give up trade assets for spare forwards???
 
Here's what I'd do prior to free agency, and look to make moves off this group:

- 2023 and 2024 2nd round picks to LA for Matt Roy
- Olofsson with 50% retained to some team who needs a power play shooter, for a draft choice.
- Jokiharju and rights to Johnson to Anaheim for Comtois (flier on a power forward) and Max Jones (Foligno type)

Skinner - Thompsons - Tuch
Quinn - Cozens - Peterka
Greenway - Krebs - Mittelstadt
Girgensons - Savoie - Okposo
x Comtois, Jost, Jones

Samuelsson - Dahlin
Power - Roy
Stillman - Lyubushkin
x Bryson, Clague

Levi, UPL, Comrie

Adding Roy is a good get...but most of this is just running it back with the same group + slightly upgraded defense and hoping for the best.

I don't think this moves the needle enough to be anything other than a bubble team next year.
 
I'd love to add Roy or DeMelo but for LA and Winnipeg, those would be devastating subtractions from their top 4. I dont know see 2nds would be attractive trade bait.

Chicago is a few years from playoff contention. Murphy and Dickinson are really good fits, and Chicago also has several LHD prospects on ELCs. I think they make the most sense as a trade partner.
 
I doubt that Adams will improve goalies, relying on internal development, but he must improve the defense.
 
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