But free agency isn’t closed. This isn’t the Leafs roster that will open camp in the fall.
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As predicted, the period in which the Leafs could have more easily traded a core piece passed: Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner now have no-move clauses, and William Nylander has made his 10-team list in the event of a trade. Coach Sheldon Keefe is staying, which is fine, and Treliving had already overpaid David Kämpf, if not by as much as the market might have.
Fundamentally, Leafs appeared to be running it back, more or less.
Treliving sees the Matthews and Nylander contracts as his major task, and how he adjusts the mix around the core is the question. And on July 1, as free agency opened, the first big move was … Ryan Reaves. Ah. And a flyer on 30-year-old defenceman John Klingberg.
Look, free agency isn’t closed. Trades remain possible. There’s lots of time. Yes, the Leafs watched Ryan O’Reilly, Michael Bunting, Luke Schenn, Noel Acciari, and Justin Holl leave. Yes, there are many spots to fill, and they will be filled. This isn’t the Leafs roster that will open camp in the fall.
But what was Toronto’s big problem against Florida? They lacked the highest level of competitive toughness from their stars, and they didn’t score enough goals. They scored 14 goals in those final seven playoff games, and went 2-5. Sam Bennett and Radko Gudas smashed them around, and Sergei Bobrovsky goalied them at least once, and Toronto’s stars went quiet in their biggest moments, again.
So, uh, Reaves? Reaves is a great talker, a great fighter, a big presence, and he will be beloved in Toronto, where anybody who throws a hit or a punch turns Hogtown’s suit-wearing patrons into a mob in a high school parking lot when somebody screams, “Fight!”
But a three-year deal at $1.35 million (U.S.) doesn’t seem like a good sign. It’s not a ton of money. It’s not the worst. Maybe Reaves makes Matthews and Marner and Nylander play a little bigger. When the Florida Panthers decided to play prison rules in Game 2 of that second-round playoff series, it took the Leafs a fair bit of time to adjust. Reaves is the kind of guy who could legitimately make someone feel braver.
There are at least two problems with that theory. One, it’s bunk. Connor McDavid got roughed up all year as Milan Lucic sat on the bench, or buffaloed around like a bank vault on skates. Once upon a time, Matt Cooke ended Marc Savard’s career when Savard played on one of the toughest Bruins teams of all freaking time: Lucic, Zdeno Chara, Shawn Thornton, and more.
Two, you need guys who can play. Do you remember who was the big mean brother on this most recent Leafs team? Wayne Simmonds can fight with just about anybody, but he wasn’t on the ice when Bennett and Gudas and company were wallpapering Leafs, because Simmons wasn’t a good enough player. Winning a fight on a loading dock doesn’t have the same cachet.
The Leafs also had Schenn, who could fight, but he is gone to the Nashville Predators on a three-year deal at $2.75 million. At age 33, after a long and winding road, that’s a well-earned payday for a terrific guy.
But as rich as the Schenn deal is, would you rather pay a 36-year-old Ryan Reaves $1.3-million for three years to play eight minutes and fight once in a while, or pay Schenn twice as much to be a calm, puck-moving defenceman who can play with Morgan Rielly, at least for now?
That decision isn’t available now. But Reeves versus, say, the 35-year-old Lucic — who went back to Boston on a one-year deal — is a sideshow, and little more. Reaves is an admirable tough guy, but the problem is he can’t really play.
So what next? The Leafs need a few forwards and could use a real upgrade at the back of their defence, or maybe up top. And of all the lessons of the Dubas years, one that endures is that every dollar needs to be carefully spent, because your core costs a ton and some of them are likely to get raises, soon enough. or in Nylander’s case, if the gap can’t be bridged and him walking to free agency isn’t appealing, maybe one of those 10 teams would still work for a trade.