Prospect Info: Quinton Byfield (2nd Overall 2020 Draft) Discussion part II

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Close to, yes. His game already translated to the NHL. He was agile and quick with great hands in tight spaces. You watch any of his highlights from the draft year and you see him creating space and making plays. He absolutely would have done the same thing with the Kings. Would his numbers be AS good? Maybe not as, but still quite.
I still have my doubts. Not because of Stutzle's talent level, but because all players are expected to play a certain way. Mostly board play.

And since they have said they like to slow boil prospects, I'm sure his D+1 would have been spent in the AHL too.
 
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Close to, yes. His game already translated to the NHL. He was agile and quick with great hands in tight spaces. You watch any of his highlights from the draft year and you see him creating space and making plays. He absolutely would have done the same thing with the Kings. Would his numbers be AS good? Maybe not as, but still quite.

Exactly. Also, half of the players on this team have had or are having career offensive seasons last year or now. The notion that Stutzle wouldn’t produce here is doublethink brain rot.
 
Close to, yes. His game already translated to the NHL. He was agile and quick with great hands in tight spaces. You watch any of his highlights from the draft year and you see him creating space and making plays. He absolutely would have done the same thing with the Kings. Would his numbers be AS good? Maybe not as, but still quite.
I think you missed the point. The Kings are fantastic at taking offensively gifted players and making them have to show two-way focus before they give them ice time and top 6 linemates. Stutzle would have been stunted in the Kings program.
 
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I think you missed the point. The Kings are fantastic at taking offensively gifted players and making them have to show two-way focus before they give them ice time and top 6 linemates. Stutzle would have been stunted in the Kings program.

Right, people are missing the point. It's not whether Stutzle is good enough--its' that the Kings regardless would have him checking and no PP time
 
Right, people are missing the point. It's not whether Stutzle is good enough--its' that the Kings regardless would have him checking and no PP time
I know that’s the prevailing thought but, couldn’t it ALSO be that none of the prospects have shown that consistency that Stutzle has? No chance that his level of talent forces the Kings to play him? Do we REALLY think the reason Turcotte is in the AHL is because the Kings just want to take their time with him? Or that Fagemo would be a 30-goal guy if they put him on the first line? I know the counter to all of it is AK but c’mon…he’s nowhere as talented as Stutzle. I mean hell, they gave Villardi about 15 minutes a game once he was finally healthy.

I honestly don’t think Stutzle gets that treatment.
 
I still have my doubts. Not because of Stutzle's talent level, but because all players are expected to play a certain way. Mostly board play.

And since they have said they like to slow boil prospects, I'm sure his D+1 would have been spent in the AHL too.
Stutzle was reportedly not coming over to NA if he was going to be sent to the AHL. Ottawa probably wasn’t going to do it anyways, because well history says teams usually don’t with players like that. And his agents and Ottawa knew the NHL was clearly the most ideal, DEL was 2nd and AHL a distant third. With the Kings they very likely would feel differently based on organizational philosophy and perhaps that is another reason they ultimately chose Byfield.

The issue is, if you have a player who is an elite 1st liner in his third season at age 20/21 and the reaction is “well no way would that have been possible in LA” then shouldn’t we be wondering if LA’s prospect development philosophy is flawed, at least when it comes to high end pieces? Because here is a guy who’s very clearly an elite star player who was developed perfectly by another team and we are saying in LA he wouldn’t be?

The Kings won 2 SC’s in the last decade, those cups would not have happened without 11 and 8. Those two players never spent a second in the AHL, they were both NHL regulars as teenagers, and both broke in on bad teams (which according to someone here are all supposed to be extremely damaging to development). If these players were drafted and developed by the current Kings is it very likely that Doughty spends his D+1 back in the OHL and is forced to “learn the system” and “pay his dues” the next season in the AHL? And Kopitar returns to Europe at 18 and then spends a good chunk of his age 19 season in the AHL? Since the Kings development director has already told us that only the McDavids of the world don’t need AHL time would this philosophy have damaged the ceiling of Kopitar and Doughty who as teenagers were good enough to be a 1st line center and a Norris finalist and member of the Canadian Olympic team without any AHL time.

