Pavel Buchnevich
"Pavel Buchnevich The Fake"
I think when looking at what Michkov has accomplished within Russia through the various leagues, you have to look at it in terms of how impressive it is in comparison to other Russians through the years.Jack Eichel
Jack Hughes
Beniers
Svechnikov
Are examples who had average to okay WJC/WC’s.
People love to overreact to short tournaments.
Then you have players like Pulju, Laine, Slafskovsky European prospects who feasted in tourneys like that.
Again people love to overvalue short tournaments like that.
Sure Michkov had the best KHL season by draft prospect but what’s the competition? How many legit franchise prospects have KHL developed (draft day)?
Zero?
The previous record was held by Tarasenko, sure in his prime a great player but never a true franchise tier player. Never at the Rantanen/Kucherov/Marner/Pasta tier for wingers in this league.
& Michkovs skating hasn’t developed as much as I’d hoped, he lacks separation speed. In Europe it doesn’t stop you from scoring but it would at the NHL level. His defensive game needs a lot of work as well.
So he’s a smaller player who’s not even good defensively and who lacks separation speed, from that it’s a long way to becoming Kucherov at the NHL level. Still would have easily taken him at 4 but not in the top3.
Fantilli on the other hand put up Eichel like numbers in the NCAA, his physical tools are about as good as you could hope from a draft prospect, his skating is elite, he has a shot that will constantly make him a threat to score.
People question his IQ but by reading and listening him his an absolute pro and Bedard like driven to become the best player possible.
The old saying is hard work beats talent, but when talent has the hard work mentality it’s damm tough to beat.
Fact is franchise C’s mean more to winning than franchise W’s.
Let’s agree that Kucherov is the best winger in the game and I’d take McDavid/Drai/Mackinnon types always 1st when building a team.
There are various things you can look at, but the reality is that Michkov is the most impressive pre-draft prospect since Ovechkin. His pedigree is better than all of them, whether it's Tarasenko, Kuznetsov, Kucherov, Kaprizov, Buchnevich, and basically anyone else you want to list. You can throw in guys like Cherepanov who sadly passed and he's better than him at the same age. Throw in all the various busts like Kravtsov and Rubtsov and whoever else. If you want to look into how he compared to Svechnikov at similar ages before Svechnikov left to NA, Michkov was more impressive.
So sure, you can pick apart this or that. I think when you look at the full picture, this guy has put up ridiculous numbers that essentially have never happened in the modern era of Russian hockey with the MHL, VHL, and KHL. And I agree there are things in his skillset that aren't 100% desirable. He's small, he's not the fastest skater, his compete isn't great, he's a winger not a center. At the same time, these are a lot the same types of things you could throw at Bedard. Maybe Bedard is a little better in some of these areas, which is why he's a slightly better prospect at this point, but there are some players who don't leave much room for doubt that they will be stars, regardless of which level they take a step up to, because they have truly great ability in certain areas and a long history of production. With Michkov, you have a guy who has always had some of these flaws, and has dominated the competition along the way, despite those flaws. At a certain point, you gotta look past the flaws and just credit the genius in it and that he is able to do this despite some flaws.
With players like Fantilli and Carlsson, it's a different type of picture. These dudes were not prodigies from when they were 14 or 15, like Michkov and Bedard. They have been very good prospects for a few years, but they have more ordinary and conventional skillsets. Their league production has been good or very good. Maybe they also have the occasional weak season or tournament on their resume that doesn't look the greatest. It's true that no one from this draft is a flawless player, but those players don't really exist. There have been like 3 or 4 maybe through history you could say that applied to, and they were all clearly generational players.
I think though when you compare the players past Bedard and Michkov, you are comparing a different category of hockey player. Bedard and Michkov have nearly flawless resumes in dominating whatever competition you put in front of them since they were like 14 years old. They both have attributes that could very well carry them to being among the top 5-10 players in the world eventually. It's not a guarantee that these two are going to be the two best eventually, but with the information we have at this point, I can't see the rational argument that they aren't the two best prospects. I think it's looking for something that's not there to try to make someone else top 2 in the 2023 draft.