Other Sports: Philadelphia Eagles (NFL): Vegas, Baby! (2023 Regular Season)

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@BrindamoursNose Ok, let's talk Fangio. The best way I've seen it explained is to say he's the McVay defensive equivalent in that the bedrock of the scheme is the illusion of complexity.

The biggest change is going to be how often disguises are used. On pure disguise rates, Fangio is almost always at the top of the league or very close to it. PFF has the Dolphins at 37.6% disguised coverages. League average was in the mid 20s. They don't blitz all that often. They play a relatively even mix of MoF Open (Two High) and Closed (Single High) coverages, but this manifests in materially different ways than what you may be used to from previous Eagles teams. Fangio loves to start in MoF Open (Two High) and roate to Closed (Single High). He almost never rotates Closed --> Open.

It's tough because of the DC change, but here's a rough idea of the coverage tendency differencs:

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]Cover 0%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 1%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 3%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 2%[/TD]
[TD]Quarters%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Eagles[/TD]
[TD]11.1[/TD]
[TD]17.5[/TD]
[TD]28.4[/TD]
[TD]8.8[/TD]
[TD]17.3[/TD]
[TD]8.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dolphins[/TD]
[TD]4.5[/TD]
[TD]9.3[/TD]
[TD]34.8[/TD]
[TD]16.5[/TD]
[TD]11.1[/TD]
[TD]9.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

The biggest statistical difference I can show you is in Simulated Pressures. The Dolphins lead the league by a mile with Sims on 36.9% of Snaps this year. The Eagles were near the bottom of the league at 8%.

It doesn't matter what scheme you run. If you can't confuse the Quarterback or make him uncomfortable, you're boned. It's the biggest reason why I am no longer interested in hiring DCs without meaningful experience. You can be Belichick and install a different defense at the drop of a hat. But you can't do that everywhere because the player pool doesn't exist. In most cases, what you need is to know how to respond to as many situations as possible correctly within the scheme that you run. The only way to learn that is to do it.

As far as personnel, someone like Nolan Smith's development now matters quite a bit more. You're going to see a lot of Nickel. They'll be lined up in a formation that looks like a 4-2-5 and it will also play that way, but it has the personnel of a 2-4-5. Smith has the athletic ability to do this while also having the hands to make plays through one blocker. Your Linebackers are going to be tasked with playing Man on RBs like McCaffrey out of bases like Cover 9 (Cover 3 with a weak rotation). If they can't, the scheme doesn't work. Zach Cunningham isn't going to cut it. But the biggest key to me is now Safety. This is the defense that made Justin Simmons and Eddie Jackson into stars. I think Blankenship is a good player, but I'm not as high on him as some other people. I want to know that there's a plan around this spot, particularly whoever is going to play on the weak side. That position has the most freelance ability in the defense and therefore the most opportunity to make plays.

There was a breakdown somewhere in the season showing how ridiculous Miami was at disguises. Teams would run guys in motion and nobody on Miami would shift, and barely any communication. OK, looks like fully committed zone coverage? WRONG, losers! Man! Eat shit. Whatever system they had for handing guys off to each other was very well understood by everyone on the D. And that's also an important skill for a DC; getting everyone on the same page. If you confuse your own guys as much as you confuse the QB, the QB wins. Looking at you, Haslett.
 
@BrindamoursNose Ok, let's talk Fangio. The best way I've seen it explained is to say he's the McVay defensive equivalent in that the bedrock of the scheme is the illusion of complexity.

The biggest change is going to be how often disguises are used. On pure disguise rates, Fangio is almost always at the top of the league or very close to it. PFF has the Dolphins at 37.6% disguised coverages. League average was in the mid 20s. They don't blitz all that often. They play a relatively even mix of MoF Open (Two High) and Closed (Single High) coverages, but this manifests in materially different ways than what you may be used to from previous Eagles teams. Fangio loves to start in MoF Open (Two High) and roate to Closed (Single High). He almost never rotates Closed --> Open.

It's tough because of the DC change, but here's a rough idea of the coverage tendency differencs:

Cover 0%Cover 1%Cover 3%Cover 2%Quarters%Cover 6%
Eagles11.117.528.48.817.38.7
Dolphins4.59.334.816.511.19.9

The biggest statistical difference I can show you is in Simulated Pressures. The Dolphins lead the league by a mile with Sims on 36.9% of Snaps this year. The Eagles were near the bottom of the league at 8%.

It doesn't matter what scheme you run. If you can't confuse the Quarterback or make him uncomfortable, you're boned. It's the biggest reason why I am no longer interested in hiring DCs without meaningful experience. You can be Belichick and install a different defense at the drop of a hat. But you can't do that everywhere because the player pool doesn't exist. In most cases, what you need is to know how to respond to as many situations as possible correctly within the scheme that you run. The only way to learn that is to do it.

