Regular season records aren’t meaningful but the way they lose/win is. The fact that Oshawa is relatively young at the top of their roster is also meaningful. Most of their best players aren’t 19-20. Roobroeck, Torrance, Lockhart and Rolofs are their only older forwards. Maybe include McIntyre as well? He’s probably playing a big enough role to include in that group. The back end has Oster in net with D’Amato and Punnett? Stewart is decent as well. That really isn’t a lot of experience.
Ottawa has more experience. A little more playoff experience as well.
Oshawa is bigger and had 9 more points int he regular season. A lot of the intangibles go in Ottawa’s favour.
Barrie gave up the most regular season goals of all 16 playoff teams, yet Oshawa only managed to score 17 goals in 6 games: 2 into empty nets, 1 shorthanded and 7 on the Powerplay. That means they scored only SEVEN even strength goals in the series. That is quite the stat. Ottawa scored 17 even strength goals against a statistically better team. No matter how you look at round one, Oshawa was not impressive. Sure, maybe the Barrie goalies stood on his head or maybe they made it easier for the goalie to make saves?
If Ottawa stays out of the box and plays a strong forecheck game, they should win the series. If they are undisciplined and allow Oshawa to come at them like they played in February, they will lose the series without much effort on Oshawa’s part. To me, this series is in the hands of Ottawa to win or lose more than it is in Oshawa’s hands.