I get the idea, I was just teasing him. But on a more serious note, the idea doesn't works that well in my opinion. Remember what happened the last 2 time the Habs traded their promising LD for a fit upfront (McDonagh, Sergachev). Let's not do that again.
- It takes two to tango. Will there be a team out there that has what you want and need what you need? Maybe there is today, but a lot can change in a couple of years.
- If yes, is that player in the same age-range, similar cap hit?
- Other teams are aware you have a surplus. If they're not as desperate as you are to trade from a place of need, they'll see you coming from a mile away and extract every ounce of value they can.
In your example, drafting Silayev and trading Guhle in a couple years would be a lateral move at best, if not a disaster waiting to happen. So say in 3 years we're now a playoff team. Guhle would now be 25. Which forward are we acquiring in exchange of 25 years old Guhle? Of the players you named as example, Poitras/Sillinger are not on the trajectory to return Guhle. Zegras right now yes, but who knows in 3 years? Now let's say Zegras has become a PPG player center by then, then why would the Ducks trade him? They already have Mintyukov as their future #1 LD, Zellweger, they just drafted Solberg and have plenty of D prospect already. Anaheim are trading me Zegras for Guhle but then now they would become the team with a surplus of LD.
Why would they do that?
Let's say by then Poitras becomes that #1/#2 center for Boston. Boston has Swayman and one of the best D-Core for a while but they will need some goals scoring. They would be trading from a position of weakness (offense) to add another Dman? I mean sure nice for the Habs but why would they do that? If anything, they'll probably be on the market to trade one of their D for another F as well just like us.
The stars would have to align. In a couple of years, another team would have to be flush with Forwards and starving for a LD. One of the forwards they'd be willing to trade would have to be in the same age range (23-27). Habs are not trading Guhle, their top LD at the beginning of his prime and at the beginning of their contention window for a 32YO forward or a rookie. And the contract situation would have to be similar. Look at Necas/Zegras. One could argue they have similar value to Guhle in a vaccum. But 0% chance Montreal trade Guhle for either of them due to the contract situation. Necas is a UFA in 2 years and can walk and Zegras is up for a contract in 2 years. Guhle new contract extentions doesn't kick in until next season and is good until 2031 at 5.5M.
And I'm not even gonna get into the fact that Dman take longer to develop. We trade Guhle at 25 to make room for 21YO Silayev? Silayev is NHL ready at 21, but is he NHL playoffs ready? Now the defense is green again and we're not going far in the playoffs relying on a rookie. Trading Guhle in a couple years would set the timeline back. And what are the odds Silayev/Dickinson even becomes as good as Guhle is now? There's no guarantee.
Just drafting the BPA with the idea that you can address your needs by trading your surplus down the line requires a lot of things to line up for you not to get screwed over. Fans sometimes don't like it, but teams see the draft as a roster building exercise where they have a long-term view on how to build their roster into a contender and they use their draft picks as pieces of the puzzle to put that vision together.
If you rebuild well and don't spend an eternity at the bottom, you only get so many top picks. You can't draft Wingers after wingers after wingers because BPA. If we would have drafted Michkov last year and Demidov this year that's where we'd currently be. Caufield/Slafkovsky/Michkov/Demidov. Our team would be on the verge of exiting the rebuilding while built on wingers. Me personally I would have drafted Michkov and Demidov back to back.
But I understand why they did it the way they did it. Most teams at the top drafted for need in this past draft. Chicago with Lev, CBJ don't need wingers so went with the big center, we needed the game-breaking talent, Ottawa was desperate for a RD, Silayev perfect fit for NJ, Dickinson to SJ, Philly passed on Buium to reach for Luchanko because they have literally 0 centers, and Buium was the last missing piece for the Wild prospect pool, Buium-Faber for the next decade+ gonna be nasty. Only team I really don't know is Anaheim because who knows what those weirdos are thinking.
This upcoming draft will be another great case study for BPA. A draft class that is expected to be centers heavy at the top, but a couple of the teams expected to pick high again this year have already drafted their 2 centers of the future. Those teams are not passing on the 2 gigantic skilled power forwards ala Tkachuk (Martone,McQueen) or one the few D (Schaefer, Hensler, Tretheway).
For Montreal, we’ll finish bottom 6-8 again and one of the top centers will for sure be available to us. They will get their hands on one of Hagens/Ryabkin/Frondell/Misa/Desnoyers no doubt. People were saying we got unlucky getting #5 in the Bedard draft and missing out on the 4 centers. We got the smooth skating lockdown 6”3 RD, gave him 2 years to get ready and looks like we will still get that center we need after all. And in between those 2 we got Demidov.
They’ll leave the rebuild with two #1Wingers (Slaf, Demidov), a #1RD (Reinbacher) and a #1/#2C (upcoming draft). To add that to Suzuki/Caufield/Guhle and the strength of the prospect pool in only 4 years, I think the fanbase will quickly forget about Michkov.