Roster/Rumors/Speculation/Trade Talk - 2023-24: Hotel California

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I don't even know where to begin.

NHL teams hire analytics people. Those people are told to focus on specific data. They accumulate that data. They then interpret that data. Why would they trust data that isn't collected by them or a trusted source?

They do not need CORSI.com or whatever in order to track shots, attempts, expected goals, etc. because they're doing it themselves, based off how that particular organization values those things. They could contract out to specific companies to help get that data, absolutely, but that's not the same thing as just using some fan's website. They'd be idiotic to use data they can't verify.
Dude, you don't have the first f**king clue as to what data is being used by teams, where they are getting it and how it's being used. But even the best teams analytics depts. can't watch and track every game of every team every night. It is ludicrous to think that over time teams have not tried to validate and identify that which they can trust and that which they can't, but to say that they blanket ignore public data simply because it's public is just plain stupid.
 
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Dude, you don't have the first f**king clue as to what data is being used by teams, where they are getting it and how it's being used. But even the best teams analytics depts. can't watch and track every game of every team every night. It is ludicrous to think that over time teams have not tried to validate and identify that which they can trust and that which they can't, but to say that they blanket ignore public data simply because it's public is just plain stupid.

You're not providing anything other than personal attacks and assertions. There's no coherent argument here. I've provided evidence that they are using their own data, can you provide evidence that they're using this publicly available data?
 
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You're not providing anything other than personal attacks and assertions. There's no coherent argument here. I've provided evidence that they are using their own data, can you provide evidence that they're using this publicly available data?
What evidence are you talking about, an article that states that they use their own data? Stop the presses! How does that in any way shape or form constitute an argument that they do not also use publicly available data? What's more, what evidence do you have that publicly available data is meaningless? Answer: You don't have any. All you have is your personal bias against it.
 
Every NHL team now has an analytics dept. Every one, including the, no-facial hair, no costumes at outdoor games Lou Lamoriello Islanders. In fact, the NY Islanders have seven employees devoted only to analytics. So, you can call it junk all you want (and lets face it, your only real purpose on these pages is to take both sides of any discussion and just poke at it, that's what you do) but the people who know infinitely more than you do have placed a value on them. Doesn't mean they're perfect or can't be challenged, but they have value or they wouldn't waste their time with them.
I’d be disappointed that teams did not use analytics for information. However, the information fans are using, the referenced one in particular, are just data extractions and digital hockey card info. Just pump out as much as you can, ‘fans’ will bite and fall into.
 
What evidence are you talking about, an article that states that they use their own data? Stop the presses! How does that in any way shape or form constitute an argument that they do not also use publicly available data? What's more, what evidence do you have that publicly available data is meaningless? Answer: You don't have any. All you have is your personal bias against it.

That's a no then? Not even an article?
 
I’d be disappointed that teams did not use analytics for information. However, the information fans are using, the referenced one in particular, are just data extractions and digital hockey card info. Just pump out as much as you can, ‘fans’ will bite and fall into.
More supposition based on nothing and which makes the assumption that all publicly available is the same. I'm sure that, like in all realms, some is more reliable and reputable than others. And even if it's all the thin soup that you make it out to be, based on data extractions (though isn't data extraction what we're talking about) so be it. Still doesn't make it useless. Caveat emptor.
 
That's a no then? Not even an article?
Why would I bother, your "evidence" isn't evidence of your premise. An article stating that something is is not evidence that something else isn't. We stand on equal ground.

And one final point, this discussion started because this sentence was used "Basic stats and standings are more than sufficient to see where the team is." The notion being that analytics are useless and unnecessary. I think we've more than put that to bed.
 
I think it's important to give people time before judging them. In today's sports world we judge GMs too quickly and don't allow them to correct for mistakes they've made.

Totally respect giving a GM, coach, player time. Sometimes years to know if someone is a star/bust...But sometimes you know very soon.

If you need more time on Lou not much to say, but I'm failing to objectively look at the totality of his work, most specifically the actual record of a team he continually says he totally believes in, and not see a failure - By his own admission.



I'm a huge fan of Trotz and the way he coached. I love defense first hockey so I think he absolutely made the team better than the sum of its parts. The team is significantly older now and some players have fallen very far off from what they were then so I'm not sure if we can use Lambert/Roy as a barometer for whether or not those teams would've definitely missed the playoffs without Trotz. I do think they wouldn't have had the same level of success even if they had gotten in the playoffs.

Well we definitely agree on Trotz. I firmly believe there wasn't another hockey coach on earth who could've gotten the 18-21 Islanders as far as they got given the roster they had (and mostly still have).

And that's kind of the point....That Lou is truly lost without Trotz. The more talent any GM adds to the roster the more leeway it gives a coach to have success, and sadly Lou has mostly "stirred the pot" in terms of adding talent from the roster he inherited from snow.


I really don't like this because the team made the playoffs. Every team plays the same number of games and the Islanders got in, as the seventh seed too.

