Value of: Players with 4-5 years remaining on an 8 years contract, where are the steals?

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hn777

Registered User
Apr 22, 2019
671
1,231
So whenever a "star/prospect" player is signed to a long term contract, unmistakently you will get the STEAL comment "that contract will be a steal in 3 years" etc... Below is a list of all 25 current players with 4-5 years remaining on an 8 years contract. Do you see many that qualify as a steal?
**credit: data found on puckpedia**




1 Barkov, Aleksander 29C
Yr 3 of 8
8$10,000,0002029-30 UFA
2 Jones, Seth 29D
Yr 3 of 8
8$9,500,0002029-30 UFA
3 McAvoy, Charlie 26D
Yr 3 of 8
8$9,500,0002029-30 UFA
4 Tkachuk, Matthew 26L
Yr 3 of 8
8$9,500,0002029-30 UFA
5 Point, Brayden 28C
Yr 3 of 8
8$9,500,0002029-30 UFA
6 Nurse, Darnell 29D
Yr 3 of 8
8$9,250,0002029-30 UFA
7 Zibanejad, Mika 31C
Yr 3 of 8
8$8,500,0002029-30 UFA
8 Forsberg, Filip 30C
Yr 3 of 8
8$8,500,0002029-30 UFA
9 Heiskanen, Miro 25D
Yr 4 of 8
8$8,450,0002028-29 UFA
10 Hertl, Tomas 30C
Yr 3 of 8
8$8,137,5002029-30 UFA
11 Hughes, Jack 23C
Yr 3 of 8
8$8,000,0002029-30 UFA
12 Norris, Joshua 25C
Yr 3 of 8
8$7,950,0002029-30 UFA
13 Suzuki, Nick 25C
Yr 3 of 8
8$7,875,0002029-30 UFA
14 Svechnikov, Andrei 24R
Yr 4 of 8
8$7,750,0002028-29 UFA
15 Couturier, Sean 31C
Yr 3 of 8
8$7,750,0002029-30 UFA
16 Rielly, Morgan 30D
Yr 3 of 8
8$7,500,0002029-30 UFA
17 Landeskog, Gabriel 31L
Yr 4 of 8
8$7,000,0002028-29 UFA
18 Lindholm, Hampus 30D
Yr 3 of 8
8$6,500,0002029-30 UFA
19 Parayko, Colton 31D
Yr 3 of 8
8$6,500,0002029-30 UFA
20 Pulock, Ryan 29D
Yr 3 of 8
8$6,150,0002029-30 UFA
21 Nichushkin, Valeri 29R
Yr 3 of 8
8$6,125,0002029-30 UFA
22 Pelech, Adam 30D
Yr 4 of 8
8$5,750,0002028-29 UFA
23 Eriksson Ek, Joel 27C
Yr 4 of 8
8$5,250,0002028-29 UFA
24 Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan 31C
Yr 4 of 8
8$5,125,0002028-29 UFA
25 Kotkaniemi, Jesperi 24C
Yr 3 of 8
8$4,820,0002029-30 UFA
You forgot Morrissey on your list.
Year 5 of 8 and a cap hit of $6,250,000.
That's a steal for a 1D.
 

Miller Time

Registered User
Sep 16, 2004
23,884
16,602
So, would a "steal" be that if they signed the contract today, they'd be making ~50% more? Or is the threshold less than that?

Because if somebody was making $8M and would/should be ~$10M, I'd consider that a very nice contract, but not necessarily a "steal".

The semantics are of course very subjective... But in a cap system, I would argue that getting any elite level player at less than market value is a "steal" given the demand for & scarcity of players "worth" 10M. The greater the discount, the greater the steal, but even at 500K, it's still a "steal" in my books.

Just getting one signed long term at market value is challenging enough. The higher value & cost of a player, the greater the relative value of each dollar "saved" vs their market value.
 

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