Player Discussion Nick Suzuki Part 11

Kudo Shinichi

Registered User
Apr 20, 2012
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Suzuki has really improved his faceoffs.
Now at 49.1% on the season not counting today (13/16 on faceoffs so far)
 

bonneaug

Registered User
Aug 2, 2017
440
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I can't believe the Canes are paying less for Svechnikov (7.75M) than we are for Suzuki (7.875M).

He's more or less a younger, smoother ROR (righty 2-way centerman, captain, 7.5 aav). That contract will take a couple years to fully be worth its weight in gold, but I'm sure we'll enjoy every moment being in the money when that happens.
 

lamp9post

Registered User
Jan 28, 2007
4,460
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I can't believe the Canes are paying less for Svechnikov (7.75M) than we are for Suzuki (7.875M).

Suzuki is clearly overpaid, we hope that at one point, he will be able to reach his potential (70+ points). We paid him for future results.

Suzuki is still on his ELC. I get what you guys are saying, but shouldn't we wait until the contract kicks in before discussing whether he is overpaid?
 

417

Sheeeeeeeeeeeit!!!!!
Feb 20, 2003
52,582
30,683
Ottawa
He is already value his new contract. His contract will be a bargain soon imo..
The Habs have already gotten value from his ELC…the balance will probably shift over the net 2 yers before he’s bargain again the the remanded of us deal, or a least, that’s the plan.
 

JoelWarlord

Registered User
May 7, 2012
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Halifax
I can't believe the Canes are paying less for Svechnikov (7.75M) than we are for Suzuki (7.875M).
I can. Svechnikov is a year younger, plays wing and not center, and signed a contract that kicked in this season and locks in his age 21 to 28 seasons while Suzuki signed a contract that covers his age 23 to 30 seasons. Of course Svechnikov is a better player, but under the cap and RFA system it's not as simple as player A > player B so player A should always make a higher AAV.

Players like Svechnikov who come into the league and start playing instantly almost always come a little cheaper for this reason, you can give Svechnikov an 8 year contract right off his ELC and he's going to be set up to get another monster deal again as a UFA when it's over, while if you want to buy a player's entire prime from age 23-30 you are going to have to pay a little extra for the fact that you might be putting the player in a spot where the best he can get at that age is a 3-4 year deal at a lower number.

Suzuki is clearly overpaid, we hope that at one point, he will be able to reach his potential (70+ points). We paid him for future results.
Ignoring the whole thing where he's still on the ELC currently anyway, he is not overpaid even if he were making the extension value this season. I've said this a million times in this thread but by the time the season begins next year, Suzuki will be the 22nd or 23rd highest paid C in the league, will be in the high 20s the year after, and into the low-mid 30s starting in year 3. You can't just compare his number to Barzal or Pettersson who are on bridge deals or guys like MacKinnon/O'Reilly who are going to be up for new contracts in a year or two and say he's overpaid because they're better, those guys will all be making more within a very short period of time.

The entire point of the deal is you're paying a higher AAV than a bridge to buy term instead of going lower AAV on a bridge then paying UFA prices to lock the player in after that. He just happened to sign long term at a point in time where a lot of 1Cs around the league are either nearing the end of long term deals from 5+ years ago, or are on a 3 year bridge. A player isn't overpaid simply because the circumstances of when they happened to be up for a contract mean they make more money than some better players in years 1 and 2 of an 8 year contract, and then go on to make significantly less from years 3-8.

Montreal was in a position where we didn't need to care about maximizing cap efficiency in the short term and could instead pay for term to save in the long run, while other teams were up against the cap and had to go with a bridge deal to make it work. That's really all there is to it.
 

SamHabsFan

Registered User
Apr 6, 2016
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627
Quebec
wow another game tonight against EDM that he is the best player on the ice, matching up against draisaitl...this is impressive! 2 back to back wristers that goes in (1 waived off), an assist on Cole's goal and multîple creative dekes throughout the game...Suzuki is legit guys!
 

FrankMTL

Registered User
Jan 6, 2005
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Makes you wonder what could have been for both Suzuki and Caufield with MSL (or another decent coach) as coach all season.
 

Habs Halifax

Loyal Habs Fan
Jul 11, 2016
70,848
27,903
East Coast
Suzuki is 1 pt away and 2 goals away from matching his personal best.... with 26 games left to go.

On fire since Jan 18th:
* 21 pts in 19 games with 6 goals (43% from the PP)

Blazing hot with MSL and with Caufield/Anderson:
* 13 pts in 11 games with 4 goals (38% from the PP)

If he finishes with pt/game stats in the remaining 26 games, that's 66 pts.
 
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