Absolutely all sport is a game of inches. Millimeters can be the difference between losing a game or a championship. However I hate the philosophy of "just make the playoffs and anything can happen," as if all 16 playoff teams have the same chance of winning it all just because they all made the playoffs.

The Isles might find themselves on the right side of the playoff line in 2 weeks, but there's a bunch of reasons why they are currently tied with the Red Wings with 10,000 to 1 odds of winning it all.

It's Lou's job to increase the odds of actually winning a Cup and he's failed at that. This team is sinking


Like I said, he can be replaced and I wouldn't be upset.

Honestly refreshing to hear from you.


As for the farm system, I don't get too worked up about that stuff. I remember when the Islanders had one of the top ranked systems and it resulted in nothing. Having good prospects is important, obviously, but I don't worry about rankings and generally I think prospect pools can be replenished fairly quickly.



You're so afraid of what he'll do and I judge off what he's done so we'll always be at odds.

I'll always judge what someone's done, but to ignore someone's clear behavioral patterns as a reasonable predictor of what will happen is to be in denial.

But bottom line - At some point regardless if someone is predictable or random if the RESULTS aren't there then they need to go. I'm past that point already and it sounds like you're finally getting close.


Lehner, Varlamov, Sorokin, Horvat, Palmieri, Pageau were all good moves for me. I mentioned what I think of Trotz above.

And yet if all those moves were good then why aren't we a shoo-in for the playoffs - Especially in a very down Metro division/Eastern Conference? That's a failure. I mean after all those "additions" the Flyers literally sold at the deadline and we're not ahead of them in the standings. That is embarrassing.



It's based off what he does, not an official timeframe. If he goes out and signs Martin to a seven year deal I'll be pissed and he should be fired on the spot. I'm also not as passionate about firing people.

I am so not passionate about firing people. I'm passionate about winning games and ultimately a Cup. Sometimes you need to draft a stud. Sometimes you need to hire a coach. Sometimes you need to trade for a player. And sometimes you need to fire a GM. If any of those moves were made and they got us markedly closer to a Cup...Then I'd be passionate about them.



I agree that we should judge management that way. His record currently that the team has made the playoffs 4 out of 5 seasons, has made it to the ECF twice, and to the second round once.

If we're being honest it was Trotz who had the biggest impact on this team's success since Lou took over. We don't even need to debate whether Lou is the reason Trotz came here, but giving him the benefit of the doubt...If Lou was such a genius for bringing him aboard, then you also have to hold Lou accountable for the results being so lackluster/poor since.

Either way it's all on Lou, and no matter who the GM is this summer, Lou has backed this roster into a corner where it's almost certain that the roster is going to be at least 80% the same this fall. And I don't know how anyone can feel better about the Isles Cup chances in 2025 as a result.
 
Why would I bother, your "evidence" isn't evidence of your premise. An article stating that something is is not evidence that something else isn't. We stand on equal ground.

You don't bother to respond to any questions with anything other than attacks or more questions. I've attempted to answer any questions you ask and you don't extend the same courtesy. You've been rude and insulting at points.

Of course two things can exist. You haven't even attempted to answer why an NHL team would use data they cannot verify. NHL teams and/or coaches hire companies to handle some of the tracking, companies like hudl (which I know for a fact is used). I don't see any logical reason why they would ever need or want to use public data in any meaningful way.
 
Anything above this point we either agree with each other or our opinions won't move at this point so I'll address what's below.

And yet if all those moves were good then why aren't we a shoo-in for the playoffs - Especially in a very down Metro division/Eastern Conference? That's a failure. I mean after all those "additions" the Flyers literally sold at the deadline and we're not ahead of them in the standings. That is embarrassing.

It's all subjective and relative to what the team needs were at the time. I think Pageau was a good move at the time, it's less so now. The Flyers didn't really sell (they moved Walker, aquired Johnson, and acquired Gurianov), but I understand your point and I think Washington is a better example. Neither of those teams should be ahead of the Islanders and I do think it's embarrassing, more the Capitals because of how much they sold and I think Tortorella is a great coach for teams will less talent.


I am so not passionate about firing people. I'm passionate about winning games and ultimately a Cup. Sometimes you need to draft a stud. Sometimes you need to hire a coach. Sometimes you need to trade for a player. And sometimes you need to fire a GM. If any of those moves were made and they got us markedly closer to a Cup...Then I'd be passionate about them.

I didn't mean to imply you're passionate about firing people, it's just that I don't like it much I guess. I'm okay with making any moves that get the team closer to a Cup as well.


If we're being honest it was Trotz who had the biggest impact on this team's success since Lou took over. We don't even need to debate whether Lou is the reason Trotz came here, but giving him the benefit of the doubt...If Lou was such a genius for bringing him aboard, then you also have to hold Lou accountable for the results being so lackluster/poor since.

