How many players are drafted during years when Canadian juniors aren't even running and are forced to play them in weird truncated pro seasons
How many of those players are also considered longer-term
I'm not going to run over the numbers again but if you recall the number of 18 year olds in the NHL most years is 5-10 and about 10% of those make any sort of 'impact'. That trends up a little at 19, a lot at 20, and a TON at 21. It's not that crazy that this guy isn't already ripping the league to shreds, especially given he's a teenager for another half a year, and the number of high picks that step in as seamlessly as you want is limited to the McDavid/matthews/Eichel tier.
The problem is the Kings thought that had plenty of time to let him develop. You had Kupari, Vilardi and Turcotte in front of him at center. What do they do now?
Who are you replying to? It can't possibly be me because your reply makes no sense.
No one (well atleast not me) ever said QB should be dominating in the NHL at 18, just that he should have been playing in the NHL at 18. A Jack Hughes D+1 type season would have been fine, certainly better than the AHL.
QB never played another season of junior, much less two, so why are you defending a 4 year return for a #2OA pick when no other players taken that high who haven't busted have gone that development route? If you are defending that route and believe it would be best why not advocate for him to return to the OHL right now?
The guy you are apparently defending believed that QB, the #2 OA pick should have played two years of major junior after being drafted and an additional season in the AHL before debuting in the NHL. You think that is an optimal route for developing high picks? And if so, why have no NHL teams taken that route?
The stagnation of Vilardi, Kupari and Turcotte probably was one of the biggest reasons they signed Danault. If Vilardi had proven himself to be a really good 2C last year they probably would have rolled with Kopitar-Vilardi and Byfield this season.
But the Kings are fine down the middle. Kopitar is still a good #1, Danault has been excellent as the #2, Lizotte has been great as the 4C (really more like the 3C). Just will need Byfield to be the 3C by the time they break camp next fall.
This is the question I'm answering. No one's taken that route because no one has dealt with what these kids have. Looking to historical norms doesn't make sense here.
QB isn't a 'normal' development scenario anyway, but
his entire draft year's 'normal' development scenario went down the tubes with covid.
I'm with you on the NHL time for QB, you'll remember I've agreed with you plenty on that. But you're preaching hard and fast rules that the numbers disagree with with respect to when players 'should' break in vs when they actually do.
You draft that high because of the players skill level. You don't necessarily want them to debut in 1 year. How many busts has there been at 2 overall? Quite a few. Developing players takes patience. QB is being rushed but it's not so bad because he's getting minutes. Hes a raw talent. He'll need time.You’re acting like a guy who’s not going to debut until his D+4 is going to immediately step in and be a star in this hypothetical scenario? Or that players who debut earlier won’t keep getting better?
How many teams have drafted a player high in the 1st round and returned them to junior for 2 years and then a full season in the AHL.
Do you think there is a reason for that is never the path of development?
You draft that high because of the players skill level. You don't necessarily want them to debut in 1 year. How many busts has there been at 2 overall? Quite a few. Developing players takes patience. QB is being rushed but it's not so bad because he's getting minutes. Hes a raw talent. He'll need time.
He belongs in the ahl where he can polish his game.How is he being rushed?
He belongs in the ahl where he can polish his game.
Byfield would need to be the star of the team. 1st line center. Let him develop there. I think he could develop in LA, but he really needs more TOI.Do you really think he is that raw and far behind other players taken that high in past drafts?
What if he goes back to the AHL and doesn't really gain anything, as apparently was the case last year. Ontario has not exactly been stellar at developing forwards for the Kings, there are going to be things he has to learn at the NHL level, whether it was last season, this season or next season.
He belongs in the ahl where he can polish his game.
I kindly disagree.In my unprofessional, non-expert opinion Byfield has nothing to gain from the AHL. Watching him play in ONT and given his skill set, he's better off learning the NHL game from guys like PD and Kopitar. Giving him PP time over Brown might be something for TMac to consider as well.
The problem is the Kings thought that had plenty of time to let him develop. You had Kupari, Vilardi and Turcotte in front of him at center. What do they do now?
None of these make any sense. JAD isn't strong enough, Kupari hasn't shown anything, Vilardi is now a RW and AA would be a wildcard at center.Use Vilardi.
Use JAD.
Use Kupari.
Use AA.
I mean it's "worse". Kupari was starting to look good on the wing before he was sent down. Bursts of speed at the red line and the attacking blue line.Kupari hasn't shown anything
I definitely see progression. As he came in, he was criticized for being easily pushed off the puck and not playing physically. Now, he's battling along the boards and sometimes battling through contact on the cycle.He is still very youthful and clearly keeps trying to get away with things that worked for him in the past that no longer will in the NHL. Honestly, I still see much to be concerned with. He looks good, still finding his way and gaining confidence. You definitely see his skillset and flashes of brilliance.
He belongs in the ahl where he can polish his game.
But once he gets a first touch on the puck, Byfield becomes his own worst enemy. His default skating stride is so hunched over that he needs to quickly reset his posture or risk losing the puck.
Because his center of gravity is way forward, he has trouble loading his ankles and staying low through sharp turns.
an NHL caliber defenseman can either push him off the puck as he lifts his body or catch up to him and get a stick on the puck when he slows to a near-standstill in the middle of his turn.
might even have positional implications. Give Byfield a quick pass on his backhand low in the defensive zone and see what happens: he stiffens up, his feet get stuck and he bobbles the puck.
I like hockey but I think Han's substack is meant for scouts, managers and coaches. Cause $20/month is a lot money for even the hardcore fan to put down for hockey content. People bitch about the Athletic subscription prices, can't imagine paying almost 3x that much for Han's substack.
QB is just too adamant about using a short stick and also about wanting to be lean and not adding weight...to his detriment.