II don't think that article (or other like it) casts much doubt on the value of faceoffs with actual hockey people.
Coaches, from the NHL to NCAA still place a premium on winning draws. They go out of their way to get the right matchups and their best FO guys on the ice in certain situations. They spend valuable practice time working on set plays they can run... And the Bruins this year have shown tremendous success at scoring off face-off plays. As do the Rangers and Pens.
Personally, I've read a few of those articles and I always come away feeling like there are holes in the argument. For example, a draw won by Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak has a much higher chance of generating a goal than a draw won by the Moore/Nash line. But that data doesn't distinguish between the two, they lump them together and the results kind of wash each other out.
Faceoff importance is grossly exaggerated with relationship to wins,losses and goals. Something like 1 in every 1000 faceoffs is directly related to a goal within 20 seconds. A team takes about 5000 a season.
I may have mentioned this before but I really would like to see him switch positions with Backes. We'd need to find a more dynamic 3rd line RW to replace Hayes (maybe Schaller is worth a shot) but a Marchy-Bergy-Spoons line could be excellent; I think they played together for a couple of games last year and looked electric. I worry that Backes slows the play down a bit too much, which anchors Marchy. This would also allow us to avoid the Spoons faceoff problem.
Late in games, we could always revert back to Marchy-Bergy-Backes as a shutdown line.
I don't think that article (or other like it) casts much doubt on the value of faceoffs with actual hockey people.
Coaches, from the NHL to NCAA still place a premium on winning draws. They go out of their way to get the right matchups and their best FO guys on the ice in certain situations. They spend valuable practice time working on set plays they can run... And the Bruins this year have shown tremendous success at scoring off face-off plays. As do the Rangers and Pens.
Personally, I've read a few of those articles and I always come away feeling like there are holes in the argument. For example, a draw won by Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak has a much higher chance of generating a goal than a draw won by the Moore/Nash line. But that data doesn't distinguish between the two, they lump them together and the results kind of wash each other out.
This.
Didn't we just see an important faceoff win that lead directly to a victory that was sorely needed? Bergeron to Krug to Marchand for the win.
Also, the argument against doesn't take into account things like momentum and shots on net. If a team is winning faceoffs in the offensive end and it's leading to sustained pressure on the opposing team, that's a good thing. Even if a goal isn't directly scored, it's tilting the ice. Winning games and scoring goals is the end game result but there's a slew of things that have to occur in order for that to happen and these articles make no attempt to measure that ( mainly because they can't ). That's why the argument against doesn't really hold any water.
A faceoff isn't that much different from any puck battle on the ice. Often times losing or winning a puck battle means nothing 10 seconds later. Sometimes it means everything. Spooner is probably BETTER at faceoffs than winning other puck battles. If he was a 40% faceoff guy and was winning 40% of his puck battles, you might just learn to deal with it... but he never wins a puck battle.
A faceoff isn't that much different from any puck battle on the ice. Often times losing or winning a puck battle means nothing 10 seconds later. Sometimes it means everything. Spooner is probably BETTER at faceoffs than winning other puck battles. If he was a 40% faceoff guy and was winning 40% of his puck battles, you might just learn to deal with it... but he never wins a puck battle.
Probably more meaningful when viewed that way,he is below average on gaining control of the puck at all times.
Like to see him playing, but I still just don't see the future for him here. I want to see his succeed, but I imagine he's going to be trade bait either on Wednesday or this off-season.
Under Claude, I saw no future.
Under Cassidy/a more offensive system, I see a future.
Not to say he's a no-go in the right trade, but his talents are much more effective on this type of team.
Like to see him playing, but I still just don't see the future for him here. I want to see his succeed, but I imagine he's going to be trade bait either on Wednesday or this off-season.
Spoons is going nowhere, wait until next year when they get him a legit RW to go with him and Vatrano. They will easily be one of the NHL's best 3rd lines. He is also a key cog on the PP, sorry Spooner haters, he is here to stay.
He's been worlds better under Cassidy, but there's just so many centers. The top 2 is clearly filled, and you have Frederic, JFK, Czarnik, Kuraly, Donato, Fitzgerald and even Backes could play there if they got enough wings.
Please don't label me a hater. I'm a big supporter and have wanted him to get more opportunities for years. He's got so much talent. I'm just trying to be realistic.
Spoons is going nowhere, wait until next year when they get him a legit RW to go with him and Vatrano. They will easily be one of the NHL's best 3rd lines. He is also a key cog on the PP, sorry Spooner haters, he is here to stay.