MLS is still viewed as the place where older players past their prime come to make a few bucks and get adored on by U.S. soccer fans who are nostalgic, not the place for players in their prime to go to show off their skill and play against even a handful of the world's best. Until you get even say a half-dozen of the world's 100 best in the league at the point(s) in time where they rank in the top-100, you're left with "what we don't have in quality, we make up for in quantity" and that's not an argument I'd lead with.
Mexico's Liga MX has 10 titles and 18 finals in the CONCACAF Champions League, and only once has failed to get at least 2 teams into the semis [2015, which was followed by getting all 4 semifinal spots the year after]. MLS has had three (3) finalists and 9 semifinalists over the same span. Let's seen MLS win a (one) CONCACAF Champions League [distinguished from the Champions Cup, which D.C. United and L.A. Galaxy won back in 1998 and 2000 respectively], not "someone gets to the finals every 2nd or 3rd year" and "most years, we can get a team to the semifinals" before we start "top-5 in the world" talk. [And even then, it's still got a way to go to displace Liga MX on this continent.]
Moreover, when the MLS All-Star XI can consistently beat top European teams who aren't using the MLS All-Star game as a preseason tune-up, then we can talk about how MLS might be getting toward the top-5 and how the top MLS teams might be able to go hang with a PSG, Lyon, Ajax, PSV Eindhoven, or Porto - or even
Is depth improving? Yeah. Is top-level talent flowing in, though? No. [Well, yes - but it's "really good for MLS" and not "pretty decent for even Ligue 1."] Hell, even our best young talent isn't staying here to play in MLS.
MLS as a top-5 league at some point? Sure, I'd buy that. Eventually. In the next 5 years, though? Not a chance. I'd say 15 years, best case - probably more like 20-25.
Average age in MLS: 25.3.
Average age in EPL: 26.7.
MLS is not a retirement league anymore.
I don't get why your stating LIGA Mx's history to make a point of how it relates to future MLS growth, especially when MLS is in hyper growth. The moment in time MLS catch’s Liga Mx or surpasses it, all history is irrelevant re: best league.
If Ligue 1 is currently the 5th best league in the world (widely assumed to be top 5) , I'd bet MLS would catch Ligue 1 in the next 5 years.
MLS might not have a PSG type team in 5 years because they will spread out their talent among 28 teams. Overall the league will have games that are much more competitive. (
More regular competition in Liga MX, MLS - Martino)
12 of the top 13 highest paid players in Ligue 1 are on PSG. The quality drops significantly after the top 5 teams.
MLS has an average of 21 k attendance right now and actually has more teams. Ligue 1 has an average of 22 k.
So how could MLS catch Ligue 1 in 5 years? Here's some different factors you would consider.
1) Attendance average (very close right now)
2) Number of teams in the league (MLS by a lot in 2024)
3) T.V viewership numbers and contract deals.
4) Stadium and maintenance
5) Financials
6) Parity (how competitive is each game)
7) Entertainment: How will a league with parity and a unique playoff championship system attract new fans?
8) Quality on the pitch - What will MLS CBA allow teams to do?
9) Fan atmosphere during the games.
The leagues will be very hard to compare and we basically have to estimate and use our own bias' to state what we value most in a league. MLS could be a better league with a slightly lower average salary for example; especially as they continue to buy young south americans and bring them over. My estimation is young players in North America, South America and Central America will choose MLS in 2024 over playing for a mid table Ligue 1 clubs; mean while MLS teams will have opened up the strings to allow teams to spend more.