If someone says “well he wouldn’t be a star in LA” they may think they are taking a shot at Stutzle, but in reality it’s taking a big shot at how the Kings choose to develop high end pieces, because I think TS is a star just about anywhere in the league.

Will be very interesting to see what happens with Clarke next season and what playing in the AHL does to his ceiling.
 
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I still have my doubts. Not because of Stutzle's talent level, but because all players are expected to play a certain way. Mostly board play.

And since they have said they like to slow boil prospects, I'm sure his D+1 would have been spent in the AHL too.
I disagree. I don’t think he’s in the AHL at all. From my recollection, Stutzle was one of the Senators best players in their training camp and preseason that year. QB has never been that guy yet. Neither has any other prospect.
 
The issue is, if you have a player who is an elite 1st liner in his third season at age 20/21 and the reaction is “well no way would that have been possible in LA” then shouldn’t we be wondering if LA’s prospect development philosophy is flawed, at least when it comes to high end pieces. Because here is a guy who’s very clearly an elite star player who was developed perfectly by another team and we are saying in LA he wouldn’t be?
This has been my biggest concern and criticism since the tail end of the Lombardi era.

I think there's a fairly rigid approach employed that tries to be one size fits all. On the one hand, you generate many more NHLers, which is good. But lacking flexibility limits the star potential of special players.
 
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I disagree. I don’t think he’s in the AHL at all. From my recollection, Stutzle was one of the Senators best players in their training camp and preseason that year. QB has never been that guy yet. Neither has any other prospect.
You might be right, but maybe not. I would think in normal circumstances for every other team it would be reasonable to say “he comes into camp, it’s clearly obvious he’s going to be a special talent who is a plug and play guy, and he’s the 2C instead of Vilardi” And maybe that does happen, but this is an organization that is obsessed with AHL usage, more than any other one in the league, the evidence was undeniable and it was basically confirmed by a key member of the development team last summer. Now again maybe this changes if the choice is DEL or NHL for the Kings had they taken TS, as we kind of saw with Clarke for a bit this season with the AHL not being an option. But even with Clarke they wouldn’t give him a regular NHL role without AHL time (not counting his conditioning assisgnments) and ultimately sent him back to the OHL where it’s extremely debatable if he’s gaining anything from playing against players vastly inferior to him. But the Kings feel better about that than letting him become an NHL regular without AHL time. And according to Hoven the AHL is where Clarke is slotted to be next season.

I do agree QB is not at the level of TS, and again maybe they changes things, but I also don’t think TS is McDavid, and straight from the horses mouth that is the kind of player it would take for the Kings to give a big NHL role without first paying their dues in Ontario.
 
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Hear from a former NHL analyst/AHL assistant coach about Byfield at wing

33:25 into the episode if you want to skip the rest of it (but why would you it's a really good episode)
 
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I never compared the two -- I was basically referencing what would be considered a #1 center in the NHL. I guess you are saying he will never be that....I am saying, at this point, I have no idea...however, if he did develop into that, would it still be the 'wrong' pick?

Took Olli Jokinen almost 500 games before it was deemed he was the right pick. How many games has QB played?

View attachment 669977

First off, do you think Jokinen is a common path for players to develop? Showing a pulse only in his 6th season on his 3rd different team and really only becoming a player worthy of his slot in year 8?

If you took every player in NHL taken in the top 10 who were disappointments after 5 seasons what percentage turn it around and live up to their pick and what percentage end of continuing as career disappointments? If I told you it were 80% can I bring up those 80% since you are bringing up the 20% constantly? You bring up the minority results and think it proves something.

And you continue to equate that people saying the Kings made the wrong pick as the same as saying that QB is a bust, which is not the case. To go back to your Olli Jokinen example, if you had a pick in an NHL draft and the choices were a player who ended up being Olli Jokinen and a player who ended up being Patrick Kane and you chose Olli Jokinen you made the wrong pick, period. It doesn’t mean Olli Jokinen is a bad player or your guys favorite word “bust” . It just means presented with two choices you made the wrong one. If you can only invest in one company and after heavy research and analysis you choose to invest in one company and you make $1m and the other company would have made you $4m, you made the wrong choice, but you still end up with $1m. I just don’t get why that is such a difficult concept for you to grasp. You continue to think that praise of Stutzle as a very special player is a criticism of QB as a bust.

