We'll see if we can salvage the ship a little bit today. A lot of people are pointing to the fact that if you wipe our losses against the Brewers, we are a pretty healthy 9-6, but besides the obvious selectivity there, I'm not sure wiping the Brewers is anything that gets us close to the true talent of the team. Put otherwise, despite the great win last night, I think this team is once again built such that it can catastrophically slide for a week+ at a time, and it's return to better play/against weaker opponents is probably never going to move the needle in the other direction.
That said, it's still probably noteworthy that we went 9-12 with our best offensive player basically a complete non-factor. Even if you just extrapolate 9-12 over the season, that's a bad 90 loss team, but not a horrid 100 loss team.
I think there could be some reason to be a little bit more positive, but I still expect nothing more than flirting with 3rd for a good while largely because the division is bad. I think you can concoct a series of "what ifs" that get you closer to something more interesting, i.e., 6-8 more weeks of hanging around in 3rd and being 2-3 games behind the Brewers and Cardinals: need a full Reynolds resurgence, Hayes to keep it up, Chavis to not be a streaky flash in the pan (I'm very pessimistic he is), and then Quintana to consistently eat innings while Keller strings together a number of starts.
You add that together with the relatively easy schedule and you might well have a recipe for a team miraculously a couple games over .500 when July starts. We need to pick up 4-5 wins in the next 7 games before we face the Dodgers. Hopefully last night brought a spark, because we need Reynolds.
The Padres should be a solid test for Keller. Their lineup isn't stacked, but he'll get punished if he's not sharp. I don't think this is gonna happen, but I'll go ahead and say it: we need 6 strong out of Keller today. The pieces have been there throughout the season but it just hasn't come together. Part of the reason we've scraped to 9-12 is that Shelton manages every situation exceedingly tightly, and in terms game strategy, he's right to do that. But we need a starting pitcher who can get through 6 innings in order to give the bullpen some sense of stability. Keller has actually been pretty consistent in terms of efficiency, but the questions today are probably at least two: can he avoid the almost routine early blow-up? and 2) will Shelton trust him once it's the 5th inning and the score is still within reach?