Because history in the NHL says to keep your core or make a trade involving one of your core members. Not walking your best players to UFA. In the cap era there has not been a team that has walked their best player to UFA, signed a bunch of 30+ UFA’s past their primes and won the Stanley cup.
There just hasn’t, there have been teams who have traded players from their core and went to cup finals. But that option doesn’t exist for the leafs.
I don’t know what the option is, but it’s hard for me to believe that letting Marner walk and signing depth guys is going to turn this franchise into a Stanley cup winner. Coaching has been a big issue, I think the Leafs find success with a Berube type. That doesn’t make me a fan of Marner over the leafs. That makes me a leafs fan who is looking at UFA and recognizing there is no one there this year who will make us better. Well just end up with 3 or 4 horrible contracts as opposed to one.
My lengthy take on this lazy Sunday as I type 80 wpms and think at 120 wpms lol.
You think his salary would just allow the signing of one depth player? You're not picking up a Holmberg or two with $11-12M dollars at your disposal.
He and the core were overpaid for these years because Dubas didn't negotiate properly and the pressure from the dipsh*t media in this city made it worse on the once younger GM.
Some of the same media talking heads today saying that you MUST keep and pay heavily for Marner are the same who said that the Leafs MUST overpay for Nylander when he held out rather than losing him for a season.
I try to be diplomatic when I think to myself, "these people have clearly never run a business before". The companies who owned the TV rights to the Leafs cost themselves tens of millions in lost revenue when the Leafs couldn't get past the first round. Great work treating individuals as the team instead of one small piece of a team. There is no player bigger than the team. Gretzky was traded and two years later the Oilers won the Cup yet again.
If Dubas had held the line on Nylander this team would have paid significantly less for their core during these RFA years. This is the reality of sport and it had to be conveyed to the players that there is a cap. All of them were overpaid for the leverage they had, which was basically "come to a reasonable agreement or go play in the KHL since we will always own your NHL rights".
So, knowing that these overpayments ensured that the Leafs couldn't ice a much stronger depth team,. something I said these players were going to learn first hand that their big contracts would ensure that winning a Cup was far more remote; (I asked on here "how many more cars or houses can you buy in exchange for remaining ringless"?) some of the same media are telling the Leafs,
"hey make the mistake for another 7-8 years because we can and we will!"
As long as selling jerseys and corporate ads is their focus rather than long term revenue of icing a Cup winner, they will continue to lose.
Also, don't overestimate the opinion of any "sports expert", GM, media talking head or otherwise. Many of them are too close to the players to be objective quite frankly and they live in the echo chamber of their peers. This doesn't allow for them to always make the best prognosis.
You, I or anyone else on this board can be just as accurate or even more accurate than they are, it's about the arguments and prior precedence.
Proof in the pudding is how few of us posted on here that we didn't like the overpayments in 2016/2017 and suggested this was going to handcuff the team from building a championship team. I acknowledged that perhaps 4 excessively paid forwards COULD win a Cup, but, it would mean a new paradigm.
Some of us didn't think the Leafs would beat Columbus even though it seemed like a dream matchup. Some of us also screamed that the Leafs make their changes after they lost to the Habs.
We now know the results of the top heavy salary distribution, a perfect pearson correlation value of 1. The solution is to repeat the error? Maybe year 10 and 11 will be different just as some postulated that year 5 or 6 might be different...
All those suggesting, "well the cap goes up so the Leafs will be fine" fail to understand that
the cap will go up for every team, so it will be the same situation for the Leafs relative to their competition. Those who use their space best, with the right balance of Gamers, will win.