To answer your question, what would it take for it not to be the wrong pick for the Kings? Byfield would have to end up as a better player than Stutzle. You said in another post that you are a results guy, so you should agree with thet, since it’s the ultimate results take.

Kane---defense??? Are you kidding me, Herby.... He has been a cherry picker who back checks once every 5 or so shifts. I always say Kane is the best American forward ever. But his defense is and always has been atrocious. It is not what he was made for.

(This is also why how the Kings have handled Kaliyev in the opposite way the Hawks treated Kane makes me crazy. I did not say Kaliyev = Kane. They are both offensively elite and that part of their game should be the main focus.

Look, I didn’t say the guy was Jere Lehtinen, but from where he was when he was a young player which was a total disregard for any kind of defense (way worse than Stutzle and Zegras) he was able to at least get to a level where he wasn’t a total liability. But you are right that even in 2010 he was still really bad and they still won, that is why defensive play from offensive superstars is a tad overrated and often used more to tear someone down than anything.

As far as the other stuff, I am just continually amazed that certain people will get so angry when someone on the main forum brings up QB’s offense with the usual response being that he is still young and has room to improve, which is a very fair and reasonable response. But then you will see some of those same people in threads around these parts saying the same thing about Zegras and Stutzle’s defense, not giving them the same benefit of age improvement that they are angry QB is not given by fans of other teams, it just seems baffling to me. If QB can figure things out offensively why can’t those guys defensively? Especially with historical evidence that many one-dimensional centers do turn it around as they get older.

With the Kings development choices, I agree 100%. As RJ said, the Kings do a good job producing solid NHL depth up to decent secondary pieces. But getting the most out of guys with high end skills has continued to be a major issue, and it is certainly valid to ask why and try and dig deeper into it. I personally think it’s the reliance on heavy AHL usage coupled with roles that don’t suit skilled players. Other teams often don’t have players the caliber of Clarke and Byfield in the AHL at all, instead choosing to develop them at the NHL level. When people bring up the “QB wasn’t NHL ready” stuff to defend having him in the AHL at 18 instead of the NHL they completely ignore that many of the high picks who end up in the NHL at 18 also weren’t ready but the teams still felt that was the best spot for them. Joe Thornton was completely lost as an 18 year old in Boston, Jack Hughes made the historic jump from the NTDP to the NHL and wasn’t ready, Sasha Barkov was not NHL ready when he made the Panthers at 18. Why are these teams choosing the NHL over the AHL (Thornton wasn’t AHL eligible but the other 2 were) while the Kings did not?

The Turcotte thing, why did every other NCAA 1st round pick who wasn’t going to play in the NHL from that draft get returned to college, but the Kings decided to put Turcotte in the AHL? Please none of the canned excuses, the Kings were not the only team dealing in a Covid world, there were other NHL prospects returned to the same program. Let’s call a spade a spade, despite historical evidence that is so overwhelmingly clear the Kings went against it and chose their AHL affiliate when no one else did. Why? These are fair questions to ask about why players drafted to be skilled players either don’t make it or are so far behind schedule compared to peers.

Now with Clarke. Can we honestly say that Clarke would be handled this way by the majority of teams? Any other team? Not given a regular role so they can keep generic veterans making little impact with no long term upside to the team. Returned to a level where he isn’t being challenged at all, putting up roller hockey stats and not facing elite competition in the defensive end. And to the surprise of no one the likely situation is he ends up in the AHL next season. Owen Power didn’t play in the AHL, neither did Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, Rasmus Dahlin, Adam Fox, Charlie McAvoy played 4 games. It’s very unlikely you will see Luke Hughes or Brock Faber in the AHL next season, both are similar age and similar caliber players to Clarke and likely to immediately jump into playoff teams as early as this spring. Why are so many other teams comfortable putting high end guys into the NHL without AHL usage first (in most cases with great success) but the Kings are unwilling to? Do we believe these type of decisions are damaging to a ceiling being hit in a timely manner or even at all?
 
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I have only read through page 56 but I have to add this to the Byfield/Stutzle discussion.

Do the "we should've picked Stutzle" people really believe he would have this level of production at this time if he had started in the Kings system?

