You'd have to think it's basically a lock. IDK if Vegas has odds on it, but if I were making the line I'd probly put it around -800. So bet $800 to only win $100 if he breaks it. Maybe even -1000
Still think he could get there this year. Most realistic is he scores like, 31 goals this year and breaks it by Thanksgiving next year.
Seems like a lock, but you never know. I can't remember if there was much discussion at the end of Gretzky's career about if he could get to "x" goals or "y" points, but a lot of that could be due to lack of internet....internet existed course, but not like it is today. I mean, at the end of the 1998 season, he was 37 years old and just put up 90pts (3rd in league scoring)......you wouldn't figure he'd retire very soon....still pretty productive to say the least. At that time he was sitting at 885 goals....what chances would you put on him not getting to 900 goals before the end of his career?
The MAJOR DIFFERENCE here of course is that Ovechkin as the record to chase, Gretzky had no one to chase and no one anywhere near him to distance himself from either. For Ovechkin.....regardless of how good or not he can still be, it's hard to imagine him retiring before he breaks the record. I just think most hope it gets done before it is painful to watch. Halfway through last season it was looking like it might get to that point but he turned it around.....we'll have to wait and see how he does this year.