BOLD STATEMENT. We're witnessing in real time, THE turning point of this rebuild. And its name is Igor Shesterkin.
I was lying awake in bed because I couldn't stop thinking about how if the Rangers just let Shesty play every game the rest of this season AND kept Kreider, they could theoretically make the playoffs.
I know it sounds crazy given where they're at in the standings and how many teams they have to jump but if you just extrapolate Shesty's win percentage as a pro over the next 27 games, Rangers could go roughly 21-6 or 20-7. Either way, they'd finish with 100 or more pts.
BUT... then I realized I was missing the bigger picture. If Shesty is officially THE GUY now, we need to reassess the timetable for team building.
Igor Shesterkin will very likely be the biggest accelerator of the rebuild. Bigger than Panarin, bigger than Trouba. Just like Lundqvist 14 years ago. Once Hank took over, we had 40+ wins EVERY SEASON except the 09-10 season. Hank led a very mediocre squad to 14 more wins than they had the previous year in just his rookie season.
Point is, elite goaltending is likely to make us a playoff team (not nec. a contender). It will mask A LOT of our issues.
As a result, we shouldn't be stocking up on draft picks and players that'll take 3-4 years to make the team and 5 or 6 to hit their prime. That would just put us in a cycle of mediocrity. And given many factors, we should make sure our contention window is definitely open by 21-22.
And we need to understand the Kreider, Strome, Buch, Skjei, DeAngelo situations within the context of this timing. And JG and JD need to have a plan for how to flip futures we'd get in any trades for players who can have a more near-term impact. So, if the Rangers get what turns out to be a 30th OA draft pick and a B level prospect in a Kreider trade -- is that really the right move? Like don't we need to get an asset that can be more impactful sooner? Or an asset we're confident can help us land an asset that can make a more immediate impact? And if that's the case, are we just trading CK because of the cap? And is that the smartest way to build a team?