I say "No way!"

Also, what if the Senators had drafted Byfield and given him all the opportunity afforded Stutzle?
No requirements to check, play defense, fight in the corners before earning L1 assignments, PP ice time, OT ice time, and overall L1 ice time from minute one...

That would be an interesting Byfield.
So many people here want to live in some alternate universe. Coulda shoulda woulda. It's done. Stutzle doesn't even play in the West, so we see him all of twice a year. Why is it important how good he is compared to Byfield or what he would have been on the Kings? Let me know when someone opens a portal to the multiverse and reports back.

If the Kings had picked Pietrangelo instead of Doughty this board would still be talking about the two like they were twins split at birth.
 
I disagree. I don’t think he’s in the AHL at all. From my recollection, Stutzle was one of the Senators best players in their training camp and preseason that year. QB has never been that guy yet. Neither has any other prospect.
Clarke, Spence, and Bjornfot have outplayed guys on the roster and yet can't get in the lineup. Clarke was the best player in camp this year and that only got him 9 games on the bottom pairing.

Vilardi was the leading goal scorer on the team earlier this season and has been on the third line for most of the games.

Go back and look at the forward roster from the spring of 2021 and tell me which vet is being moved down the lineup by TMac for him? Brown? He didn't get bumped out of the top 6 until middle of last season despite his play dropping significantly from the previous season. Iafallo? Unlikely. Carter? He was the trusted vet playing with Vilardi so not until he was traded. AA? That would make sense but the coaches have constantly made headscratching choices so that is a coin flip. Kempe? Maybe, but then he doesn't break out so the Kings probably don't resign him and still trade for Fiala.

I just don't see any young LA player getting the same opportunity that Stutzle had in Ottawa. If playing time and deployment impact growth and development, then I can't see how Stutzle would be the same player in LA right now as he is in Ottawa because he would have had been playing in the bottom six without power play time to start.

Edit: Looks like Stutzle was the third LW for Ottawa his entire rookie year, started last year as the second LW, and moved to center a month or two later. He might be the same player in LA if they don't force him to work on board play and things like that.
 
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6 points in the last 7 games (70 pt pace) with next to no PP time and over 70% of the goal share playing the toughest matchups on a team competing for the conference lead and we're still like "yeah but he could be better" is basically the perfect out come at this point

I'm just gonna sit back and enjoy the ride

Edit: sorry make that 7 in 8 games, AKA the Kopitar career pace.
 
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So many people here want to live in some alternate universe. Coulda shoulda woulda. It's done. Stutzle doesn't even play in the West, so we see him all of twice a year. Why is it important how good he is compared to Byfield or what he would have been on the Kings? Let me know when someone opens a portal to the multiverse and reports back.

If the Kings had picked Pietrangelo instead of Doughty this board would still be talking about the two like they were twins split at birth.
I've never understood the fascination, complaining and internal pain/loathing that many fans seem to have with the woulda, coulda, shoulda look back on the draft. I love the draft. but once a guy is picked by my team -- that's my guy. Same with trades FWIW. Heck, there's not even a guarentee your GM would pick that other guy. Regardless though, they are now on the other team and we have our guy.

Looking back on certain plays, calls, missed opportunities on the field/ice -- sure. But draft....man some really like to wallow in misery i guess. Life's too short. I like to look forward -- not back. But even so, the draft picks? (i feel like Allen Iverson here -- we're talking missed prior draft picks?!?!)
 
I've never understood the fascination, complaining and internal pain/loathing that many fans seem to have with the woulda, coulda, shoulda look back on the draft. I love the draft. but once a guy is picked by my team -- that's my guy. Same with trades FWIW. Heck, there's not even a guarentee your GM would pick that other guy. Regardless though, they are now on the other team and we have our guy.

Looking back on certain plays, calls, missed opportunities on the field/ice -- sure. But draft....man some really like to wallow in misery i guess. Life's too short. I like to look forward -- not back. But even so, the draft picks? (i feel like Allen Iverson here -- we're talking missed prior draft picks?!?!)
Look out - that's Herby's schtick since you know he's the best out there in hindsight, Monday morning quarterbacking, second guessing, etc. and will write a 3000 diatribe to beat around the bush make you dizzy and still be dead wrong. LOL. But hey he gets his rocks off that way,

Agree wit you 100%.
 
