BrindamoursNose
Registered User
- Oct 14, 2008
- 20,408
- 14,556
7-3 against the spread though and that’s what really counts.No playoffs for Chargers again.
That AFC West hype died down quick.
This is actually one of the reasons I don't watch the NFL much anymore. You get to a point where you really feel like that. NFL football has to be one of the least creative sports in the world.I’ve seen this exact game no less than 14 times.
wish we drafted fields huh?Threw a ball a mile in a Pro Day and billion dollar companies moved him ahead of Fields.
Including Howie. Sigh.
Why do you have to give me nightmares?Most QBs don't have substantial upside left at 24.
Hurts has played quite well this year. The question with any rookie scale QB is not whether it's ok to have him as a starting QB, it's whether or not he's a guy you pay 40+. Reasonable people will disagree on evaluations when it comes to every single player, but that is the only relevant standard of measure.
I'm even being conservative by saying 40. The real number is likely 45+.
Why do you have to give me nightmares?
When Hurts got super hot to start the year, Kempski said he thought Kyler Murray was the better contractual comp for a potential extension than Lamar. I would agree. Here's Murray's structure:
Most QBs, like most players, don't have elite work ethics.Most QBs don't have substantial new upside left at 24.
Hurts has played quite well this year. The question with any rookie scale QB is not whether it's ok to have him as a starting QB, it's whether or not he's a guy you pay 40+. Reasonable people will disagree on evaluations when it comes to every single player, but that is the only relevant standard of measure.
I'm even being conservative by saying 40. The real number is likely 45+.
Most QBs, like most players, don't have elite work ethics.
We saw that with McNabb and Wentz, once they were successful, they flat lined, partially due to injury, but also b/c they weren't focused on improving their game and resisted coaching. Same with Murray in Arizona.
This is why intangibles matter, but especially for QBs, physical development is usually complete by 24-25, but mental development depends on the player's commitment to the game. Brady got stronger in the NFL, but just as important, he improved his understanding of the game to the point where he progressed from a "caretaker" QB his first three seasons as a starter, running a ball control short passing scheme, to orchestrating a wide open scheme by 2004.
This is one reason why, in all sports, the "bargains" are the guys wired to compete, because they'll maximize their potential - if you draft/trade based on current talent/production, they're the best bet to exceed expectations. The most dangerous play is betting on elite but immature athletes growing up, that is, maturing to the point where they don't depend on their raw talent and put the work in to reach their potential.
Seth Galina said:75% of high school quarterbacks are better than every NFL quarterback before 1995
Are you suggesting that Rutgers inability to ever get a first down has something to do with inflating those numbers? How dare you, sir! Don't disrespect the Punt God that way!Most punting yards in NCAA history. Just the record you want to have.
Tom Brady developed in an NFL that bears little resemblance to what QBs are asked to do today. There's a quote out there from Seth Galina of PFF that I love because it sounds completely absurd on face value and the more you dig into it, the more you realize it's true.
That doesn't mean Dan Marino wouldn't have been able to play in 2022. What it does mean is that what the position entails has changed so much that we need to stop making these historical comps. Similar to how quoting a team's record when X RB rushes for 100+ yards is actually describing game script, Brady's evolution is hopelessly entangled with leaguewide evolution.