i haven't seen Howden play, only read reports and comments, here and elsewhere.
maybe some of you can tell me why he should, or shouldn't,
sound so much like another 20 year old center, with no particular exceptional skill, but an all round game, who elevates in big games, who made NYR's NHL roster at 20 - Stepan
not saying Howden will break camp with team, just saying that what i have read brings Step to mind
I've not followed him very closely when I've seen him play, since we didn't own his rights at the time, and lately I've mostly watched highlights etc.
But I am definitely not very high on him in terms of any kind of top end potential.
Looking around the league, to an almost extreme extent the players living up to their potential or exceeding it are -- often smaller players -- who are very comfortable skating and making moves with the puck.
Some examples,
all happens to be 6'0 or smaller:
Guentzel
Pasternak
Trochek
Point
Marner
Perron
Aho
Dadonov
Keller
Zucker
Gourde
Teravainen
Arvidsson
Reilly Smith
Schwartz
Gallagher
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Fiala
Toffoli
Atkinson
Drouin
Kerfoot
Bratt
And these kids are doing GREAT. They are ranked in order of scoring. Reilly Smith had 60 pts. DeBrincat 52 pts. If you like look at the top 100 in scoring, like a third of it consists of younger players like this who fairly recently have entered the league and almost always having exceeded their potential.
If you look at guys that are built like and skates like Howden, how many younger guys can you find that have reached or exceeded potential the last years? Anyone? Anyone that have scored 40 pts? Its easy to go to NHL.com and sort forwards and search for players 6'2 or bigger. From top to bottom there are like 40 guys having scored more than 40 pts. Most are top 5 picks, almost all are top 15 picks. And there are -- literary -- less than a handful guys there really having exceeded their potential. Anders Lee with 40 goals. Wayne Simmonds. Michael Ferland. Does Hayes count?
I wrote this post before and everyone responded 'Ola you can't ONLY look at size, size doesn't matter'. People are comparing Howden to Braydon Point. Point is 5'11 and a tremendous skater. If a 6'3 good skating forward could do just as well as Point -- why aren't there even one single example of it in the NHL? When I look up great bigger players who skate like Howden to see how they have done, a Joel Eriksson-Ek has 10-15 pts. Tuch have 37 pts and he is looking pretty darn skilled out there.
To be honest, the position I could see him score up towards 40 pts in is if he plays with top guys connecting really well, either on the wing or in a smaller center role. I would be very very very surprised if he even remotely could get close to being able to lead a top 2 line. That happening is the complete opposite of everything I've seen in this league the last years.
And the above difference between the absolute top skaters and puckhandlers and the more straight forward guys is if anything MAGNIFIED in the POs.
And nobody would like being proven wrong on this more than me.