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Other Sports: NCAA Thread v12

flyershockey said:
If everyone wins tonight, I fully expect a gutless Michigan-Washington-FSU-Texas run with both semi's ending in typical blowout fashion. Until we get to 12, it will be another year of the best four "resumes" versus the best four teams. With 12, they'll have more wiggle room to bump teams up/down based on the eye test.
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Track record says they shouldn't, but Texas (and their new found SEC status) probably doesn't give them a choice.

I will vomit a bit if Michigan wins it all after the whole, "we're cheaters, but we're actually the victim" routine.

Edit: it gets interesting if both FSU and Michigan lose, but then you have the opposite. They ain't leaving out the B1G with their coming expansion. In the scenario, I think it's Washington-Alabama-Texas-Michigan/Georgia. They're going to avoid SEC fatigue, imo.
 
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flyershockey said:
@JojoTheWhale, do we get to put an asterisk next to whoever wins it all because of Georgia's injuries? Asking for a friend.
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I’m firmly in the hoping FSU wins camp because I want the shitshow. I don’t trust any committee to choose Texas.

I’ll take anyone winning except Bama and Michigan right now. I want Washington, but whatever Penix’s injury is caps them too. Just a shitty year for injuries with 3 of the top teams. Brutal.

*Edit* Seeding is going to be fascinating too. FSU as the 3 seed is actually a disadvantage for the 1 seed. A Michigan-Bama semi with Washington getting the freebie as the 2 seed would be hilarious.
 
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Put me in at QB in this ACC championship

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Women's Australian Rules Football final is on FS2. I don't really know the rules but gotta be the best championship currently on TV
 
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Good god #5 on FSU.

Very interested in what the committee does

Uh oh. FSU player is doing the Castellanos ring celebration. They ain't going to the playoff
 
The only hard thing will be the committee having to listen to the ESPN execs beg them to not leave the SEC out in the cold.

This is easy to me though

1 Michigan
2 Washington
3 Texas
4 Florida State

Maybe if the SEC weren’t assholes forcing Georgia and Oklahoma to scrap their scheduled game, Georgia would have an extra good win to hold up that wouldn’t let them sink below 4 and say ‘well we beat the team who beat Texas’ and wash out that element.
 
Chinatown88 said:
1)Washington
2)Michigan
3)Texas
4)Bama
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I think this is what is will end up being because of the injuries at QB to FSU.

BUT I would actually like to see Oregon in there at 4 instead of Bama. The SEC gets mythical bonus points just for being the SEC, but I don't think Bama or Georgia are really all that good. Bama needed a 4th and Goal TD from the 35 with a missed Offensive Pass Interference call to beat Auburn. Georgia also had a hard time beating Auburn and had close games with South Carolina, Missouri, and Georgia Tech.

Oregon has two losses, both to Washington who I think is the number 1 team in the country, both by a field goal. So when it comes down to who I think the best 4 teams in the country are right now, regardless of mythical bonus points:

1. Washington
2. Michigan
3. Texas
4. Oregon
 
The next time you think betting line movement might be telling you something, think back to today.

Pinnacle's odds swung from FSU being a moderate favorite to make the playoffs to a solid underdog and back to a solid favorite all within an hour. This is also how large amounts of money are made from lazy books. Pinnacle is not, so they'd limit your bets. But I'm sure it's happening elsewhere too.
 
Chinatown88 said:
1)Washington
2)Michigan
3)Texas
4)Bama
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Then the entire season didn't have to be played. There was no point.

And if we want to toss out results because we think we know who the best team really was, Bowers + McConkey + Mims + Jacksaint + Dumas-Johnson is easily worth 3+ Points, so Georgia actually won that game. How many games flip just by changing the result of a late FG? Why are we not going back and well, actuallying those too? That's the slilppery slope you inevitably end up on anytime you make the argument for leaving out an undefeated P5 team.

Don't overthink it. Let the games matter. No SEC teams.
 
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I never do this, but I'll pull back the curtain on the one sport I still bet seriously a bit.

There are two tier breaks at the top of the country. It's Michigan way out in front in T1. Then T2 is Florida St, Ohio St, Georgia, and Washington. This data has a normalized ROI over 9% this year in FBS.
 
Prepare yourselves for FSU to get screwed and the committee to flip flop which parameters they use to judge teams. Based on some preliminary bowl projections by well connected media members, I fully expect it to be Michigan, Washington, Texas and Bama.

@JojoTheWhale I'm fully confident that if Georgia had a month to get healthy, they would blow the doors off the field, so it's not the four best teams, imo.
 
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flyershockey said:
@JojoTheWhale I'm fully confident that if Georgia had a month to get healthy, they would blow the doors off the field, so it's not the four best teams, imo.
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The 4 best teams includes Georgia and Ohio St. I don't think people have the stomach for that.

I also don't think it would be good for the sport, but we know that ship has sailed a long time ago.
 
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