GAGLine
Registered User
- Joined
- Sep 17, 2007
- Messages
- 24,729
- Likes
- 22,320
The best comparables are Necas, Yamamoto, Kakko and Mittelstadt, though Mittelstadt signed his contract in 2021. All the others signed this past summer.The Kucherov deal was signed in 2016 I believe and the DeBrincat in 2019. All pre-covid and potentially 7 and 4 years respectively from when Laff would be signing his new deal. I dont think they would be used as any comparable.
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Name[/TD]
[TD]Total Goals[/TD]
[TD]Total Points[/TD]
[TD]Points per Game[/TD]
[TD]Career High Goals[/TD]
[TD]Career High Points[/TD]
[TD]AAV[/TD]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Necas[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]119[/TD]
[TD].586[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]3 mil[/TD]
[TD]2 years[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Yamamoto[/TD]
[TD]40[/TD]
[TD]93[/TD]
[TD].5[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]3.1 mil[/TD]
[TD]2 years[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Kakko[/TD]
[TD]26[/TD]
[TD]58[/TD]
[TD].369[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]2.1 mil[/TD]
[TD]2 years[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mittelstadt[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD].387[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]2.5 mil[/TD]
[TD]3 years[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lafreniere*[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]55[/TD]
[TD].396[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
* Numbers for Lafreniere are as of today. The rest are as of when they signed.
Necas has the best numbers of the bunch. He even had a year in which he scored 41 points in 53 games. But he only had 40 points in 78 games last year. That "regression" probably factored into his AAV.
Yamamoto's numbers were close. Less goals and points, and a lower PPG average, but his career highs are similar. He probably should have gotten a little less than Necas, but he was coming off his best year, in which he scored 41 points in 81 games.
Laf is trending to have better numbers than either Kakko or Mittelstadt, but without significant PP time, he'll be hard-pressed to surpass Necas and Yamamoto. Maybe he gets a bump due to being a former #1 overall pick, but being a #2 overall pick didn't help Kakko.
If Laf ends up with 41 points this year, he'll have 93 for his career, same as Yamamoto had, though I'd expect his total goals would be higher. It's certainly possible that Laf ends up with 50+ points this year as long as he's playing with Panarin and Trocheck and stays healthy. That would probably mean he gets more than any of these players, but how much more is the question. I have a hard time seeing him get more than 4 mil per on a 2 year deal, but if he manages to hit 60+ points or 30+ goals, then who knows.