Andrei79
Registered User
- Jan 25, 2013
- 17,212
- 32,926
He’ll hit 160 points with all the help the refs give him
Nostrils was never close to being as good as McDavid and never will be. Get over it.
He’ll hit 160 points with all the help the refs give him
cRoSbY wAs BeTtErThat’s now a margin of 29.6% ahead of the runner up and 33.7% ahead of the closest non-teammate.
Only Howe and Gretzky have such victories to their name.
And it will be his second wildly dominant win. 25% over Drai and 52.1% over #3 Marchand in 2020-2021.
But yeah, between that, 5 Art Rosses, 3 Harts, 4 Lindsays, 150 points to come, and all his other accolades, he hasn’t separated himself enough from his peers for some people.
HFBoards might crash for weeks if that happensWell said man. Hopefully both teams meet in the finals so those same fans really go off.![]()
I don't even know what that means. He gets hacked, slashed and interfered with multiple times a game when he goes through the neutral zone and the refs rarely call squat. If they actually did, EDM would get 10 PP's a game. lolHe’ll hit 160 points with all the help the refs give him
what? At one point it was 5 to 1 for the Leafs in PP's. How are you complaining about the refs? lol. Weird.We won regardless of the horrendous officiating and the Diving from a crappy team
That's definitely terrific scoring at a consistent level. Then again, he gets compared to The Great One, who came to the league by storm, leading the league in points (and assists) every single year for his first eight seasons (= the point in time of their respective careers where McDavid is now). Fair or unfair comparison? It is what it is. Good on McDavid for not caving in under the pressure and endless comparisons.That’s now a margin of 29.6% ahead of the runner up and 33.7% ahead of the closest non-teammate.
Only Howe and Gretzky have such victories to their name.
And it will be his second wildly dominant win. 25% over Drai and 52.1% over #3 Marchand in 2020-2021.
But yeah, between that, 5 Art Rosses, 3 Harts, 4 Lindsays, 150 points to come, and all his other accolades, he hasn’t separated himself enough from his peers for some people.
Exceeding Kucherov's (or any active player's for that matter) personal best is a significant detail in McDavid's legacy for sure, leaves so many fewer buts for the naysayers.Will be nice to see McDavid finally show Draisaitl and kucherov who's the boss after finally surpassing their best career totals next game. Hopefully all Kucherov and Draisaitl fans man up and apologize for ever suggesting kucherov and draisaitl was on the same level as Mcdavid!
Leaf fans: why does no one like usWe won regardless of the horrendous officiating and the Diving from a crappy team
Ho Hum just another goal and a apple tonight.
129 points on the season 68 GP
With McDavid gunning for best non-Gretzky/Lemieux season I was curious how many more people he had to pass to get there. He is currently at the 67th best season by total points right now but removing players who have had more than 124 multiple times there are 27 players left for him to pass to get there, here is who is still ahead of him...
Next up are Robitaille and Thornton's peak seasons of 125 points.
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Player[/TD]
[TD]Season[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]S/C[/TD]
[TD]Pos[/TD]
[TD]GP[/TD]
[TD]G[/TD]
[TD]A[/TD]
[TD]P[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wayne Gretzky[/TD]
[TD]19851986[/TD]
[TD]EDM[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]52[/TD]
[TD]163[/TD]
[TD]215[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mario Lemieux[/TD]
[TD]19881989[/TD]
[TD]PIT[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]85[/TD]
[TD]114[/TD]
[TD]199[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Steve Yzerman[/TD]
[TD]19881989[/TD]
[TD]DET[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]65[/TD]
[TD]90[/TD]
[TD]155[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Phil Esposito[/TD]
[TD]19701971[/TD]
[TD]BOS[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]152[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bernie Nicholls[/TD]
[TD]19881989[/TD]
[TD]LAK[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]79[/TD]
[TD]70[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]150[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Jaromir Jagr[/TD]
[TD]19951996[/TD]
[TD]PIT[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]62[/TD]
[TD]87[/TD]
[TD]149[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Pat LaFontaine[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]BUF[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]53[/TD]
[TD]95[/TD]
[TD]148[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mike Bossy[/TD]
[TD]19811982[/TD]
[TD]NYI[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]64[/TD]
[TD]83[/TD]
[TD]147[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Adam Oates[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]BOS[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]97[/TD]
[TD]142[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bobby Orr[/TD]
[TD]19701971[/TD]
[TD]BOS[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]D[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]102[/TD]
[TD]139[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Peter Stastny[/TD]
[TD]19811982[/TD]
[TD]QUE[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]93[/TD]
[TD]139[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Paul Coffey[/TD]
[TD]19851986[/TD]
[TD]EDM[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]D[/TD]
[TD]79[/TD]
[TD]48[/TD]
[TD]90[/TD]
[TD]138[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Marcel Dionne[/TD]
[TD]19791980[/TD]