Look out - that's Herby's schtick since you know he's the best out there in hindsight, Monday morning quarterbacking, second guessing, etc. and will write a 3000 diatribe to beat around the bush make you dizzy and still be dead wrong. LOL. But hey he gets his rocks off that way,

Agree wit you 100%.
I'm not saying anyone is wrong for doing so. everyone has their right to do as they wish. i do see why someone would do it. But to me personally only, it's a rabbit hole i don't want to go down -- i'm not into that kind of pain lol. But i totally understand why some do.

BTW, i also don't understand why some posters need to call someone else out from a post that had no involvement to that other poster. Like why even mention Herby and go on & on about him and calling him out negatively. Isn't that baiting and trolling? I don't understand the point of doing that -- it should not a part of this board (imho).
 
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The areas Byfield needs to improve on are quite obvious. His strength and shot are two aspects of his game that need to reach another level. His passing, skating, and vision are exactly why the top line is benefitting so much, and Kopitar is shooting a lot more than he has in the past. Now it's Byfield who tends to defer to his linemates, rather than Kopitar.

He'll learn, and he'll keep getting better.
 
The areas Byfield needs to improve on are quite obvious. His strength and shot are two aspects of his game that need to reach another level. His passing, skating, and vision are exactly why the top line is benefitting so much, and Kopitar is shooting a lot more than he has in the past. Now it's Byfield who tends to defer to his linemates, rather than Kopitar.

He'll learn, and he'll keep getting better.

And I think that's very encouraging given how sideways his development has gone so far with handling and injuries/illness

much like Vilardi, dude has had offseasons to put in work, only to lose time at the very beginning of the year and lose up to half a season twice already

I'm willing to bet that much like Vilardi, if he can get in a full offseason and come back WITHOUT those concerns, we'll see a much bigger breakout as soon as the beginning of next season.
 
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The areas Byfield needs to improve on are quite obvious. His strength and shot are two aspects of his game that need to reach another level. His passing, skating, and vision are exactly why the top line is benefitting so much, and Kopitar is shooting a lot more than he has in the past. Now it's Byfield who tends to defer to his linemates, rather than Kopitar.

He'll learn, and he'll keep getting better.
And, I know some people keep forgetting this, but he's still only 20 years old. He doesn't turn 21 for another 5 months.

The two biggest obstacles any player has to overcome when breaking into the league is strength and consistency. I'd add consistency to your list, even though Byfield seems to be fairly strong at his young age.

It's why regular ice time is very important for these young players. It's why keeping Spence and Bjornfot on ice for so long throughout the season is even more maddening.
 
I was thinking about the personality side of it too....I know often we talk about his 'assertiveness' or 'confidence' or whatever but its' pretty clear he's comfortable taking the bull by the horns to make plays. Surely eventually the shot will come...but in reflection, looking at all his past roles, I'm wondering if it's less 'passiveness' or whatever and more that good ol' Team Canada buy-in to just being a good teammate--and with the Kings, the checking detail. Remember in his WJC role he was the checking line guy with plugs and it's like he took that and 'whatever it takes to win' to the level of he was so focused on playing elite defense for the team...here, He's so deferential to both Kopitar and Kempe and I don't really expect that to change. Even when he was with Vilardi, it was a game of get Gabe the puck. In Sudbury, he was the guy, the triggerman. Maybe he's never that in the NHL when he's surrounded by shooters but one of his draft perks was being a dual threat, shot and playmaker. So while I'm sure he'll grow into it to some degree, it's possible he's more of a Getzlaf pass-first-second-and-third type than a 40-40 guy.
 
Byfield wins puck battles and gains possesion, while still being physically underdeveloped. As he gains strength he'll improve even more in that area.

As of now, he's kind of like a bigger more naturally talented version of Trevor Moore. The type of player that will help drive a line, but have perpetually negative GSAE. In order to improve that he'll need to improve his shot, and develop some patience.

IMO, it makes sense to have QB paired with players like Kempe/Vilardi/JAD; guys who have high GSAE.

What Moore did for the Danault line last year, Byfield is doing for the Kopitar line this year.
 

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