McDavid nearing 1000 points at 27 years old

CanadasTeam99

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Jul 22, 2024
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Luigi Lemieux

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Sep 26, 2003
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Incredible achievement. Other active players that did it under 1000 games for comparison : Crosby (757 gp), Malkin (848), Ovechkin (880), Stamkos (945), Kane (953). Hundreds of games quicker than some all time greats really is eye popping.

McDavid hit 500 points in 369 games, same exact number as Crosby. His second 500 he got in 290 games, where it took Crosby 388 games. Crosby's splits aren't that different for either 500, but it looks like McDavid hit another level post covid break.
 

Senor Catface

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Jul 25, 2006
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Hockey Outsider

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Jan 16, 2005
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Likely owns third from here on out. Bossy hit 1100 in 725 games, didn’t play long enough to make 1200, and I believe Esposito sits third at 1200 in 872 games.
Numbers are from @Vujtek in this thread:

1,100 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 464
2. Mario Lemieux 550
3. Mike Bossy 725
4. Peter Stastny 793
5. Steve Yzerman 795
6. Guy Lafleur 797
7. Marcel Dionne 798
8. Phil Esposito 801
9. Bryan Trottier 819
10. Jari Kurri 824

1,200 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 504
2. Mario Lemieux 593
3. Phil Esposito 872
4. Marcel Dionne 878
5. Steve Yzerman 897
6. Guy Lafleur 899
7. Peter Stastny 912
8. Bryan Trottier 914
9. Jaromir Jagr 917
10. Jari Kurri 918

1,300 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 539
2. Mario Lemieux 633
3. Marcel Dionne 946
4. Phil Esposito 966
5. Steve Yzerman 982
6. Bryan Trottier 1014
7. Jaromir Jagr 1014
8. Dale Hawerchuk 1034
9. Jari Kurri 1034
10. Guy Lafleur 1036

1,400 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 580
2. Mario Lemieux 691
3. Marcel Dionne 1022
4. Phil Esposito 1070
5. Jaromir Jagr 1086
6. Steve Yzerman 1093
7. Paul Coffey 1148
8. Joe Sakic 1151
9. Mark Messier 1155
10. Dale Hawerchuk 1169

1,500 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 620
2. Mario Lemieux 747
3. Marcel Dionne 1078
4. Jaromir Jagr 1165
5. Phil Esposito 1166
6. Steve Yzerman 1199
7. Mark Messier 1232
8. Joe Sakic 1247
9. Ron Francis 1342
10. Paul Coffey 1344

(Note - the thread I'm quoting is several years old, so it doesn't reflect Crosby and Ovechkin. But none of that affects McDavid's trajectory here).

Assuming he stays healthy, where will McDavid end up on these lists? Let's assume it takes him 60 games to score his next 300 points, then he slows down to 75 games for 400 and 500.

That would get him to 719, 779, 839, 914 and 989. Which would result in him ranking 3rd (behind Gretzky and Lemieux) for all five milestones.

Obviously this is contingent on McDavid remaining healthy (and motivated). I also think there's a non-trivial chance that McDavid becomes the first player (after Gretzky of course) to reach 2,000 points.
 
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Romang67

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Jan 2, 2011
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Awesome for McDavid. I keep harping on this, especially when people are denigrating him for "not being a leader" or "not being a winner," but people really should enjoy getting to watch this guy play.
This kind of reminded me again how Probably the most untouchable stat Wayne has that will never be broken. 1000 in 424 games is insanity lol.
Bananas. That's just over 5 seasons.

Then he scored another 500 in less than 200 more games!

It's crazy that you have to look back at his career and wonder where he'd have ended up if not for Suter.
 

Video Nasty

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Mar 12, 2017
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Numbers are from @Vujtek in this thread:

1,100 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 464
2. Mario Lemieux 550
3. Mike Bossy 725
4. Peter Stastny 793
5. Steve Yzerman 795
6. Guy Lafleur 797
7. Marcel Dionne 798
8. Phil Esposito 801
9. Bryan Trottier 819
10. Jari Kurri 824

1,200 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 504
2. Mario Lemieux 593
3. Phil Esposito 872
4. Marcel Dionne 878
5. Steve Yzerman 897
6. Guy Lafleur 899
7. Peter Stastny 912
8. Bryan Trottier 914
9. Jaromir Jagr 917
10. Jari Kurri 918

1,300 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 539
2. Mario Lemieux 633
3. Marcel Dionne 946
4. Phil Esposito 966
5. Steve Yzerman 982
6. Bryan Trottier 1014
7. Jaromir Jagr 1014
8. Dale Hawerchuk 1034
9. Jari Kurri 1034
10. Guy Lafleur 1036

1,400 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 580
2. Mario Lemieux 691
3. Marcel Dionne 1022
4. Phil Esposito 1070
5. Jaromir Jagr 1086
6. Steve Yzerman 1093
7. Paul Coffey 1148
8. Joe Sakic 1151
9. Mark Messier 1155
10. Dale Hawerchuk 1169

1,500 points
1. Wayne Gretzky 620
2. Mario Lemieux 747
3. Marcel Dionne 1078
4. Jaromir Jagr 1165
5. Phil Esposito 1166
6. Steve Yzerman 1199
7. Mark Messier 1232
8. Joe Sakic 1247
9. Ron Francis 1342
10. Paul Coffey 1344

(Note - the thread I'm quoting is several years old, so it doesn't reflect Crosby and Ovechkin. But none of that affects McDavid's trajectory here).

Assuming he stays healthy, where will McDavid end up on these lists? Let's assume it takes him 60 games to score his next 300 points, then he slows down to 75 games for 400 and 500.

That would get him to 719, 779, 839, 914 and 989. Which would result in him ranking 3rd (behind Gretzky and Lemieux) for all five milestones.

Obviously this is contingent on McDavid remaining healthy (and motivated). I also think there's a non-trivial chance that McDavid becomes the first player (after Gretzky of course) to reach 2,000 points.

He has third quickest on lock. That 300+ game bulge beyond #2 Mario and #3 Espo bleeding into Dionne is so much buffer that it would take him retiring before getting to each milestone for him to not appear at third.

But for fun, we can go really crazy and pretend that McDavid tumbles to 1 PPG overnight starting with his very next game for the next 500 games—with good health, this takes him through the rest of his current age 28 season and all the way through his age 33 season, while factoring in about 10 missed games per season.

He would hit 1500 in 1159 games, still good for 4th!

It’s more likely he hangs out at about 1.35-1.40 for his next 500, which would have him flirting with 1700 points through those 1159 games, which might have him clearing Dionne by about a 100 games.

It wouldn’t remotely shock me if he maintained his current career average and got to 1500 before he plays his 1000th game.
 

Video Nasty

Registered User
Mar 12, 2017
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This kind of reminded me again how Probably the most untouchable stat Wayne has that will never be broken. 1000 in 424 games is insanity lol.

Equally as mind bending is how he basically didn’t miss a beat rolling through 1000 to 2000.

433 games for that run.

Overall, his shortest run between milestones was the 33 games it took him to go from 800 to 900, a staggering 3.03 PPG.
 

joestevens29

Registered User
Apr 30, 2009
54,047
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Funny enough I've never seen his dad wear anything oilers ever lol
Funny enough I think he wears same thing every game

Equally as mind bending is how he basically didn’t miss a beat rolling through 1000 to 2000.

433 games for that run.

Overall, his shortest run between milestones was the 33 games it took him to go from 800 to 900, a staggering 3.03 PPG.
I saw that stat again today and still can’t believe it
 

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