You took that comment the wrong way. It wasn’t like Oshawa is a bad team. They have had issues all season with the speedy small players and not just on Ottawa. They are still relatively young. This really isn’t “their year.” Next year is their true compete window. There were six teams that all very well could have finished first under slightly different circumstance. I really don’t view the Oshawa Generals as a #1 Seed. The difference between London and Oshawa is 15 points. Both are #1 seeds. The difference between Ottawa and Oshawa is 9 points. I mean, the reality is, all six of those top 6 in the Eastern Conference are/were capable. The difference is who is hot now?
Brantford limped into the playoffs. They were likely pretty tired. Oshawa went in on a 12 game heater but lost two games to Barrie? Again, Beau Jelsma and Hillenbrand made that a series. Ottawa has four Jelsma’s and an equally capable goalie. If the Generals had a hard time containing Jelsma, they will have a harder time containing a team with a Jelsma type player on each of the top 3 lines.
The Generals are slow. Sure, they have a couple “not slow” players and Lockhart. But the reality is they are a slower team and they will have a hard time containing Ottawa PROVIDED Ottawa plays 60 minutes of full court press in the O-Zone. That is the key for Ottawa. If they don’t, then Oshawa takes over the pace of the game and dictates the play. If Ottawa allows Oshawa to dictate the pace of play, Ottawa is DEAD. This is why I say, it comes down to Ottawa executing. If they execute, they will have a great chance of winning the series with four one goal games in their favour.
Oshawa cannot strategize their way to mitigating against Ottawa’s forecheck. They don’t have the players (horses) that allow it. They need to allow Ottawa to keep puck possession but keep them out of the centre ice in Oshawa’s D-Zone. Force them to score from outside. They need to hang back and not try to exit the zone quickly. Simply try not to get scored on 5 on 5. Then in PP situations, unload on Ottawa. If you can’t contain the forecheck to maintain possession then keep them to the outside. If that is the “strategy” then I can see that working for Oshawa.
Similarly, if anyone is expecting Ottawa to play better in front of their net all of a sudden, it isn’t happening. Just like I don’t expect Oshawa to “speed up,” I don’t expect Ottawa to find better defence down low.
So, can Oshawa win games with taking advantage of Ottawa down low knowing they will likely have 35% puck possession or can Ottawa take advantage of 65% puck possession and win the games at 5 on 5? To me, that is the real question in this series. IMO, “IF” Ottawa plays their game, they can win four one goal games and the series. How many games will that take? I don’t know. My gut feeling says six. But, it could also be four one goal games for Oshawa in FOUR games. This series could go either way. The only thing I am reasonably certain of is the games will all be close and relatively low scoring, just like the season series between the two teams. Four games were decided by a goal and three of them in OT. I think the series will lean that way.