Player Discussion Nick Suzuki Part 11

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I could see the Habs doing what the senators did w/ Brady Tkachuk. Idk I would say do Suzuki and Gallagher and maybe Edmondson/ Savard. I don't think its that big a deal but no reason to put that on a young kid either I like the captain blender idea.
 
Off topic a bit but how much input does Vinny have and what is his actual role going to be? Just wondering what he brings to the table.
 
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28 points in 28 games under MSL

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Suzy I believe is the future captain of this club. Maybe not at the moment, but he just seems to have that feel about him. I also appreciate the fact that he has become a little nastier lately. I mean that in the most positive way!
I think you’re right. He’s likely the next captain.
 
The fear a few months ago was already a 50-60 pt 2C and still is. I like that he is improving I just want to remain cautious. You'll note that from the start I said this deal can either be very good or bad depending on how he develops. I am more than ready to admit when I am wrong though

8 forwards signed 7-8 year deals in the $7-$9 million AAV range over the past year.

Where would you rank Suzuki’s contract amongst these players:

Hertl 8 years - $8.14 m AAV
Hughes 8 years - $8 m AAV
Tkachuk 7 years - $8.21 m AAV
Suzuki 8 years - $7.88 m AAV
Zibanejad 8 years - $8.5 m AAV
Couturier 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Svechnikov 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Landeskog 8 years - $7 m AAV
 
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8 forwards signed 7-8 year deals in the $7-$9 million AAV range over the past year.

Where would you rank Suzuki’s contract amongst these players:

Hertl 8 years - $8.14 m AAV
Hughes 8 years - $8 m AAV
Tkachuk 7 years - $8.21 m AAV
Suzuki 8 years - $7.88 m AAV
Zibanejad 8 years - $8.5 m AAV
Couturier 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Svechnikov 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Landeskog 8 years - $7 m AAV

Suzuki is younger than Hertl. So i'd prefer Suzuki. I believe with good players like Caufield, he can be a PPG center... in 2 years.

They all pretty good... i'd prefer Suzuki to Hertl and Couturier for sure. He is younger than Zibanejad too.
 
8 forwards signed 7-8 year deals in the $7-$9 million AAV range over the past year.

Where would you rank Suzuki’s contract amongst these players:

Hertl 8 years - $8.14 m AAV
Hughes 8 years - $8 m AAV
Tkachuk 7 years - $8.21 m AAV
Suzuki 8 years - $7.88 m AAV
Zibanejad 8 years - $8.5 m AAV
Couturier 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Svechnikov 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Landeskog 8 years - $7 m AAV
Hou need to split post ELC and at UFA : post ELC Suzuki is not clearly not as good as Hughes, Svecvnhikov, for Tkachuk I am not a fan of power forwards so I d say I prefer Suzuki. Suzuki right now is also not as good as any of the players above but he has upside, which they don’t have at their age.
 
Remember when they said that Kotkaniemi had scored more goals at his age than Yzerman, Sakic and all the great ones?

Yeah well, it didn't age all that well. Suzuki can't slow down now.
 
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8 forwards signed 7-8 year deals in the $7-$9 million AAV range over the past year.

Where would you rank Suzuki’s contract amongst these players:

Hertl 8 years - $8.14 m AAV
Hughes 8 years - $8 m AAV
Tkachuk 7 years - $8.21 m AAV
Suzuki 8 years - $7.88 m AAV
Zibanejad 8 years - $8.5 m AAV
Couturier 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Svechnikov 8 years - $7.75 m AAV
Landeskog 8 years - $7 m AAV

Based on age, the only one I'd take over Suzuki is Hughes...Zbad as well if he was like 3 years younger.
 
Responding here as it's beyond the scope of the tank thread:
To you and others who responded. Well said and well noted but I think you have to account that scoring is way up in the league too. So while 8m a year isn't eye-watering money, 70 points isn't reliable production either for a top team's centreman. Plekanec at 5m and 70 points was a way better deal in the early 2010s than Suzuki at 7.8m and 70 points in the early 2020s.

Matthews has more goals than Suzuki has points. This should bother everybody in Montreal.
The total number of 70P guys has increased since then, but a lot of that is among wingers and is PP driven. The 70P threshold is still basically about the top 20 among Cs today like it was back when Plekanec had his peak years and is still a nice spot for a 1C given that cutoff will always grab some Scheifele/Kuznetsov types who can't defend one bit and being 20th in scoring probably means you're in the mid teens in actual on-ice value at the position.

FWIW I was always high on Plekanec and don't think he's reached Plekanec's peak level yet, my point is more just about the growth in the cap and that even if we paid 750k more to Plekanec back then it wouldn't have been a problem at all. I want that eye-popping scoring from a true franchise forward too, but they're just not linked at all to me. Montreal lacking a dynamic franchise forward has nothing to do with paying Suzuki, and his contract in no way precludes the team from paying for elite forwards.
The fear a few months ago was already a 50-60 pt 2C and still is. I like that he is improving I just want to remain cautious.
I understand the caution back in December when we were still talking about last year's pace and making excuses for this year's production, but at this point I just don't really get it when he's three P away from 60 after being at 27P in 45GP, has been on the team's only threatening line all year, scored at a 60P pace on a mediocre team with mediocre linemates last year, has been on an anemic PP his whole career, and has really only had this 30 game stretch of rejuvenated with Caufield as a legitimate high-end scoring talent for a linemate.

Despite all that he's still hit the ceiling of the cautious projection twice, I just really don't see any convincing reason to still be worried that the guy is going to become Sergei Kostistyn. At some point this version of caution just becomes unwarranted pessimism IMO.
You'll note that from the start I said this deal can either be very good or bad depending on how he develops. I am more than ready to admit when I am wrong though :)
This is what I mean by unwarranted pessimism, because it's pretty difficult to see a non-injury induced scenario where the contract turns out poorly for the team. I don't mean to keep harping on this point but it's very important, his AAV is not some mega deal that's going to be huge money forever and doom the team to mediocrity if he isn't a bonafide quality #1C. By the time the Habs need to care about cap efficiency in 3-4 seasons, his contract will already be ranked in the high 30s to low-mid 40s at his position, and in today's NHL 7.1M buys you Kevin Hayes in free agency.

Essentially, in 3-4 years when this team is hopefully trying to compete, the upside on this deal is that we paid for Derek Stepan and got Niklas Backstrom, and the downside on this deal is that we paid for Derek Stepan and got Derek Stepan.
 
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