As far as personnel, someone like Nolan Smith's development now matters quite a bit more. You're going to see a lot of Nickel. They'll be lined up in a formation that looks like a 4-2-5 and it will also play that way, but it has the personnel of a 2-4-5. Smith has the athletic ability to do this while also having the hands to make plays through one blocker. Your Linebackers are going to be tasked with playing Man on RBs like McCaffrey out of bases like Cover 9 (Cover 3 with a weak rotation). If they can't, the scheme doesn't work. Zach Cunningham isn't going to cut it. But the biggest key to me is now Safety. This is the defense that made Justin Simmons and Eddie Jackson into stars. I think Blankenship is a good player, but I'm not as high on him as some other people. I want to know that there's a plan around this spot, particularly whoever is going to play on the weak side. That position has the most freelance ability in the defense and therefore the most opportunity to make plays.
Lol luckily Fangio has the perfect crop of players with the perfect skill sets to run his favorite defense. I'm not holding my breath for Howie to draft LB or S either for obvious reasons which might include sucking on his own farts. Truly a match made in heaven
 
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@BrindamoursNose Ok, let's talk Fangio. The best way I've seen it explained is to say he's the McVay defensive equivalent in that the bedrock of the scheme is the illusion of complexity.

The biggest change is going to be how often disguises are used. On pure disguise rates, Fangio is almost always at the top of the league or very close to it. PFF has the Dolphins at 37.6% disguised coverages. League average was in the mid 20s. They don't blitz all that often. They play a relatively even mix of MoF Open (Two High) and Closed (Single High) coverages, but this manifests in materially different ways than what you may be used to from previous Eagles teams. Fangio loves to start in MoF Open (Two High) and roate to Closed (Single High). He almost never rotates Closed --> Open.

It's tough because of the DC change, but here's a rough idea of the coverage tendency differencs:

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]Cover 0%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 1%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 3%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 2%[/TD]
[TD]Quarters%[/TD]
[TD]Cover 6%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Eagles[/TD]
[TD]11.1[/TD]
[TD]17.5[/TD]
[TD]28.4[/TD]
[TD]8.8[/TD]
[TD]17.3[/TD]
[TD]8.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dolphins[/TD]
[TD]4.5[/TD]
[TD]9.3[/TD]
[TD]34.8[/TD]
[TD]16.5[/TD]
[TD]11.1[/TD]
[TD]9.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

The biggest statistical difference I can show you is in Simulated Pressures. The Dolphins lead the league by a mile with Sims on 36.9% of Snaps this year. The Eagles were near the bottom of the league at 8%.

It doesn't matter what scheme you run. If you can't confuse the Quarterback or make him uncomfortable, you're boned. It's the biggest reason why I am no longer interested in hiring DCs without meaningful experience. You can be Belichick and install a different defense at the drop of a hat. But you can't do that everywhere because the player pool doesn't exist. In most cases, what you need is to know how to respond to as many situations as possible correctly within the scheme that you run. The only way to learn that is to do it.

As far as personnel, someone like Nolan Smith's development now matters quite a bit more. You're going to see a lot of Nickel. They'll be lined up in a formation that looks like a 4-2-5 and it will also play that way, but it has the personnel of a 2-4-5. Smith has the athletic ability to do this while also having the hands to make plays through one blocker. Your Linebackers are going to be tasked with playing Man on RBs like McCaffrey out of bases like Cover 9 (Cover 3 with a weak rotation). If they can't, the scheme doesn't work. Zach Cunningham isn't going to cut it. But the biggest key to me is now Safety. This is the defense that made Justin Simmons and Eddie Jackson into stars. I think Blankenship is a good player, but I'm not as high on him as some other people. I want to know that there's a plan around this spot, particularly whoever is going to play on the weak side. That position has the most freelance ability in the defense and therefore the most opportunity to make plays.

The real question for you, JoJo, is...

Is Fangio a DC you'd describe as a guy who locks himself in a cabin for months on end only thinking about being a DC?
 
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Now I have to wonder if the Bucs would be ballsy enough to sweep house(unlikely) and get a new HC...but if not..who else is left that is good for an OC?
 
Lol luckily Fangio has the perfect crop of players with the perfect skill sets to run his favorite defense. I'm not holding my breath for Howie to draft LB or S either. Truly a match made in heaven

Maybe this is a sign of Howie committing to it. I mean one of Howie's greatest attributes, or flaws, is that he's a big over-corrector. Perhaps this year he draws a line under it and invests heavily in one or both.

Howie's clearly recognized Safety has been an issue - he's just had trouble getting a proper replacement. Traded for CJGJ but CJ priced himself out in the offseason. Traded for Byard, but apparently he really sucked once he got here.

LB has no excuse though. Put up or shut up year for Howie in the LB department to show he values its role.
 
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Maybe this is a sign of Howie committing to it. I mean one of Howie's greatest attributes, or flaws, is that he's a big over-corrector. Perhaps this year he draws a line under it and invests heavily in one or both.

Howie's clearly recognized Safety has been an issue - he's just had trouble getting a proper replacement. Traded for CJGJ but CJ priced himself out in the offseason. Traded for Byard, but apparently he really sucked once he got here.

LB has no excuse though. Put up or shut up year for Howie in the LB department to show he values its role.
HOPIUM.png
 
There was a breakdown somewhere in the season showing how ridiculous Miami was at disguises. Teams would run guys in motion and nobody on Miami would shift, and barely any communication. OK, looks like fully committed zone coverage? WRONG, losers! Man! Eat shit. Whatever system they had for handing guys off to each other was very well understood by everyone on the D. And that's also an important skill for a DC; getting everyone on the same page. If you confuse your own guys as much as you confuse the QB, the QB wins. Looking at you, Haslett.

This made me laugh way too much. :laugh:
 
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