I think I am holding him accountable. I'm just allowing him a little more leash to correct course. It's getting late though.

Either way it's all on Lou, and no matter who the GM is this summer, Lou has backed this roster into a corner where it's almost certain that the roster is going to be at least 80% the same this fall. And I don't know how anyone can feel better about the Isles Cup chances in 2025 as a result.

We're passed 2025, I think the team needs to take a step back in order to take a step forward.
 
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Regardless of what happens at the end of this season this core needs a shake up badly. Of course trading Lee or Pageau is the move we all want but I would love to see them move on from Pelech since he has actual value still. I would like to keep Pulock but would be open to moving on from him as well.

I do not agree with those who think this needs to be some long term rebuild. Look at Vancouver, Winnipeg, and Florida. Hockey is a sport where making one large change to the core can change the dynamic of the team. Shit, we don't have to look any further than when Tavares left. The roster clearly got worse and yet they had their most successful season since the 90's. And don't give me the shit about Trotz because EVERYBODY expected them to be one of the worst teams in the league.

For the record I still like Lee. I would be FINE if there was value to be had in a move for him but he currently makes 1-2 million too much.
 
Anything above this point we either agree with each other or our opinions won't move at this point so I'll address what's below.



It's all subjective and relative to what the team needs were at the time. I think Pageau was a good move at the time, it's less so now. The Flyers didn't really sell (they moved Walker, aquired Johnson, and acquired Gurianov), but I understand your point and I think Washington is a better example. Neither of those teams should be ahead of the Islanders and I do think it's embarrassing, more the Capitals because of how much they sold and I think Tortorella is a great coach for teams will less talent.




I didn't mean to imply you're passionate about firing people, it's just that I don't like it much I guess. I'm okay with making any moves that get the team closer to a Cup as well.




I think I am holding him accountable. I'm just allowing him a little more leash to correct course. It's getting late though.



We're passed 2025, I think the team needs to take a step back in order to take a step forward.

Maybe my favorite post of yours. We're very close to the same page. Your last line I'm in total agreement with...Which is my problem with Lou. He never "sells" a player unless his back is against the wall with the cap/expansion draft. Yet he's going to need to trade one of the few valuable players we have (like Nelson) to do the very "reset/retool" that we agree on. I just don't see that happening based on what he's shown us already, but more importantly (and scary), I think so much more is needed to fix this roster/cap situation that I'm not sure this team can be made into a Cup contender in the foreseeable future.
 
lol Dubas is a poster here
Post of the month.

More supposition based on nothing and which makes the assumption that all publicly available is the same. I'm sure that, like in all realms, some is more reliable and reputable than others. And even if it's all the thin soup that you make it out to be, based on data extractions (though isn't data extraction what we're talking about) so be it. Still doesn't make it useless. Caveat emptor.
It’s called fanlytics. An enthusiast repurposing information.
 
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What are folks' opinions on Mike Reilly?
What is the right # and term to resign him?
Is it a 1 year deal? Multi?
2 m? less? More?
 
What are folks' opinions on Mike Reilly?
What is the right # and term to resign him?
Is it a 1 year deal? Multi?
2 m? less? More?
3 year deal between 1-1.5. Idk if he’d go for it but I think he paced 25 points so he could argue more or do another short term deal with lower money to secure a pay day. But maybe a 3-5 million dollar deal for three years is safe and good for him and his family.
 
3 year deal between 1-1.5. Idk if he’d go for it but I think he paced 25 points so he could argue more or do another short term deal with lower money to secure a pay day. But maybe a 3-5 million dollar deal for three years is safe and good for him and his family.
I see the need for him, but I just don't see how he fits - can't block Bolduc and need cap for the top 6.
 
The perfect example:

We need to start the re-tool/re-build . . . Sign the 30+ guy to a few more years so we can sit Bolduc and Pejorative Slur his growth.

Two years from now . . . why can't we develop our kids?

(EDIT: Prejorative slur??? Would we change fire Pejorative Slurant to prejorative term-ant?) It's used as a VERB, not a noun. I hate AI . . .

And the site DID DO IT . . . we're doomed as a society, this is 1984 on steroids . . .
 
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What are folks' opinions on Mike Reilly?
What is the right # and term to resign him?
Is it a 1 year deal? Multi?
2 m? less? More?

I like him, short deal if possible. He has a bad track record recently and as mentioned he's 30 so there shouldn't be any long term commitments.
 
Bolduc is ass, until he proves he's anything more than a popcorn eater why wouldn't we keep a vet for multiple years?
 
Bolduc is ass, until he proves he's anything more than a popcorn eater why wouldn't we keep a vet for multiple years?
Sure.

He was kept because he can not go back down, since 31 other teams would claim him in a second.

If this team were easily in the playoffs, he would be sitting and learning as is. The chase for the final spot means going with the veteran for now, but if you think this kid has nothing, I've got a bridge for you to buy.

If you see Pelech traded, he's likely slotting in next season.
 
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