A quick survey for everyone. Ignoring injury issues and actual eligibility for an extension, which of these QBs would you give starter's money long-term:
A) Jalen Hurts
B) Justin Herbert
C) Tua Tagovailoa
D) Geno Smith
E) Trevor Lawrence
F) Lamar Jackson
No answers will be mocked or responded to at all. I just want to see something.
A. Yes. though I want to see him carry his regular season success into the playoffs. If he has another subpar playoff performance where a team just completely shuts him down by daring him to beat them with his arm like the Bucs did last year then it would be cause for concern. I will say of all my "yes" to these players, he has most potential to end up as a dud but his continued improvement as a passer each year makes his ceiling tantalizing. Would be awful to not resign him and draft a QB that doesn't end up being nearly as good.
B. Yes - of this list, I think he'd be the "safest" extension meaning I think he has the highest floor and lowest risk of falling apart after an extension but still not sure about the ceiling. Is he a Kirk Cousins(top 10 QB that churns out quality stats season after season) or a Peyton Manning/Aaron Rodgers that will have multiple MVP type seasons? Not sure if I'm sold he ever hits the MVP range but the potential is there.
C. No - I think he's largely a product of the scheme and weapons he has. Also, like Hurts I want to see how he performs come playoff time.
D. No - Great story and he's playing unreal this year but I think it'd be foolish to give him franchise money after a career season at age 32. It's possible he's an extreme outlier but more likely he comes back down to earth in the coming years.
E. Yes - Urban really messed up his development in year 1 but there's been enough in year 2 that you can see potential greatness there. Also, like Herbert I think he's a relatively safe floor extension but still not sure about the ceiling.
F. No - He just has never shown he's able to win in the playoffs with his game. Now with that said, he's had some incredible games where he deserved to win based on his play but just didn't get the W but I also don't believe he will age gracefully. Once the athleticism starts trending downhill, I could see him struggling like Russ.