[TD]LAK[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]53[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]137[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dennis Maruk[/TD]
[TD]19811982[/TD]
[TD]WSH[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]136[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Guy Lafleur[/TD]
[TD]19761977[/TD]
[TD]MTL[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]56[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]136[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Jari Kurri[/TD]
[TD]19841985[/TD]
[TD]EDM[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]73[/TD]
[TD]71[/TD]
[TD]64[/TD]
[TD]135[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bryan Trottier[/TD]
[TD]19781979[/TD]
[TD]NYI[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]87[/TD]
[TD]134[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Pierre Turgeon[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]NYI[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]83[/TD]
[TD]58[/TD]
[TD]74[/TD]
[TD]132[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Teemu Selanne[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]WIN[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]56[/TD]
[TD]132[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Brett Hull[/TD]
[TD]19901991[/TD]
[TD]STL[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]86[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]131[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Denis Savard[/TD]
[TD]19871988[/TD]
[TD]CHI[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]44[/TD]
[TD]87[/TD]
[TD]131[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Kent Nilsson[/TD]
[TD]19801981[/TD]
[TD]CGY[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]49[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]131[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dale Hawerchuk[/TD]
[TD]19841985[/TD]
[TD]WIN[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]53[/TD]
[TD]77[/TD]
[TD]130[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mark Messier[/TD]
[TD]19891990[/TD]
[TD]EDM[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]79[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]129[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nikita Kucherov[/TD]
[TD]20182019[/TD]
[TD]TBL[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]87[/TD]
[TD]128[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Alexander Mogilny[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]BUF[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]R[/TD]
[TD]77[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]51[/TD]
[TD]127[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Doug Gilmour[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]TOR[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]83[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[TD]95[/TD]
[TD]127[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Joe Thornton[/TD]
[TD]20052006[/TD]
[TD]BOS,SJS[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]81[/TD]
[TD]29[/TD]
[TD]96[/TD]
[TD]125[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Luc Robitaille[/TD]
[TD]19921993[/TD]
[TD]LAK[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]63[/TD]
[TD]62[/TD]
[TD]125[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
its insane that it's not out of the realm of possibility for McDavid to hit 1000 career pts by the end of next season despite time lost to COVID and missing half a seasonAlso moved into the top 25 in active point leaders in the NHL. Just passed Paul Stastny, handful of points behind Burns, Benn, and Carter. Don't think he'll leapfrog anyone else this season unless he goes off for like 50 points and Marchand goes ice cold. 26 career points back of Marchand.
150 this season and 150 next season and he hits 1000 points at 27 years old. The only other player who would have done that at that age is Gretzky. Insane if that happens especially being in the modern era, cap league.its insane that it's not out of the realm of possibility for McDavid to hit 1000 career pts by the end of next season despite time lost to COVID and missing half a season
Oh man, reading pages 1, 2, 3 in this thread - some of you should be absolutely ashamed of your awful takes.
This thread is barely 3 months old, and wow.
How about now??Nah and he won't sniff 150pts. Isn't it this the third time he has a crazy pace to start the season and people start 150pts thread?
His ceiling is 130-135 and that's as many as a player can get in the modern era. No one touches 150.
Not to question the model, but by looking at the graph it seems to underestimate the value of current results. By this I mean your percentages were so low 3 weeks ago even when his current trends at that time for the season were putting him on pace to hit these numbers. Obviously no model is perfect, but if you're seeing massive spikes in data over a short period it means that it could probably use some fine tuning (and yes, I realize that 13 goals in 10 games and all the recent points play a big role in that too).My model now gives McDavid a 99% probability of reaching 140 points (assuming he plays all 82 games). His probability skyrocketed with his recent streak of 19 points in six games. This shows his probability, re-calculated after each game this year:
View attachment 667625
The model shows that McDavid is favoured to get 150 points, but it's close to coin flip. Note how he was at 11% less than a month ago:
View attachment 667627
And in terms of reaching 60 goals, it's not quite a done deal, but he has a very good chance. His probability soared from 17% to 90% in just three weeks, thanks to scoring 13 goals in the past 10 games:
View attachment 667631
"McDavid Slowing Down"